Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Greatview Aseptic Packaging / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-xinjufeng-technology-packaging-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36744:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (301296 CH)</a>'s (XJF) Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a> (GAPack) turning <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0121/2025012100610.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">unconditional</a> was well telegraphed ahead of yesterday's first close in light of CCASS movements.  </li>
<li>My bet is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a>, after surprisingly selling below 5%, also tendered.</li>
<li>With 73.51% now in the bag and the Offer extended to the 4th February, what happens now? What are Jeff Bi and/or Gong Hong's options?</li>
</ul>



Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (301296 CH)'s (XJF) Offer for Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK) (GAPack) turning unconditional was well telegraphed ahead of yesterday's first close in light of CCASS movements.  
My bet is China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK), after surprisingly selling below 5%, also tendered.
With 73.51% now in the bag and the Offer extended to the 4th February, what happens now? What are Jeff Bi and/or Gong Hong's options?


GAPack (468 HK): Now What As XJF's Offer Gets Up

<ul>
<li>Quite a lot of new news to digest - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">GAPack (468 HK)</a>'s IFA, not altogether surprisingly, <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0107/2025010700041.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">concluded</a> that shareholders should not accept the Offer - in bold, red caps. </li>
<li>But more surprisingly, is the <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0106/2025010601137.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">disclosure announcement</a> that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a> has reduced its stake below 5%.  </li>
<li>Evidently Mengniu is keeping its options open to tender - or not - and not have to make public disclosures. Keep an eye out on CCASS movements.</li>
</ul>


Quite a lot of new news to digest - GAPack (468 HK)'s IFA, not altogether surprisingly, concluded that shareholders should not accept the Offer - in bold, red caps. 
But more surprisingly, is the disclosure announcement that China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK) has reduced its stake below 5%.  
Evidently Mengniu is keeping its options open to tender - or not - and not have to make public disclosures. Keep an eye out on CCASS movements.


GAPack (468 HK): IFA Says "Reject". But Mengniu Selling Down

Millennium & Copthorne Hotels Nz / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/millennium-copthorne-hotels-nz-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5040:1" rel="noopener">Millennium &amp; Copthorne Hotels (MCK NZ)</a> (MCK), a Kiwi hotel chain, has announced that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/city-developments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:57:1" rel="noopener">City Developments (CIT SP)</a>, its major shareholder, has made an Offer for shares not held. </li>
<li>City Dev is offering NZ$2.25/share, a 25% premium to last close. City holds 75.86% and the offer is conditional on a 90% holding, including shares currently held. </li>
<li>Reg approvals include OIA, which should be rubber-stamped. Very illiquid company.</li>
</ul>



Millennium &amp; Copthorne Hotels (MCK NZ) (MCK), a Kiwi hotel chain, has announced that City Developments (CIT SP), its major shareholder, has made an Offer for shares not held. 
City Dev is offering NZ$2.25/share, a 25% premium to last close. City holds 75.86% and the offer is conditional on a 90% holding, including shares currently held. 
Reg approvals include OIA, which should be rubber-stamped. Very illiquid company.


Millennium & Copthorne Hotels (MCK NZ): City Dev's Privatisation Offer

<ul>
<li>LVC sits a blocking stake ahead of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-henlius-biotech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27888:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)</a>'s shareholder vote on the 22nd Janaury. I've yet to see a solid rationality why they would block.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malaysia-airports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:117:1" rel="noopener">Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK)</a>extends the closing date to the 24th January. Shares held plus tendering is currently 86.18%. This is done.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> was IPOed in September 2023. Lockup expiry is next week, and there is a likely large index event in ~10 weeks</li>
</ul>


LVC sits a blocking stake ahead of Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)'s shareholder vote on the 22nd Janaury. I've yet to see a solid rationality why they would block.

Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK)extends the closing date to the 24th January. Shares held plus tendering is currently 86.18%. This is done.

Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) was IPOed in September 2023. Lockup expiry is next week, and there is a likely large index event in ~10 weeks


Last Week In Event SPACE: Shanghai Henlius, Malaysia Airports, Kokusai Electric, Smart Share

<ul>
<li>I tally 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. I've yet to see a solid rationality why they would block.</li>
<li>One new deal was discussed this week: Bain's Tender Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jamco-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14741:1" rel="noopener">Jamco Corp (7408 JP)</a>. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ho-bee-land-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18298:1" rel="noopener">Ho Bee Land Ltd (HOBEE SP)</a> also countered for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avjennings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12578:1" rel="noopener">AVJennings Ltd (AVJ AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insignia-financial-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12349:1" rel="noopener">Insignia Financial (IFL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-info-service-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:947:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thaicom-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18019:1" rel="noopener">Thaicom Pcl (THCOM TB)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. I've yet to see a solid rationality why they would block.
One new deal was discussed this week: Bain's Tender Offer for Jamco Corp (7408 JP). Ho Bee Land Ltd (HOBEE SP) also countered for AVJennings Ltd (AVJ AU).
Key updates/news took place on: Insignia Financial (IFL AU), Lifestyle China (2136 HK), and Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB)/Thaicom Pcl (THCOM TB).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Jamco, AVJennings, Insignia Financial, Advanced Info Service/Thaicom

Thailand

Thaicom PCL operates satellite communication business. The Company operates and provides satellite transponder services. Thaicom also provides Internet, satellite uplink/downlink, and telephone network services.

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Thaicom Pcl (THCOM TB)

GAPack (468 HK): Now What As XJF's Offer Gets Up

This is done and trading around terms. The back-end appears attractive but I have no strong conviction here. Shares could get suspended at the...

David Blennerhassett

GAPack (468 HK): IFA Says "Reject". But Mengniu Selling Down

The first close of XJF's Offer for Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK) is the 21st January, and for a number of investors, the deadline to tender...

David Blennerhassett

Millennium & Copthorne Hotels (MCK NZ): City Dev's Privatisation Offer

This is done. No other Offer will emerge. If small, illiquid arbs are your bent, look to enter here and on any weakness.

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Jamco, AVJennings, Insignia Financial, Advanced Info Service/Thaicom

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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GAPack (468 HK): Now What As XJF's Offer Gets Up

This is done and trading around terms. The back-end appears attractive but I have no strong conviction here. Shares could get suspended at the...

David Blennerhassett

GAPack (468 HK): IFA Says "Reject". But Mengniu Selling Down

The first close of XJF's Offer for Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK) is the 21st January, and for a number of investors, the deadline to tender...

David Blennerhassett

Millennium & Copthorne Hotels (MCK NZ): City Dev's Privatisation Offer

This is done. No other Offer will emerge. If small, illiquid arbs are your bent, look to enter here and on any weakness.

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: Shanghai Henlius, Malaysia Airports, Kokusai Electric, Smart Share

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Jamco, AVJennings, Insignia Financial, Advanced Info Service/Thaicom

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett