TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

Palantir Technologies  / Equity Bottom-Up

<p>This week we take a look at Palantir's gold purchases, Intel's proposed capex spending, and Amazon's entrance into the Department store space...basically alot of short ideas.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p>Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.</p></div>

This week we take a look at Palantir's gold purchases, Intel's proposed capex spending, and Amazon's entrance into the Department store space...basically alot of short ideas.Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.

TMT Weekly: 3 Things that Stood Out the Week of August 20, 2021

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

<p>In its most recent earnings call WDC reported higher HDD revenues than its flash revenues.  Is this a long-term trend?  This Insight explains why flash revenues are likely to regain first place, and gives an indication of how that might impact total revenues in the future. </p>

In its most recent earnings call WDC reported higher HDD revenues than its flash revenues.  Is this a long-term trend?  This Insight explains why flash revenues are likely to regain first place, and gives an indication of how that might impact total revenues in the future. 

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Quantitative Analysis

<div><p>The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.</p></div><div><p>Hong Kong saw shorts rise on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/postal-savings-bank-of-china" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22848:1" rel="noopener">Postal Savings Bank of China (1658 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cansino-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27739:1" rel="noopener">CanSino Biologics Inc (6185 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongan-online-p-c-insurance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23681:1" rel="noopener">ZhongAn Online P&amp;C Insurance (6060 HK)</a> while there was short covering on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29030:1" rel="noopener">NetEase (9999 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-services-holdings-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27343:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-overseas-land-invest" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:419:1" rel="noopener">China Overseas Land &amp; Investment Ltd (688 HK)</a>. Shorts increased in the Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, Information Technology and Financials sectors while decreasing in the Communication Services, Real Estate and Consumer Staples sectors.</p></div><div><p>In Japan, stocks increased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:838:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yaskawa-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2458:1" rel="noopener">Yaskawa Electric (6506 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/odakyu-electric-railway-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5405:1" rel="noopener">Odakyu Electric Railway (9007 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsui-osk-lines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20717:1" rel="noopener">Mitsui Osk Lines (9104 JP)</a> while there was short covering on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/freee-kk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28424:1" rel="noopener">freee (4478 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sharp-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:391:1" rel="noopener">Sharp Corp (6753 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kawasaki-kisen-kaisha-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3548:1" rel="noopener">Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nabtesco-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13176:1" rel="noopener">Nabtesco Corp (6268 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-electric-power-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15457:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Electric Power Co (9501 JP)</a>. Shorts increased in the Industrials, Financials and Information Technology sectors.</p></div><div><p>In Korea, shorts increased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ncsoft-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5169:1" rel="noopener">NCSOFT Corp (036570 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netmarble-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22839:1" rel="noopener">Netmarble Corporation (251270 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/db-hitek-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18926:1" rel="noopener">DB Hitek Co., Ltd. (000990 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-telecom-co-ltd-bbccd86c-474d-4a4d-946d-10e911a225a2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:395:1" rel="noopener">SK Telecom (017670 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> while shorts were covered on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amorepacific-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20854:1" rel="noopener">Amorepacific Corp (090430 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15002:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Corp (035720 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-innovation-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1268:1" rel="noopener">SK Innovation (096770 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-household-health-care" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6501:1" rel="noopener">LG Household &amp; Health Care (051900 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kt-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1112:1" rel="noopener">KT Corp (030200 KS)</a>.</p></div><div><p>In Taiwan, shorts increased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yageo-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13212:1" rel="noopener">Yageo Corporation (2327 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mediatek-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:772:1" rel="noopener">Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evergreen-marine-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15428:1" rel="noopener">Evergreen Marine Corp (2603 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innolux-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4509:1" rel="noopener">Innolux Corp (3481 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nuvoton-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15913:1" rel="noopener">Nuvoton Technology (4919 TT)</a> while shorts covered on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-cement" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19736:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Cement (1101 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ctbc-financial-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:436:1" rel="noopener">Ctbc Financial Holding (2891 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yang-ming-marine-transport" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8502:1" rel="noopener">Yang Ming Marine Transport (2609 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nanya-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3269:1" rel="noopener">Nanya Technology (2408 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wan-hai-lines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14262:1" rel="noopener">Wan Hai Lines (2615 TT)</a>.</p></div>

The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.Hong Kong saw shorts rise on Meituan (3690 HK), Geely Auto (175 HK), Postal Savings Bank of China (1658 HK), CanSino Biologics Inc (6185 HK) and ZhongAn Online P&amp;C Insurance (6060 HK) while there was short covering on Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK), NetEase (9999 HK), Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK) and China Overseas Land &amp; Investment Ltd (688 HK). Shorts increased in the Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, Information Technology and Financials sectors while decreasing in the Communication Services, Real Estate and Consumer Staples sectors.In Japan, stocks increased on Japan Post Bank (7182 JP), Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), Yaskawa Electric (6506 JP), Odakyu Electric Railway (9007 JP) and Mitsui Osk Lines (9104 JP) while there was short covering on freee (4478 JP), Sharp Corp (6753 JP), Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP), Nabtesco Corp (6268 JP) and Tokyo Electric Power Co (9501 JP). Shorts increased in the Industrials, Financials and Information Technology sectors.In Korea, shorts increased on NCSOFT Corp (036570 KS), Netmarble Corporation (251270 KS), DB Hitek Co., Ltd. (000990 KS), SK Telecom (017670 KS) and Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) while shorts were covered on Amorepacific Corp (090430 KS), Kakao Corp (035720 KS), SK Innovation (096770 KS), LG Household &amp; Health Care (051900 KS) and KT Corp (030200 KS).In Taiwan, shorts increased on Yageo Corporation (2327 TT), Mediatek Inc (2454 TT), Evergreen Marine Corp (2603 TT), Innolux Corp (3481 TT) and Nuvoton Technology (4919 TT) while shorts covered on Taiwan Cement (1101 TT), Ctbc Financial Holding (2891 TT), Yang Ming Marine Transport (2609 TT), Nanya Technology (2408 TT) and Wan Hai Lines (2615 TT).

Asia Shorts: Meituan, Geely, Kuaishou, COLI, Toshiba, Freee, NCSOFT, SK Tel, Yang Ming, Wan Hai, EMC

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul class="">
<li>Xiaomi’s global smartphone shipments exceeded Apple.</li>
<li>The company’s shipment growth is the most rapid in and outside of China.</li>
<li>We believe the IoT business enjoys a low comparison base in 2020.</li>
<li>We also believe both the revenue growth and the operating margin will improve in 2021.</li>
</ul>


Xiaomi’s global smartphone shipments exceeded Apple.
The company’s shipment growth is the most rapid in and outside of China.
We believe the IoT business enjoys a low comparison base in 2020.
We also believe both the revenue growth and the operating margin will improve in 2021.


Xiaomi (1810 HK): Sold More Smartphones Than Apple, Expect Higher Growth and Margin

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> break below key support at 79k induced a high energy decline with sell volumes spiking. This break is bearish. SEC is nearing oversold levels to take a tactical long stance with an intermediate game plan to short a bounce cycle.</p><p>Korea has been a top short from 435 and the break of 425 was led by SEC's break below 79k pivot support.</p><p>SEC sell volumes have spiked and we need to see sell pressure taper off in order to participate in a reaction bounce trade.</p><p>SEC RSI is moving into texteme oversold territory where bounces ignite.</p><p>Conviction lies with selling a bounce attempt.</p>

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) break below key support at 79k induced a high energy decline with sell volumes spiking. This break is bearish. SEC is nearing oversold levels to take a tactical long stance with an intermediate game plan to short a bounce cycle.Korea has been a top short from 435 and the break of 425 was led by SEC's break below 79k pivot support.SEC sell volumes have spiked and we need to see sell pressure taper off in order to participate in a reaction bounce trade.SEC RSI is moving into texteme oversold territory where bounces ignite.Conviction lies with selling a bounce attempt.

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

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Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)

TMT Weekly: 3 Things that Stood Out the Week of August 20, 2021

This week we take a look at Palantir's gold purchases, Intel's proposed capex spending, and Amazon's entrance into the Department store...

Aaron Gabin

WDC: An HDD or an SSD Company?

WDC's flash revenues, have slipped below its HDD revenues, but should regain the top spot soon, and to remain there. Why is that, and how will...

Jim Handy

Asia Shorts: Meituan, Geely, Kuaishou, COLI, Toshiba, Freee, NCSOFT, SK Tel, Yang Ming, Wan Hai, EMC

The Insight looks at large short interest movements across HK, Japan, Korea and Taiwan stocks and highlights large increases/decreases in shorts to...

Brian Freitas

Xiaomi (1810 HK): Sold More Smartphones Than Apple, Expect Higher Growth and Margin

Xiaomi’s global smartphone shipments exceeded Apple. The company’s shipment growth is the most rapid in and outside of China. We also believe the...

Ming Lu

SEC Oversold Long Level/Short a Rally

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) break below key support at 79k induced a high energy decline with sell volumes spiking. SEC is near oversold levels...

Thomas Schroeder

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