APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apa-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18658:1" rel="noopener">APA Group (APA AU)</a> is looking to raise A$675m (US$430m) in its primary follow-on to partially fund its acquisition of the Alinta Energy assets in the Pilbara region.</li>
<li>The deal is a well flagged one with APA having been one of the last remaining bidders on the asset. Short interest has been on the rise as well.</li>
<li>However, the deal doesn’t seem accretive at our end, and the results reported today seemed to have missed analyst expectations.</li>
</ul>



APA Group (APA AU) is looking to raise A$675m (US$430m) in its primary follow-on to partially fund its acquisition of the Alinta Energy assets in the Pilbara region.
The deal is a well flagged one with APA having been one of the last remaining bidders on the asset. Short interest has been on the rise as well.
However, the deal doesn’t seem accretive at our end, and the results reported today seemed to have missed analyst expectations.


APA Group Placement - Well Flagged Deal, but Lacks in Accretion

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index at the March rebalance. </li>
<li>Float and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 4.4% and in a round-trip trade of A$195m.</li>
<li>We had <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lendlease-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11248:1" rel="noopener">Lendlease Group (LLC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/idp-education-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1098:1" rel="noopener">IDP Education (IEL AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nib-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7063:1" rel="noopener">nib holdings (NHF AU)</a> as close deletes and they will now have inflows due to capping.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index at the March rebalance. 
Float and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 4.4% and in a round-trip trade of A$195m.
We had Lendlease Group (LLC AU), IDP Education (IEL AU) and nib holdings (NHF AU) as close deletes and they will now have inflows due to capping.


MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes to Drive Flow

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, there are 3 stocks that are close to the deletion zone and could be removed from the index at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>Even if there are no constituent changes, capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 4.4% and a one-way trade of A$97m.</li>
<li>There are 9 stocks with over A$5m to trade from passive trackers but the impact on the stocks is not very high.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, there are 3 stocks that are close to the deletion zone and could be removed from the index at the March rebalance.
Even if there are no constituent changes, capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 4.4% and a one-way trade of A$97m.
There are 9 stocks with over A$5m to trade from passive trackers but the impact on the stocks is not very high.


MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Three Close Deletions

<ul>
<li>The changes at the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225</a> September rebalance were announced on 4 September. The rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> and HSCI was implemented on the same day.</li>
<li>The changes to the MVIS indices were announced on 8 September and will be implemented at the close on 15 September. The S&amp;P/ASX family will also rebalance on 15 September.</li>
<li>After a month and a half of big inflows to onshore China ETFs, there were small outflows from a lot of ETFs during the week.</li>
</ul>


The changes at the Nikkei 225 September rebalance were announced on 4 September. The rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH and HSCI was implemented on the same day.
The changes to the MVIS indices were announced on 8 September and will be implemented at the close on 15 September. The S&amp;P/ASX family will also rebalance on 15 September.
After a month and a half of big inflows to onshore China ETFs, there were small outflows from a lot of ETFs during the week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, ASX, CSI300, KOSDAQ150, Yuanta ETFs, MVA, MVW, SMH

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index at the September rebalance. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jb-hi-fi-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:555:1" rel="noopener">JB Hi-Fi Ltd (JBH AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charter-hall-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5593:1" rel="noopener">Charter Hall (CHC AU)</a> have avoided deletion.</li>
<li>Float and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 3.5% and in a one-way trade of A$69m.</li>
<li>There is a lot of short interest on stocks that will have passive buy/sell flows, but there will not be enough volume traded for shorts to use to reduce positions.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index at the September rebalance. JB Hi-Fi Ltd (JBH AU) and Charter Hall (CHC AU) have avoided deletion.
Float and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 3.5% and in a one-way trade of A$69m.
There is a lot of short interest on stocks that will have passive buy/sell flows, but there will not be enough volume traded for shorts to use to reduce positions.


MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes

Australia

APA Group is a natural gas infrastructure company. The Company owns and or operates gas transmission and distribution assets whose pipelines span every state and territory in mainland Australia. APA Group also holds minority interests in energy infrastructure enterprises.

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APA Group (APA AU)

APA Group Placement - Well Flagged Deal, but Lacks in Accretion

APA Group (APA AU) is looking to raise A$675m (US$430m) in its primary follow-on to partially fund its acquisition of the Alinta Energy assets in...

Clarence Chu

MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes to Drive Flow

There are no constituent changes for the index in March but float and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 4.4% and in a round-trip...

Brian Freitas

MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Three Close Deletions

There are 3 close deletes for the index in March. Even if there are no changes, 1-way turnover is 4.4% and 1-way trade is A$97m. Shorts have been...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, ASX, CSI300, KOSDAQ150, Yuanta ETFs, MVA, MVW, SMH

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes

There are no constituent changes, but float/capping will result in one-way turnover of 3.5% and in a one-way trade of A$69m. JB Hi-fi and Charter...

Brian Freitas

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