HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Through continuous M&amp;A/resource integration, Haohai has gradually established its four business segments, but such development strategy hasn’t brought ideal performance, which is disappointing if compared with Bloomage and Imeik.</li>
<li>The future performance driver of Haohai still lies in the medical aesthetics business, but increasing competition and declining gross margin cast doubts on the outlook and growth potential.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-haohai-biological-technology-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29220:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology-A (688366 CH) </a>is overvalued. Due to lack of growth point with high certainty, we are not optimistic about the upside potential of Haohai's valuation.</li>
</ul>


Through continuous M&amp;A/resource integration, Haohai has gradually established its four business segments, but such development strategy hasn’t brought ideal performance, which is disappointing if compared with Bloomage and Imeik.
The future performance driver of Haohai still lies in the medical aesthetics business, but increasing competition and declining gross margin cast doubts on the outlook and growth potential.

Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology-A (688366 CH) is overvalued. Due to lack of growth point with high certainty, we are not optimistic about the upside potential of Haohai's valuation.


Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology (688366.CH/6826.HK)- Disappointing Earnings and Gloomy Outlook

Huadong Medicine Co Ltd A / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Huadong released encouraging 2022H1 results. After a significant decline due to the loss of VBP bid for core varieties, Huadong is out of trouble and back on track now.</li>
<li>The future profit contribution would be on medical cosmetology and industrial microorganisms businesses. For 2022 forecast, revenue YoY growth is below 10%, and net profit YoY growth is above 15%.</li>
<li>Due to unfriendly macro environment, Huadong's share price could face a correction. But based on its promising outlook, we recommend that investors could take advantage of the pullback to long.</li>
</ul>


Huadong released encouraging 2022H1 results. After a significant decline due to the loss of VBP bid for core varieties, Huadong is out of trouble and back on track now.
The future profit contribution would be on medical cosmetology and industrial microorganisms businesses. For 2022 forecast, revenue YoY growth is below 10%, and net profit YoY growth is above 15%.
Due to unfriendly macro environment, Huadong's share price could face a correction. But based on its promising outlook, we recommend that investors could take advantage of the pullback to long.


Huadong Medicine (000963.CH) 2022H1 - Huadong Is Back on Track. If Shares Pullback, Then Be Long

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>While AI has had a profound impact in image recognition,there has been little comparable progress in drug discovery, far from the current levels of investment and expectations in this sector.</li>
<li>The success of license-in model must be based on the appropriate valuation level. The ultimate parameter to measure a drug company based on license-in model is its cash flow status.</li>
<li>Pet medical equipment is not subject to the negative policy impact of centralized procurement. Together with high demand, it is expected to become the second growth curve of enterprises.</li>
</ul>


While AI has had a profound impact in image recognition,there has been little comparable progress in drug discovery, far from the current levels of investment and expectations in this sector.
The success of license-in model must be based on the appropriate valuation level. The ultimate parameter to measure a drug company based on license-in model is its cash flow status.
Pet medical equipment is not subject to the negative policy impact of centralized procurement. Together with high demand, it is expected to become the second growth curve of enterprises.


China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.12)-AI Drug Discovery, License-In Mode Valuation, Pet Medical Equipment

Sihuan Pharmaceutical Hldgs / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The disposal of generic drug segment would bring one-time cash flow. Together with the cash on hand, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sihuan-pharmaceutical-hldgs" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33:1" rel="noopener">Sihuan Pharmaceutical Hldgs (460 HK)</a> is undervalued based on its current market value. </li>
<li>In the context of its innovative drug segment facing long-term losses, and the decreasing profit margins of medical beauty segment due to increasing competition, Sihuan’s prospects are no brighter.</li>
<li>Due to the concerns on outlook and its development mode, Sihuan’s upside potential could be lower than expected, and the share price could fluctuate largely. </li>
</ul>


The disposal of generic drug segment would bring one-time cash flow. Together with the cash on hand, Sihuan Pharmaceutical Hldgs (460 HK) is undervalued based on its current market value. 
In the context of its innovative drug segment facing long-term losses, and the decreasing profit margins of medical beauty segment due to increasing competition, Sihuan’s prospects are no brighter.
Due to the concerns on outlook and its development mode, Sihuan’s upside potential could be lower than expected, and the share price could fluctuate largely. 


Sihuan Pharmaceutical (460.HK) - The Potential Disposal of Generic Drug Business and the Outlook

<ul>
<li>The most recent two quarters have maintained positive growth. It is of great significance for Huadong, who once suffered a significant decline and now in a critical period of transformation.</li>
<li>The large growth potential of medical cosmetology and industrial microbiology would be important driver for future development. It’s also wise to strike a balance between current performance and future strategy.</li>
<li>Huadong’s revenue growth would be above 10% in next few years. It would have higher valuation than Imeik. Investors are advised to follow Huadong. It could be a “dark horse”.</li>
</ul>


The most recent two quarters have maintained positive growth. It is of great significance for Huadong, who once suffered a significant decline and now in a critical period of transformation.
The large growth potential of medical cosmetology and industrial microbiology would be important driver for future development. It’s also wise to strike a balance between current performance and future strategy.
Huadong’s revenue growth would be above 10% in next few years. It would have higher valuation than Imeik. Investors are advised to follow Huadong. It could be a “dark horse”.


Huadong Medicine Co Ltd (000963.CH) - A “Dark Horse” to Reverse Performance Dilemma

China

Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd. wholesales and retails medicines, pharmaceutical preparations, biological products, and medical instruments.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures antibiotic medicines and biochemical products.

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Huadong Medicine Co Ltd A (000963 CH)

Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology (688366.CH/6826.HK)- Disappointing Earnings and Gloomy Outlook

Continuous M&A fails to bring ideal performance to Haohai. Medical aesthetics is the main growth driver, but Haohai is lack of competitiveness....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Huadong Medicine (000963.CH) 2022H1 - Huadong Is Back on Track. If Shares Pullback, Then Be Long

Huadong released encouraging H1 results.It's back on track. This positive momentum will continue in H2, especially medical cosmetology and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.12)-AI Drug Discovery, License-In Mode Valuation, Pet Medical Equipment

AI drug discovery is far from meeting the current investment level and expectations. The success of license-in mode must be based on appropriate...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Sihuan Pharmaceutical (460.HK) - The Potential Disposal of Generic Drug Business and the Outlook

The medical aesthetics/innovative drug business face various challenges.Though Sihuan is undervalued,concerns on outlook/development mode will...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Huadong Medicine Co Ltd (000963.CH) - A “Dark Horse” to Reverse Performance Dilemma

The outstanding performance and promising outlook of medical cosmetology and industrial microbiology will help Huadong reverse performance dilemma,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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