Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Samsung Semiconductor re-org, new reporting lines, top management promotions and demotions, but the same people. That's going to solve problems? Qualcomm gives up on buying Intel - good idea. </li>
<li>Xiaomi to launch its smartphone chip, but what for? Intel launching a PC GPU again . Apple delays or abandons 2nm for M5 chip (too expensive). TSMC increasing CoWoS again. </li>
<li>China - US worsening relations, side effect is over buying, over stocking of semiconductors? is there a bunch of inventories in China that we can't see?  </li>
</ul>


Samsung Semiconductor re-org, new reporting lines, top management promotions and demotions, but the same people. That's going to solve problems? Qualcomm gives up on buying Intel - good idea. 
Xiaomi to launch its smartphone chip, but what for? Intel launching a PC GPU again . Apple delays or abandons 2nm for M5 chip (too expensive). TSMC increasing CoWoS again. 
China - US worsening relations, side effect is over buying, over stocking of semiconductors? is there a bunch of inventories in China that we can't see?  


Tech News This Week: Samsung Re-Org, QCOM Gives up on Intel, TSMC Increase CoWoS, Apple Delays 2nm

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>US Set to Unveil New Wave of Semiconductor Restrictions on China</li>
<li>Hon Hai Subsidiary Says Progress for Nvidia GB200 Servers is Smooth, Mass Production in 2025E</li>
<li>PC Monitor: Dell &amp; HPQ Highlight Sharp Divide Between Corporate and Consumer PC Demand; Shares Slump </li>
</ul>


US Set to Unveil New Wave of Semiconductor Restrictions on China
Hon Hai Subsidiary Says Progress for Nvidia GB200 Servers is Smooth, Mass Production in 2025E
PC Monitor: Dell &amp; HPQ Highlight Sharp Divide Between Corporate and Consumer PC Demand; Shares Slump 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: New China Tech Restrictions Monday; PC Demand Commercial Vs. Consumer Disconnect

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>NVIDIA this week reported Q3FY25 revenues of $35.082 billion, up 17% QoQ, up 94% YoY and a full $2.5 billion above the guided midpoint.</li>
<li>Looking ahead, NVIDIA is forecasting revenues of $37.5 billion, up ~7% sequentially. Gross margins to decline slightly to 73%.</li>
<li>Contrary to Jensen Huang's vision, the existing $1 trillion worth of data centers do not need to be "modernized" into AI factories. This is pure fantasy. </li>
</ul>


NVIDIA this week reported Q3FY25 revenues of $35.082 billion, up 17% QoQ, up 94% YoY and a full $2.5 billion above the guided midpoint.
Looking ahead, NVIDIA is forecasting revenues of $37.5 billion, up ~7% sequentially. Gross margins to decline slightly to 73%.
Contrary to Jensen Huang's vision, the existing $1 trillion worth of data centers do not need to be "modernized" into AI factories. This is pure fantasy. 


NVIDIA Q3FY25 Growth Story Still On Track But Heed The Flaws In Jensen's GenAI Vision

<ul>
<li>Asustek Guides for 20%+ YoY PC Revenue Growth in 4Q24E;  Lenovo Delivers 17% YoY PC Revenue Growth in CY3Q24</li>
<li>AI PCs: A Multi-Year Upgrade Cycle with Rising Average Selling Prices; AI PCs 80% of the PC Market by 2027E</li>
<li>Maintain Structural Long View for AI PC Up-Cycle; Asustek, Acer, &amp; Lenovo Well-Positioned Through 2025E</li>
</ul>


Asustek Guides for 20%+ YoY PC Revenue Growth in 4Q24E;  Lenovo Delivers 17% YoY PC Revenue Growth in CY3Q24
AI PCs: A Multi-Year Upgrade Cycle with Rising Average Selling Prices; AI PCs 80% of the PC Market by 2027E
Maintain Structural Long View for AI PC Up-Cycle; Asustek, Acer, &amp; Lenovo Well-Positioned Through 2025E


PC Monitor: Asustek & Lenovo Signal Strong PC Growth, AI PC Expansion in Process

<ul>
<li>TSMC: more restrictions on export to China. TSMC can’t make 2nm in US before 2028-29. Lawsuit in Arizona.</li>
<li>Korea: special chips act to give chipmakers subsidies and an exemption from a national cap on working hours. Korean engineers only work 52 hours / week. That’s a problem.</li>
<li>Amazon more in-house AI chips. Super Micro trying to avoid delisting. Smartphone ASP keep increasing because chip prices are increasing (ie Mediatek, Qualcomm). AI PC reaching 20% in 3Q214. </li>
</ul>


TSMC: more restrictions on export to China. TSMC can’t make 2nm in US before 2028-29. Lawsuit in Arizona.
Korea: special chips act to give chipmakers subsidies and an exemption from a national cap on working hours. Korean engineers only work 52 hours / week. That’s a problem.
Amazon more in-house AI chips. Super Micro trying to avoid delisting. Smartphone ASP keep increasing because chip prices are increasing (ie Mediatek, Qualcomm). AI PC reaching 20% in 3Q214. 


Tech News This Week: TSMC, Samsung, Amazon / Nvidia, Super Micro, Smartphone ASP Increasing, AI PC

United States

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) produces semiconductor products and devices. The Company offers products such as microprocessors, embedded microprocessors, chipsets, graphics, video and multimedia products and supplies it to third-party foundries, as well as provides assembling, testing, and packaging services. AMD serves customers worldwide.

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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US)

Tech News This Week: Samsung Re-Org, QCOM Gives up on Intel, TSMC Increase CoWoS, Apple Delays 2nm

Samsung re-orgs, Qualcomm backs off from Intel purchase, Xiaomi enters chip market, Intel introduces PC GPU, Apple delays 2nm for M5, TSMC boosts...

Nicolas Baratte

Taiwan Tech Weekly: New China Tech Restrictions Monday; PC Demand Commercial Vs. Consumer Disconnect

US is imposing new restrictions on China in semiconductor industry, Hon Hai subsidiary progressing smoothly with Nvidia servers, Dell and HPQ...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

NVIDIA Q3FY25 Growth Story Still On Track But Heed The Flaws In Jensen's GenAI Vision

NVIDIA's growth story remains intact, albeit it's slowing down. Jensen's claim that the existing $1 trillion general purpose data center stock will...

William Keating

PC Monitor: Asustek & Lenovo Signal Strong PC Growth, AI PC Expansion in Process

Asustek, Acer, and Lenovo well-positioned for AI PC market growth, with Asus guiding for 20%+ YoY PC revenue growth in 4Q24E. AI PCs expected to...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech News This Week: TSMC, Samsung, Amazon / Nvidia, Super Micro, Smartphone ASP Increasing, AI PC

TSMC faces export restrictions to China. Korea offers subsidies to chipmakers, but faces labor issue. Amazon ramps up AI chip production. Chip...

Nicolas Baratte

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Tech News This Week: Samsung Re-Org, QCOM Gives up on Intel, TSMC Increase CoWoS, Apple Delays 2nm

​Samsung re-orgs, Qualcomm backs off from Intel purchase, Xiaomi enters chip market, Intel introduces PC GPU, Apple delays 2nm for M5, TSMC boosts...

Nicolas Baratte

Taiwan Tech Weekly: New China Tech Restrictions Monday; PC Demand Commercial Vs. Consumer Disconnect

​US is imposing new restrictions on China in semiconductor industry, Hon Hai subsidiary progressing smoothly with Nvidia servers, Dell and HPQ...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

NVIDIA Q3FY25 Growth Story Still On Track But Heed The Flaws In Jensen's GenAI Vision

NVIDIA's growth story remains intact, albeit it's slowing down. Jensen's claim that the existing $1 trillion general purpose data center stock will...

William Keating

PC Monitor: Asustek & Lenovo Signal Strong PC Growth, AI PC Expansion in Process

​Asustek, Acer, and Lenovo well-positioned for AI PC market growth, with Asus guiding for 20%+ YoY PC revenue growth in 4Q24E. AI PCs expected to...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech News This Week: TSMC, Samsung, Amazon / Nvidia, Super Micro, Smartphone ASP Increasing, AI PC

​TSMC faces export restrictions to China. Korea offers subsidies to chipmakers, but faces labor issue. Amazon ramps up AI chip production. Chip...

Nicolas Baratte

Samsung re-orgs, Qualcomm backs off from Intel purchase, Xiaomi enters chip market, Intel introduces PC GPU, Apple delays 2nm for M5, TSMC boosts...

US is imposing new restrictions on China in semiconductor industry, Hon Hai subsidiary progressing smoothly with Nvidia servers, Dell and HPQ...

Asustek, Acer, and Lenovo well-positioned for AI PC market growth, with Asus guiding for 20%+ YoY PC revenue growth in 4Q24E. AI PCs expected to...

TSMC faces export restrictions to China. Korea offers subsidies to chipmakers, but faces labor issue. Amazon ramps up AI chip production. Chip...