HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>While <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-sunmi-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45410:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Sunmi Technology (6810 HK)</a> is a leader in Business Internet of Things (BIoT) solutions, its IPO size is relatively small with net proceeds of HK$908.7m.</li>
<li>We forecast its 3-year EPS CAGR at 26.4%, driven by its comprehensive customer coverage and geographical presence, and it will continue to see a positive margin trend. </li>
<li>At HK$24.86, it is priced at 21.4x FY26 PER, vs. 13.2x for the peer average. Its better growth has been discounted, making the IPO's risk-reward payoff unfavourable.  </li>
</ul>


While Shanghai Sunmi Technology (6810 HK) is a leader in Business Internet of Things (BIoT) solutions, its IPO size is relatively small with net proceeds of HK$908.7m.
We forecast its 3-year EPS CAGR at 26.4%, driven by its comprehensive customer coverage and geographical presence, and it will continue to see a positive margin trend. 
At HK$24.86, it is priced at 21.4x FY26 PER, vs. 13.2x for the peer average. Its better growth has been discounted, making the IPO's risk-reward payoff unfavourable.  


Shanghai Sunmi Technology (6810 HK) IPO: Doesn't Stand Out

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

SBI Shinsei Bank / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>, a Japanese financial institution, aims to raise around US$2bn in its Japan listing.</li>
<li>SBI Shinsei Bank (SBISB) is a Japanese financial institution providing a range of financial products and services to both individual and institutional customers.</li>
<li>We have looked at past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison</li>
</ul>



SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), a Japanese financial institution, aims to raise around US$2bn in its Japan listing.
SBI Shinsei Bank (SBISB) is a Japanese financial institution providing a range of financial products and services to both individual and institutional customers.
We have looked at past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison


SBI Shinsei Bank Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>, a Japanese financial institution, aims to raise around US$2bn in its Japan listing.</li>
<li>SBI Shinsei Bank (SBISB) is a Japanese financial institution providing a range of financial products and services to both individual and institutional customers.</li>
<li>In this note we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), a Japanese financial institution, aims to raise around US$2bn in its Japan listing.
SBI Shinsei Bank (SBISB) is a Japanese financial institution providing a range of financial products and services to both individual and institutional customers.
In this note we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


SBI Shinsei Bank Pre-IPO - The Negatives - PAT Growth Aided by One-Offs, Margins Under Pressure

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/roland-dg-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10653:1" rel="noopener">Roland DG Corp (6789 JP)</a> has re-recommended Taiyo’s revised offer of JPY5,370, which is 6.7% higher than its previous JPY5,035 offer and 3.3% higher than <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brother-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6114:1" rel="noopener">Brother Industries (6448 JP)</a>’s JPY5,200 offer.</li>
<li>The Board articulates a compelling case on Brother's offer dis-synergies, which will help swing some shareholder opinion towards Taiyo (irrespective of the price). </li>
<li>Brother could bump, but it would not address the issue of satisfying the condition precedent (non-completion of Taiyo offer) and securing the Board's recommendation.  </li>
</ul>



Roland DG Corp (6789 JP) has re-recommended Taiyo’s revised offer of JPY5,370, which is 6.7% higher than its previous JPY5,035 offer and 3.3% higher than Brother Industries (6448 JP)’s JPY5,200 offer.
The Board articulates a compelling case on Brother's offer dis-synergies, which will help swing some shareholder opinion towards Taiyo (irrespective of the price). 
Brother could bump, but it would not address the issue of satisfying the condition precedent (non-completion of Taiyo offer) and securing the Board's recommendation.  


Roland DG (6789 JP): Taiyo Bumps as Brother (6448 JP) Now Faces a Dilemma

<ul>
<li>On 19 April, Taiyo Co-CEO Brian Heywood told <a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bidding-war-prompts-taiyo-consider-030026276.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Bloomberg</a> and <a href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/us-fund-taiyo-says-it-may-buy-into-brother-bid-niche-japanese-printer-2024-04-19/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Reuters</a> they were considering three options to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brother-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6114:1" rel="noopener">Brother Industries (6448 JP)</a>’s tender for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/roland-dg-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10653:1" rel="noopener">Roland DG Corp (6789 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>Taiyo’s options are bumping its offer, walking away or tendering into the Brother’s offer if it bumps and alleviates dis-synergies concerns.</li>
<li>All three options are likely a ruse. Taiyo’s primary play is to frustrate and pressure Brother to withdraw its bid if it cannot get the Board’s recommendation.</li>
</ul>


On 19 April, Taiyo Co-CEO Brian Heywood told Bloomberg and Reuters they were considering three options to Brother Industries (6448 JP)’s tender for Roland DG Corp (6789 JP). 
Taiyo’s options are bumping its offer, walking away or tendering into the Brother’s offer if it bumps and alleviates dis-synergies concerns.
All three options are likely a ruse. Taiyo’s primary play is to frustrate and pressure Brother to withdraw its bid if it cannot get the Board’s recommendation.


Roland DG (6789 JP): Taiyo Mulling Three Options or Is It?

Japan

TOSHIBA TEC CORPORATION manufactures electronic equipment for distribution system, document processing, and household use.  The Company's products include Point of Sale (POS) systems, bar code scanners, copy machines, printers, and vacuum cleaners.

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Toshiba Tec (6588 JP)

Shanghai Sunmi Technology (6810 HK) IPO: Doesn't Stand Out

Shanghai Sunmi is a BIoT leader with strong growth potential, but its small IPO size and high FY26F PER of 21.4x relative to the peer (13.2x) make...

Osbert Tang, CFA

SBI Shinsei Bank Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), aims to raise around US$2bn in its Japan listing. We have looked at past performance in our earlier notes. In this...

Sumeet Singh

SBI Shinsei Bank Pre-IPO - The Negatives - PAT Growth Aided by One-Offs, Margins Under Pressure

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), a Japanese financial institution, aims to raise around US$2bn in its Japan listing. In this note, we talk about the not...

Sumeet Singh

Roland DG (6789 JP): Taiyo Bumps as Brother (6448 JP) Now Faces a Dilemma

The shares are trading above Taiyo’s revised offer. Brother could bump but faces a dilemma as its tender offer (irrespective of price) now has a...

Arun George

Roland DG (6789 JP): Taiyo Mulling Three Options or Is It?

Taiyo’s press interviews are a smokescreen for its primary tactic of frustrating and pressing Brother to withdraw its bid if it cannot get the...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Shanghai Sunmi Technology (6810 HK) IPO: Doesn't Stand Out

​Shanghai Sunmi is a BIoT leader with strong growth potential, but its small IPO size and high FY26F PER of 21.4x relative to the peer (13.2x) make...

Osbert Tang, CFA

SBI Shinsei Bank Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), aims to raise around US$2bn in its Japan listing. We have looked at past performance in our earlier notes. In this...

Sumeet Singh

SBI Shinsei Bank Pre-IPO - The Negatives - PAT Growth Aided by One-Offs, Margins Under Pressure

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), a Japanese financial institution, aims to raise around US$2bn in its Japan listing. In this note, we talk about the not...

Sumeet Singh

Roland DG (6789 JP): Taiyo Bumps as Brother (6448 JP) Now Faces a Dilemma

The shares are trading above Taiyo’s revised offer. Brother could bump but faces a dilemma as its tender offer (irrespective of price) now has a...

Arun George

Roland DG (6789 JP): Taiyo Mulling Three Options or Is It?

Taiyo’s press interviews are a smokescreen for its primary tactic of frustrating and pressing Brother to withdraw its bid if it cannot get the...

Arun George

Shanghai Sunmi is a BIoT leader with strong growth potential, but its small IPO size and high FY26F PER of 21.4x relative to the peer (13.2x) make...