HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Guangzhou Innogen Pharmaceutical / Equity Capital Markets

Guangzhou Innogen Pharmaceutical (2591 HK)

<ul>
<li>Compared to competitors, the competitive advantage of Efsubaglutide Alfa is not obvious.The weight loss effect of single target mechanism could be weaker than that of competing dual and triple agonists</li>
<li>Before Innogen filed for listing, some pre-IPO investors chose to transfer the Company's equity they held at a discount, indicating that these investors lack confidence in the Company's prospects.</li>
<li>Under the double pressure of a single pipeline and lagging commercialization, pre-IPO valuation of RMB4.65bn is more like a dangerous bubble game.We shared our views on valuation and post-IPO performance.</li>
</ul>


Compared to competitors, the competitive advantage of Efsubaglutide Alfa is not obvious.The weight loss effect of single target mechanism could be weaker than that of competing dual and triple agonists
Before Innogen filed for listing, some pre-IPO investors chose to transfer the Company's equity they held at a discount, indicating that these investors lack confidence in the Company's prospects.
Under the double pressure of a single pipeline and lagging commercialization, pre-IPO valuation of RMB4.65bn is more like a dangerous bubble game.We shared our views on valuation and post-IPO performance.


Pre-IPO Guangzhou Innogen Pharmaceutical Group (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>A methodology change for the Hang Seng Biotech Index (HSHKBIO Index) will result in 20 deletions at the close of trading on 5 September.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 9.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$1.3bn (US$162m). Passive trackers need to sell between 0.05-1x ADV in the deletes.</li>
<li>The forecast deletes have underperformed the other index constituents since the start of the year but there has been little movement since the announcement of the methodology change.</li>
</ul>


A methodology change for the Hang Seng Biotech Index (HSHKBIO Index) will result in 20 deletions at the close of trading on 5 September.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 9.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$1.3bn (US$162m). Passive trackers need to sell between 0.05-1x ADV in the deletes.
The forecast deletes have underperformed the other index constituents since the start of the year but there has been little movement since the announcement of the methodology change.


Hang Seng Biotech Index Rebalance Preview: Methodology Change Leads to 20 Deletions

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 61.4% as of Aug 1st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.6ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, consumer staples, health care and offset by materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Telecom, CIMC, Anjoy Food, China Everbright Bank, Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 61.4% as of Aug 1st.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.6ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, consumer staples, health care and offset by materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Telecom, CIMC, Anjoy Food, China Everbright Bank, Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery, BYD.


A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 1st): China Telecom, CIMC, Anjoy Food, China Everbright Bank

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 1st.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CCB, China Life, Tencent, Li Auto, China Mobile, Xiaomi, Pop Mart Intl, BYD, Anta, ABC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 1st.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for CCB, China Life, Tencent, Li Auto, China Mobile, Xiaomi, Pop Mart Intl, BYD, Anta, ABC.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 1st): CCB, China Life, Tencent, Li Auto, China Mobile, Xiaomi

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.2% as of Jul 25th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.7ppt week-on-week, led by materials, communication services, financials and offset by consumer staples, real estate, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Jiangxi Copper, Dongfang Electric, China Life, China Energy Engineering, Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery, China Railway Construction.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.2% as of Jul 25th.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.7ppt week-on-week, led by materials, communication services, financials and offset by consumer staples, real estate, health care.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Jiangxi Copper, Dongfang Electric, China Life, China Energy Engineering, Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery, China Railway Construction.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 25th): Jiangxi Copper, Dongfang Electric, China Life

China

Livzon Pharmaceutical Group is a comprehensive pharmaceutical company engaged in the research, development, production, and sales of various pharmaceutical products. Its portfolio includes chemical drugs, biological drugs, traditional Chinese medicine, and in vitro diagnostic reagents, covering therapeutic areas such as digestion, cardiovascular, reproductive endocrinology, and mental/nervous systems. The company was founded in January 1985 and is headquartered in Zhuhai City, Guangdong Province, China.

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Livzon Pharmaceutical Group (1513 HK)

Pre-IPO Guangzhou Innogen Pharmaceutical Group (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

Innogen's crazy IPO debut is due to the resonance of retail investors' enthusiasm/institutional arbitrage/bubble in biotech sector.Reasonable...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hang Seng Biotech Index Rebalance Preview: Methodology Change Leads to 20 Deletions

A methodology change could lead to 20 deletions in Sep. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 9.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 1st): China Telecom, CIMC, Anjoy Food, China Everbright Bank

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Telecom, CIMC, Anjoy Food, China Everbright Bank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 1st): CCB, China Life, Tencent, Li Auto, China Mobile, Xiaomi

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for CCB, China Life, Tencent, Li Auto, China Mobile, Xiaomi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 25th): Jiangxi Copper, Dongfang Electric, China Life

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Jiangxi Copper, Dongfang Electric, China Life, China Energy...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)