Healthcare Equity Analyst - Emerging & Dev Markets, daaimon

Avien Pillay

Healthcare Equity Analyst - Emerging & Dev Markets

daaimon

daaimon is an independent research company focusing on healthcare and consumer sectors across developed and emerging markets. We produce insightful research which challenges conventional thinking. In particular, we look for new ideas by testing consensus forecasts and markets expectations.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The obesity problem has escalated at an alarming rate in Asia. </li>
<li>Expect strong growth for GLP-1s over the next few years, however, companies that produce next-generation drugs will take the lead.</li>
<li>The significant increase in newly approved drugs will result in margin pressure - pricing will be key.</li>
</ul>


The obesity problem has escalated at an alarming rate in Asia. 
Expect strong growth for GLP-1s over the next few years, however, companies that produce next-generation drugs will take the lead.
The significant increase in newly approved drugs will result in margin pressure - pricing will be key.


HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>Due to the popularity of GLP-1 target, the entire GLP-1 upstream and downstream industry chain has received great enthusiasm. We analyzed related investment opportunities but also concerns in this market.  </li>
<li>Domestic CXOs should focus on securing orders for overseas weight loss drugs. The market value increment brought by weight loss drugs to CXO should be higher than that of APIs.</li>
<li>Due to increasing competition/potential price war, how big the real market space is uncertain. So, the market value increment of weight loss drugs business for pharmaceutical companies could be lower-than-expected.</li>
</ul>


Due to the popularity of GLP-1 target, the entire GLP-1 upstream and downstream industry chain has received great enthusiasm. We analyzed related investment opportunities but also concerns in this market.  
Domestic CXOs should focus on securing orders for overseas weight loss drugs. The market value increment brought by weight loss drugs to CXO should be higher than that of APIs.
Due to increasing competition/potential price war, how big the real market space is uncertain. So, the market value increment of weight loss drugs business for pharmaceutical companies could be lower-than-expected.


China's Weight Loss Drug Market – The Investment Opportunities and the Risks Behind

Equity Bottom-Up

Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>For the upcoming 11th national VBP, we think some core and big varieties could be included, involving companies such as Sunshine Lake Pharma, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huadong-medicine-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18522:1" rel="noopener">Huadong Medicine</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hansoh-pharmaceutical-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23675:1" rel="noopener">Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK)</a>, etc.</li>
<li>Anjoy’s IPO is fairly priced. Reasonable valuation range is 10-15x P/E.However, unfavorable factors have led us to take a conservative attitude towards the upside potential of stock price after IPO.</li>
<li>For Sunshine Lake Pharma's privatization of HEC Pharma, Composite Document was despatched. However, if investors truly understand "the essence" of HEC Pharma, they will be calm/rational about this absorption merger.</li>
</ul>


For the upcoming 11th national VBP, we think some core and big varieties could be included, involving companies such as Sunshine Lake Pharma, Huadong Medicine, Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK), etc.
Anjoy’s IPO is fairly priced. Reasonable valuation range is 10-15x P/E.However, unfavorable factors have led us to take a conservative attitude towards the upside potential of stock price after IPO.
For Sunshine Lake Pharma's privatization of HEC Pharma, Composite Document was despatched. However, if investors truly understand "the essence" of HEC Pharma, they will be calm/rational about this absorption merger.


China Healthcare Weekly (Jul.6)- Anjoy’s IPO Debut, HEC CJ Pharma's Merger with Sunshine Lake Pharma

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $120-$121 (up from 5500 and $115).</li>
<li>We are upgrading Korea(KOSPI) to overweight; we discussed May 30 several Financials and other stocks to buy. KOSPI has exploded higher since, and is now reversing its 2-year RS downtrend.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $120-$121 (up from 5500 and $115).
We are upgrading Korea(KOSPI) to overweight; we discussed May 30 several Financials and other stocks to buy. KOSPI has exploded higher since, and is now reversing its 2-year RS downtrend.


Upgrading Korea to Overweight; MSCI ACWI and Emerging Market Breakouts

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)</a>, a leading Chinese pharmaceutical company, has filed its PHIP for an H Share listing to raise US$2 billion.     </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-pharmaceuticals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44224:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (JHR HK)</a> ranked first among Chinese pharma companies in revenue from NME drugs in 2023 and the number of commercialised NME drugs in 2024.</li>
<li>The investment case rests on its product portfolio, strong revenue growth, rising profitability, cash generation, strong balance sheet and undemanding valuation. </li>
</ul>



Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH), a leading Chinese pharmaceutical company, has filed its PHIP for an H Share listing to raise US$2 billion.     

Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (JHR HK) ranked first among Chinese pharma companies in revenue from NME drugs in 2023 and the number of commercialised NME drugs in 2024.
The investment case rests on its product portfolio, strong revenue growth, rising profitability, cash generation, strong balance sheet and undemanding valuation. 


Jiangsu Hengrui Pharma H Share Listing: The Investment Case

China

Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd. wholesales and retails medicines, pharmaceutical preparations, biological products, and medical instruments.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures antibiotic medicines and biochemical products.

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Huadong Medicine Co Ltd A (000963 CH)

The GLP-1 Landscape in Asia

First-gen GLP-1 impact may fall short of hype, demand still strong. Next-gen drugs promise better results, tolerance, price. Expect margin pressure...

daaimon

China's Weight Loss Drug Market – The Investment Opportunities and the Risks Behind

The GLP-1 target has been recognized as a blockbuster target, which has attracted great enthusiasm from investors.We analyzed related investment...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Jul.6)- Anjoy’s IPO Debut, HEC CJ Pharma's Merger with Sunshine Lake Pharma

11th VBP may include big variety of Sunshine Lake Pharma/Huadong/Hansoh. Anjoy's IPO is fairly priced but shares upside is limited.HEC Pharma's...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Upgrading Korea to Overweight; MSCI ACWI and Emerging Market Breakouts

MSCI $ACWI and Emerging Market $EEM Breakouts; Upgrading Korea $EWY to Overweight; Downgrading Broad Europe, but staying Overweight Germany,...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

The GLP-1 Landscape in Asia

First-gen GLP-1 impact may fall short of hype, demand still strong. Next-gen drugs promise better results, tolerance, price. Expect margin pressure...

daaimon

China's Weight Loss Drug Market – The Investment Opportunities and the Risks Behind

The GLP-1 target has been recognized as a blockbuster target, which has attracted great enthusiasm from investors.We analyzed related investment...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Jul.6)- Anjoy’s IPO Debut, HEC CJ Pharma's Merger with Sunshine Lake Pharma

11th VBP may include big variety of Sunshine Lake Pharma/Huadong/Hansoh. Anjoy's IPO is fairly priced but shares upside is limited.HEC Pharma's...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Upgrading Korea to Overweight; MSCI ACWI and Emerging Market Breakouts

MSCI $ACWI and Emerging Market $EEM Breakouts; Upgrading Korea $EWY to Overweight; Downgrading Broad Europe, but staying Overweight Germany,...

Vermilion Research

Jiangsu Hengrui Pharma H Share Listing: The Investment Case

Hengrui Pharma has filed its PHIP for an H Share listing to raise US$2 billion. In this note, we discuss the key tenets of the investment case.

Arun George