Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

HomeCo Daily Needs REIT / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P/ASX Index family is a widely-tracked group of indices and sub-indices which represent the performance of ASX-listed companies. </li>
<li>In March 2022, Index rebalance events will take place for the S&amp;P/ASX capitalization-weighted indices including ASX 300, ASX 200, ASX 100, ASX 50, and ASX 20. </li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the leading candidates who could become Adds/Deletes during the March 2022 Rebalance and other potential irregular changes.</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P/ASX Index family is a widely-tracked group of indices and sub-indices which represent the performance of ASX-listed companies. 
In March 2022, Index rebalance events will take place for the S&amp;P/ASX capitalization-weighted indices including ASX 300, ASX 200, ASX 100, ASX 50, and ASX 20. 
In this insight, we take a look at the leading candidates who could become Adds/Deletes during the March 2022 Rebalance and other potential irregular changes.


S&P/​​ASX Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for March 2022 Rebalance (Final)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/senex-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18390:1" rel="noopener">Senex Energy (SXY AU)</a>'s Scheme Booklet is now out. The Scheme Meeting will be held on the 15 March. </li>
<li>The Independent Expert has concluded this US$600mn Offer is fair and reasonable and in the best interest of Senex shareholders.</li>
<li>The Offer price is full. And trading tight to terms.</li>
</ul>



Senex Energy (SXY AU)'s Scheme Booklet is now out. The Scheme Meeting will be held on the 15 March. 
The Independent Expert has concluded this US$600mn Offer is fair and reasonable and in the best interest of Senex shareholders.
The Offer price is full. And trading tight to terms.


Senex Energy: Scheme Booklet Out. Meeting On The 15 March

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/senex-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18390:1" rel="noopener">Senex Energy (SXY AU)</a> has <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02465599-2A1345453?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">entered</a> into a Scheme of Arrangement with Posco at A$4.60/share, in cash. In addition, Senex intends to pay an interim dividend of up to A$0.05/share.</li>
<li>Senex's board unanimously recommends that shareholders vote in favour of the Scheme. Key conditions of the Scheme include Senex shareholder approval and FIRB approval.</li>
<li>Senex expects a Scheme Meeting to occur in March 2022 and, if approved, the transaction is expected to complete in late March 2022.</li>
</ul>



Senex Energy (SXY AU) has entered into a Scheme of Arrangement with Posco at A$4.60/share, in cash. In addition, Senex intends to pay an interim dividend of up to A$0.05/share.
Senex's board unanimously recommends that shareholders vote in favour of the Scheme. Key conditions of the Scheme include Senex shareholder approval and FIRB approval.
Senex expects a Scheme Meeting to occur in March 2022 and, if approved, the transaction is expected to complete in late March 2022.


Senex Energy Enters Into Scheme With Posco

M&amp;A deals in the Aussie energy space continue.
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-international-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5954:1" rel="noopener">Posco International Corporation (047050 KS)</a>, the trading arm of South Korea's mega-steel play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:208:1" rel="noopener">Posco (005490 KS)</a>, has been granted exclusive due diligence through to 5 November to bump its indicative Offer of A$4.40/share for natural gas producer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/senex-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18390:1" rel="noopener">Senex Energy (SXY AU)</a>. 
PIC first approached Senex on the 2 September with a A$4.00/share Offer, then A$4.20 on the 27 August, before submitting an indicative proposal of A$4.40/share on the 2 September, which is a 40% premium to the 30-day VWAP on that day. 
PIC was granted due diligence on the 15 September. The DD extension is to provide PIC with additional time to assess a further revised proposal at a higher price.
Should a firm Offer transpire, it will be done via an off-market takeover with a 50.1% minimum acceptance condition. FIRB approval would also be a condition. 
Senex is open to other offers:
<blockquote>
The Senex Board believes it is in the best interests of its shareholders to continue to engage with POSCO International and will assess any proposal received on its merits
</blockquote>
The proposal follows ongoing deals for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oil-search-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:773:1" rel="noopener">Oil Search Ltd (OSH AU)</a> (<a href="https://skr.ma/jxkVJ" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Oil Search/Santos: PNG a Potential Party Pooper</a> ) and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woodside-petroleum-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:177:1" rel="noopener">Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU)</a> tilt for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group (BHP AU)</a> O&amp;G ops (<a href="https://skr.ma/wsrxa" target="_blank" rel="noopener">If Woodside Buys BHP Petroleum for Scrip, There Will Be Flowback</a>). 
More below the fold.

M&amp;A deals in the Aussie energy space continue.
Posco International Corporation (047050 KS), the trading arm of South Korea's mega-steel play Posco (005490 KS), has been granted exclusive due diligence through to 5 November to bump its indicative Offer of A$4.40/share for natural gas producer Senex Energy (SXY AU). 
PIC first approached Senex on the 2 September with a A$4.00/share Offer, then A$4.20 on the 27 August, before submitting an indicative proposal of A$4.40/share on the 2 September, which is a 40% premium to the 30-day VWAP on that day. 
PIC was granted due diligence on the 15 September. The DD extension is to provide PIC with additional time to assess a further revised proposal at a higher price.
Should a firm Offer transpire, it will be done via an off-market takeover with a 50.1% minimum acceptance condition. FIRB approval would also be a condition. 
Senex is open to other offers:

The Senex Board believes it is in the best interests of its shareholders to continue to engage with POSCO International and will assess any proposal received on its merits

The proposal follows ongoing deals for Oil Search Ltd (OSH AU) (Oil Search/Santos: PNG a Potential Party Pooper ) and Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU) tilt for BHP Group (BHP AU) O&amp;G ops (If Woodside Buys BHP Petroleum for Scrip, There Will Be Flowback). 
More below the fold.

Sino Gas & Energy Holdings / Event-Driven

The <a href="https://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20180727/pdf/43wtygynnjq25m.pdf" target="_blank">Scheme Booklet</a> for Lone Star's proposed acquisition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/6347" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6347:1">Sino Gas &amp; Energy Holdings (SEH AU)</a> has been registered with ASIC.  Key points from the Booklet, plus other musings:
<ul>
<li>The Scheme Meeting is to be held on the 5 September.</li>
<li>The Independent Expert (IE), Grant Thornton, has concluded the Scheme is in the best interests of shareholders, in the absence of a superior proposal. The A$0.25/share offer is towards the low end of the IE's A$0.228-A$0.321/share fair value range.</li>
<li>Sino Gas' directors…</li>
</ul>

The Scheme Booklet for Lone Star's proposed acquisition of Sino Gas &amp; Energy Holdings (SEH AU) has been registered with ASIC.  Key points from the Booklet, plus other musings:

The Scheme Meeting is to be held on the 5 September.
The Independent Expert (IE), Grant Thornton, has concluded the Scheme is in the best interests of shareholders, in the absence of a superior proposal. The A$0.25/share offer is towards the low end of the IE's A$0.228-A$0.321/share fair value range.
Sino Gas' directors…


Sino Gas' Scheme on Track. IE Concludes Offer Is Fair

Australia

Senex Energy Limited explores for and acquires crude oil and natural gas.  The Company is focused on Oil in the Cooper Basin, Unconventional gas in the Cooper Basin, and Coal seam gas in the Surat Basin.

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Senex Energy (SXY AU)

S&P/ASX Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for March 2022 Rebalance (Final)

A final look at the leading candidates who could become Adds/Deletes during the March 2022 Rebalance and other potential irregular changes.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Senex Energy: Scheme Booklet Out. Meeting On The 15 March

Trading tight at a gross/annualised spread of 0.9%/6.3%, including the A$0.05/share dividend. This is a done deal. Play the spread.

David Blennerhassett

Senex Energy Enters Into Scheme With Posco

The Offer price is full. Trading at a gross/annualised spread of 1.9%/6.8%, including the A$0.05/share dividend. This is a done deal. Play the...

David Blennerhassett

Senex (SXY AU): Posco's Looming Offer

Given DD has been afforded, $4.40/share is approaching full value Currently trading just below terms. I think $4.60/share will garner board...

David Blennerhassett

Sino Gas' Scheme on Track. IE Concludes Offer Is Fair

The Scheme Booklet for Lone Star's proposed acquisition of Sino Gas & Energy Holdings (SEH AU) has been registered with ASIC. Key points from...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

S&P/​​ASX Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for March 2022 Rebalance (Final)

A final look at the leading candidates who could become Adds/Deletes during the March 2022 Rebalance and other potential irregular changes.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Senex Energy: Scheme Booklet Out. Meeting On The 15 March

Trading tight at a gross/annualised spread of 0.9%/6.3%, including the A$0.05/share dividend. This is a done deal. Play the spread.

David Blennerhassett

Senex Energy Enters Into Scheme With Posco

The Offer price is full. Trading at a gross/annualised spread of 1.9%/6.8%, including the A$0.05/share dividend. This is a done deal. Play the...

David Blennerhassett

Senex (SXY AU): Posco's Looming Offer

Given DD has been afforded, $4.40/share is approaching full value Currently trading just below terms. I think $4.60/share will garner board...

David Blennerhassett

Sino Gas' Scheme on Track. IE Concludes Offer Is Fair

The Scheme Booklet for Lone Star's proposed acquisition of Sino Gas & Energy Holdings (SEH AU) has been registered with ASIC. Key points from...

David Blennerhassett

S&P/ASX Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for March 2022 Rebalance (Final)