Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Tech sell off led my semi-cap names after D/G to sell for AMAT</li>
<li>Ulta beat paints a brighter picture for US consumer spending than expected</li>
<li>Is the relentless buy momo/sell everything else in Japan ready for a reversal?</li>
</ul>


Tech sell off led my semi-cap names after D/G to sell for AMAT
Ulta beat paints a brighter picture for US consumer spending than expected
Is the relentless buy momo/sell everything else in Japan ready for a reversal?


Japan Morning Connection: Markets Clearly Starting to Show EoY Wind Down

<ul>
<li>SMCI +11.6% has continued to surge higher lifting server related plays.</li>
<li>Kirin's partial sale of Kyowa Hakko Bio unlikely to met with much enthusiasm.</li>
<li>Will a future test-time growth trajectory slowdown for Advantest dampen sentiment?</li>
</ul>


SMCI +11.6% has continued to surge higher lifting server related plays.
Kirin's partial sale of Kyowa Hakko Bio unlikely to met with much enthusiasm.
Will a future test-time growth trajectory slowdown for Advantest dampen sentiment?


Japan Morning Connection: Bessent's Nomination for Treasury Secretary Seen as Stabilizing Markets

<ul>
<li>Trump names including banks, energy and tech rally hard, while renewables are sold heavily</li>
<li>Underperformance by semi-capex plays with high China sales may be reflected in Japan SPE today</li>
<li>Global defense rallied on the spectre of higher spend requirements for EU countries</li>
</ul>


Trump names including banks, energy and tech rally hard, while renewables are sold heavily
Underperformance by semi-capex plays with high China sales may be reflected in Japan SPE today
Global defense rallied on the spectre of higher spend requirements for EU countries


Japan Morning Connection: Trump Names Rally in the Wake of Re-Election

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

<ul><li>In my opinion, this week’s big news in the semiconductor industry is the ramp of Trainium. It’s a bit subtle, but I will walk you through the secondary impacts and then give you an idea.</li><li>Let’s start at the source and walk backward from there. Amazon finally woke up. <a href="https://www.semianalysis.com/p/amazons-cloud-crisis-how-aws-will" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SemiAnalysis’s piece on why Amazon will lose the future of AI</a> has pretty much turned out correct.</li><li>AWS has a fundamentally different view of how to run infrastructure, and most of it is driven by effectively pursuing Amazon basics at scale for their AWS property.</li></ul>

In my opinion, this week’s big news in the semiconductor industry is the ramp of Trainium. It’s a bit subtle, but I will walk you through the secondary impacts and then give you an idea.Let’s start at the source and walk backward from there. Amazon finally woke up. SemiAnalysis’s piece on why Amazon will lose the future of AI has pretty much turned out correct.AWS has a fundamentally different view of how to run infrastructure, and most of it is driven by effectively pursuing Amazon basics at scale for their AWS property.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.</li>
<li>As long as these base supports hold, we would use any election-related pullback as an opportunity to add exposure.</li>
<li>Following the election, we see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.
As long as these base supports hold, we would use any election-related pullback as an opportunity to add exposure.
Following the election, we see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end.


Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

Japan

ADVANTEST CORPORATION produces semiconductor testing devices and electronic measuring instruments.  The Company's products include large-scale integration (LSI) test systems, memory test systems, dynamic test handlers, network analyzers, electronic meters, optical testing devices, and signal sources.

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Advantest Corp (6857 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Clearly Starting to Show EoY Wind Down

Tech sell off led semi-cap names after D/G to sell for AMAT, Ulta beat signals stronger US consumer spending than expected, has buy momo/sell...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Bessent's Nomination for Treasury Secretary Seen as Stabilizing Markets

SMCI stock continues to climb higher, boosting server-related. Kirin's sale of Kyowa Hakko Bio may not be met with enthusiasm. Concerns about...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Names Rally in the Wake of Re-Election

Trump names rally while renewables sold heavily. Underperformance by semi-capex with high China sales may reflect in Japan SPE. Global defense...

Andrew Jackson

The Rise of Amazon's Trainium 2

In my opinion, this week’s big news in the semiconductor industry is the ramp of Trainium. It’s a bit subtle, but I will walk you through the...

Fabricated Knowledge

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI $ACWI and $SPX as they hold above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670; Buys in Services, Technology,...

Vermilion Research

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Japan Morning Connection: Markets Clearly Starting to Show EoY Wind Down

Tech sell off led semi-cap names after D/G to sell for AMAT, Ulta beat signals stronger US consumer spending than expected, has buy momo/sell...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Bessent's Nomination for Treasury Secretary Seen as Stabilizing Markets

​SMCI stock continues to climb higher, boosting server-related. Kirin's sale of Kyowa Hakko Bio may not be met with enthusiasm. Concerns about...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Names Rally in the Wake of Re-Election

Trump names rally while renewables sold heavily. Underperformance by semi-capex with high China sales may reflect in Japan SPE. Global defense...

Andrew Jackson

The Rise of Amazon's Trainium 2

In my opinion, this week’s big news in the semiconductor industry is the ramp of Trainium. It’s a bit subtle, but I will walk you through the...

Fabricated Knowledge

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI $ACWI and $SPX as they hold above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670; Buys in Services, Technology,...

Vermilion Research

SMCI stock continues to climb higher, boosting server-related. Kirin's sale of Kyowa Hakko Bio may not be met with enthusiasm. Concerns about...