Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways up, with resistance levels at 1,215 (10-day EMA) and 1,222 points, while the support levels are at 1,193 and 1,185 points.</li><li>In the medium term, the trend remains downward in a zig-zag down pattern, with the index searching for a bottom within the range of 1,130-1,506 points.</li><li>In the short term, the index has re- entered a short-term rally phase after making a new year-low at 1,173.13 points on March 4. </li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways up, with resistance levels at 1,215 (10-day EMA) and 1,222 points, while the support levels are at 1,193 and 1,185 points.In the medium term, the trend remains downward in a zig-zag down pattern, with the index searching for a bottom within the range of 1,130-1,506 points.In the short term, the index has re- entered a short-term rally phase after making a new year-low at 1,173.13 points on March 4. 

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to weaken, with the support at 1,167/1,150 points and the resistance at 1,185/1,193 points.</li><li>The medium-term trend remains in a zig-zag down pattern, seeking the bottom within the 1,130-1,506 point range.</li><li>In the short term, the index continues to form new lows with limited rebounds, having recently hit a new low for the year at 1,173.13 points, the lowest in four years and 11 months, compared to 1,130.54 points on April 3, 2020. </li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to weaken, with the support at 1,167/1,150 points and the resistance at 1,185/1,193 points.The medium-term trend remains in a zig-zag down pattern, seeking the bottom within the 1,130-1,506 point range.In the short term, the index continues to form new lows with limited rebounds, having recently hit a new low for the year at 1,173.13 points, the lowest in four years and 11 months, compared to 1,130.54 points on April 3, 2020. 

KTX Zoom - China's NPC Meeting and US ISM Services PMI for February

<ul><li>The combined 4Q24 earnings of 597 stocks in the SET Index (accounting for 98% of total market capitalization) amounted to Bt190,163mn, up 12% YoY but down 5% QoQ.</li><li>Excluding the energy, petrochemical, and banking sectors, earnings for the remaining stocks grew 23% YoY but declined 12% QoQ.</li><li>Among the 185 stocks with Bloomberg consensus estimates, earnings came in at Bt179,438mn, rising 24% YoY and 3% QoQ, but falling short of the Bloomberg consensus estimates by approximately 8%. </li></ul>

The combined 4Q24 earnings of 597 stocks in the SET Index (accounting for 98% of total market capitalization) amounted to Bt190,163mn, up 12% YoY but down 5% QoQ.Excluding the energy, petrochemical, and banking sectors, earnings for the remaining stocks grew 23% YoY but declined 12% QoQ.Among the 185 stocks with Bloomberg consensus estimates, earnings came in at Bt179,438mn, rising 24% YoY and 3% QoQ, but falling short of the Bloomberg consensus estimates by approximately 8%. 

Special Report: 4Q24 Consensus Earnings Summary - March 4, 2025

<ul><li>The impact of concerns over the tourism situation, which may escalate following the repatriation of Uyghurs to China in late February, is expected to be limited owing to the following factors: i) The proportion of tourists from the US and Japan, which have issued travel advisories for Thailand, is low at only 6% of total tourists.</li><li>ii) The government plans to revive the "We Travel Together" scheme during the low season (May-September), helping to mitigate the potential impact of the Uyghur issue, which is expected to affect the same period; historically, tourism conditions tend to normalize within 3-4 months after any unrest or unusual incidents.</li><li>iii) Stock prices typically decline and underperform the SET slightly at -2% to -3% in the one-week to two-month period following such events. </li></ul>

The impact of concerns over the tourism situation, which may escalate following the repatriation of Uyghurs to China in late February, is expected to be limited owing to the following factors: i) The proportion of tourists from the US and Japan, which have issued travel advisories for Thailand, is low at only 6% of total tourists.ii) The government plans to revive the "We Travel Together" scheme during the low season (May-September), helping to mitigate the potential impact of the Uyghur issue, which is expected to affect the same period; historically, tourism conditions tend to normalize within 3-4 months after any unrest or unusual incidents.iii) Stock prices typically decline and underperform the SET slightly at -2% to -3% in the one-week to two-month period following such events. 

Tourism and Airline Sectors - Expect Limited Impact from Uyghur Repatriation

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to weaken, with the support at 1,180/1,167 points and the resistance at 1,193/1,200 points.</li><li>The medium-term outlook remains in a downtrend, with the index forming a zig-zag down pattern to find the bottom within the range of 1,130-1,506 points.</li><li>In the short term, the index has resumed its decline, testing the previous new low of 1,186.36 points (recorded on February 28) to determine whether this is the cycle's bottom or if it will continue downward to establish a new low. </li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to weaken, with the support at 1,180/1,167 points and the resistance at 1,193/1,200 points.The medium-term outlook remains in a downtrend, with the index forming a zig-zag down pattern to find the bottom within the range of 1,130-1,506 points.In the short term, the index has resumed its decline, testing the previous new low of 1,186.36 points (recorded on February 28) to determine whether this is the cycle's bottom or if it will continue downward to establish a new low. 

KTX Zoom - Keep an Eye on Trump's Speech and US Retail Sector Earnings

Thailand

Central Plaza Hotel Public Company Limited owns and manages hotels and quick service restaurants. The Company operates its hotels under the banner of Centara Hotels & Resorts and franchises western and Japanese quick service restaurants.

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Central Plaza Hotel (CENTEL TB)

KTX Zoom: ECB Meeting - MARCH 6, 2025

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways up, with resistance levels at 1,215 (10-day EMA) and 1,222 points, while the support levels...

Krungthai XSpring

KTX Zoom - China's NPC Meeting and US ISM Services PMI for February

Technically, the SET Index is expected to weaken, with the support at 1,167/1,150 points and the resistance at 1,185/1,193 points.

Krungthai XSpring

Special Report: 4Q24 Consensus Earnings Summary - March 4, 2025

The combined 4Q24 earnings of 597 stocks in the SET Index (accounting for 98% of total market capitalization) amounted to Bt190,163mn, up 12% YoY...

Krungthai XSpring

Tourism and Airline Sectors - Expect Limited Impact from Uyghur Repatriation

We maintain a Neutral view on the sector and select CENTEL as the top pick (Outperform; TP at Bt39.00), given its stronger-than-peer earnings...

Krungthai XSpring

KTX Zoom - Keep an Eye on Trump's Speech and US Retail Sector Earnings

Technically, the SET Index is expected to weaken, with the support at 1,180/1,167 points and the resistance at 1,193/1,200 points.

Krungthai XSpring

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