Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Micron's earnings call gives a good advanced warning of similar companies' reports</li>
<li>The company's downturn is the worst in the past 13 years</li>
<li>Not all chip companies will suffer this downturn, and few will do as badly as commodity memory makers.  Tool makers will feel the impact next year.</li>
</ul>


Micron's earnings call gives a good advanced warning of similar companies' reports
The company's downturn is the worst in the past 13 years
Not all chip companies will suffer this downturn, and few will do as badly as commodity memory makers.  Tool makers will feel the impact next year.


Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>Intel has eked out a small outperformance vs. TSMC most recently, and we believe there is more to come.</li>
<li>Events appear to be in Intel's favor in the near-term.</li>
<li>TSMC has outperformed by a historically extreme amount in just three weeks.</li>
</ul>


Intel has eked out a small outperformance vs. TSMC most recently, and we believe there is more to come.
Events appear to be in Intel's favor in the near-term.
TSMC has outperformed by a historically extreme amount in just three weeks.


Intel Vs. TSMC Monitor: TSMC Outperformed Too Much Too Soon?

<ul>
<li>The current semiconductor market meltdown can be expected to continue through the end of 2024</li>
<li>This will reduce 2022 market growth to 5%, and will drive a decline of 19% in 2023</li>
<li>Stocks will be unevenly influenced by this, with the most dramatic declines hitting makers of volume commodities, smaller declines in differentiated products, and a weak impact on older technology products.</li>
</ul>


The current semiconductor market meltdown can be expected to continue through the end of 2024
This will reduce 2022 market growth to 5%, and will drive a decline of 19% in 2023
Stocks will be unevenly influenced by this, with the most dramatic declines hitting makers of volume commodities, smaller declines in differentiated products, and a weak impact on older technology products.


2023 High Conviction: Semiconductor Down Market

<ul>
<li>TSMC has outperformed INTC by 23% in just two weeks, which is an extreme divergence in a short period of time by historical standards.</li>
<li>Foreseeable company-specific events or news flow over the next 30 days appears limited.</li>
<li>Valuation remains supportive for INTC and we believe it could recover part of its recent underperformance in the next month.</li>
</ul>


TSMC has outperformed INTC by 23% in just two weeks, which is an extreme divergence in a short period of time by historical standards.
Foreseeable company-specific events or news flow over the next 30 days appears limited.
Valuation remains supportive for INTC and we believe it could recover part of its recent underperformance in the next month.


Intel Vs. TSMC Monitor: TSMC Soars on Buffett Investment, Why INTC Could Now Revert

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Advanced Micro Devices / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>AMD’s Q3 results were well below Wall Street expectations because of weaker PC demand and significant inventory reduction measures taken throughout the PC supply chain.</li><li>As server OEMs continued to resolve match set concerns, OEM sales in the enterprise sector decreased sequentially.</li><li>AMD’s Xilinx FPGA and networking data center products saw good sales thanks to strong demand from cloud and financial customers.</li></ul>

AMD’s Q3 results were well below Wall Street expectations because of weaker PC demand and significant inventory reduction measures taken throughout the PC supply chain.As server OEMs continued to resolve match set concerns, OEM sales in the enterprise sector decreased sequentially.AMD’s Xilinx FPGA and networking data center products saw good sales thanks to strong demand from cloud and financial customers.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD): New Launches & Other Drivers

United States

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) produces semiconductor products and devices. The Company offers products such as microprocessors, embedded microprocessors, chipsets, graphics, video and multimedia products and supplies it to third-party foundries, as well as provides assembling, testing, and packaging services. AMD serves customers worldwide.

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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US)

Micron Earnings Give Semi Market Outlook

Micron's just-announced revenues indicate trouble today for its peers and trouble next year for tool makers, but other sectors should fare much...

Jim Handy

Intel Vs. TSMC Monitor: TSMC Outperformed Too Much Too Soon?

TSMC has outperformed by a historically extreme amount in just three weeks. Intel may attract value and contrarian buyers through year-end.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

2023 High Conviction: Semiconductor Down Market

What's happening in semiconductors? When will the downturn end? What does this mean to chip stock prices? This Insight provides some concrete...

Jim Handy

Intel Vs. TSMC Monitor: TSMC Soars on Buffett Investment, Why INTC Could Now Revert

TSMC has outperformed INTC by 23% in just two weeks, which is an extreme divergence in a short period of time by historical standards.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD): New Launches & Other Drivers

AMD’s Q3 results were well below Wall Street expectations because of weaker PC demand and significant inventory reduction measures taken...

Baptista Research

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