Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Critical now is estimating MBK's achievable volume in the tender offer, a key indicator for assessing cancellation risk. Evidence suggests few allies for Cho Hyun-beom, prompting MBK's strategic persistence.</li>
<li>MBK can secure 23.58%, but NPS's involvement is pivotal. If neutral, MBK aims for 19.55%, below the minimum. MBK proceeds with a revised offering price, anticipating NPS participation.</li>
<li>Though the FSS investigation may favor MBK, a successful tender offer depends on achieving 87% participation. The higher-than-expected likelihood of success hints at a strong upward stock adjustment from Monday.</li>
</ul>


Critical now is estimating MBK's achievable volume in the tender offer, a key indicator for assessing cancellation risk. Evidence suggests few allies for Cho Hyun-beom, prompting MBK's strategic persistence.
MBK can secure 23.58%, but NPS's involvement is pivotal. If neutral, MBK aims for 19.55%, below the minimum. MBK proceeds with a revised offering price, anticipating NPS participation.
Though the FSS investigation may favor MBK, a successful tender offer depends on achieving 87% participation. The higher-than-expected likelihood of success hints at a strong upward stock adjustment from Monday.


Hankook & Co Tender: Clues to Gauge Cancellation Risk Obtained Through Local Channels So Far

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>MBK Partners has increased its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hankook-company-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19369:1" rel="noopener">Hankook &amp; Company (000240 KS)</a> partial tender offer to KRW24,000 per share, 20.0% and 51.4% above its previous offer and the last close, respectively.</li>
<li>While the offer is attractive, we estimate that the minimum acceptance condition of 19.3 million shares (20.35% of outstanding shares) requires an 84.3% minority acceptance rate. </li>
<li>The minority acceptance rate is challenging unless MBK can secure a ruling preventing share purchases from Cho Yang-rai, who disclosed a 2.72% stake on 14 December and opposes the tender. </li>
</ul>


MBK Partners has increased its Hankook &amp; Company (000240 KS) partial tender offer to KRW24,000 per share, 20.0% and 51.4% above its previous offer and the last close, respectively.
While the offer is attractive, we estimate that the minimum acceptance condition of 19.3 million shares (20.35% of outstanding shares) requires an 84.3% minority acceptance rate. 
The minority acceptance rate is challenging unless MBK can secure a ruling preventing share purchases from Cho Yang-rai, who disclosed a 2.72% stake on 14 December and opposes the tender. 


Hankook & Company (000240 KS): MBK Raises Partial Offer to KRW24,000

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>M3 extends its Tender Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benefit-one-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14502:1" rel="noopener">Benefit One (2412 JP)</a>. M3 can match Dai-Ichi Life proposal, financially, if backed. And <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dai-ichi-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1109:1" rel="noopener">Dai Ichi Life Insurance (8750 JP)</a> can probably bump further. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-electronics-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4877:1" rel="noopener">Haier Electronics Group Co (1169 HK)</a>'s CEO and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/org-technology-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17510:1" rel="noopener">ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)</a> reckon they can trump SASAC's Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>First City of London Investment Management, then Palliser Capital and now Whitebox, urge <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-c-t-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:481:1" rel="noopener">Samsung C&amp;T (028260 KS)</a> to improve its cash spending, improve governance and communications and simplify its corporate structure</li>
</ul>


M3 extends its Tender Offer for Benefit One (2412 JP). M3 can match Dai-Ichi Life proposal, financially, if backed. And Dai Ichi Life Insurance (8750 JP) can probably bump further. 

Haier Electronics Group Co (1169 HK)'s CEO and ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH) reckon they can trump SASAC's Offer for CPMC Holdings (906 HK).
First City of London Investment Management, then Palliser Capital and now Whitebox, urge Samsung C&amp;T (028260 KS) to improve its cash spending, improve governance and communications and simplify its corporate structure


Last Week in Event SPACE: Benefit One, CPMC, Samsung C&T, Sands China, Shinko Electric, Hankook & Co

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>After market close on 15 December, MBK Partners raised the tender offer price of Hankook &amp; Company by 20% to 24,000 won, which is now 51.4% higher than current price. </li>
<li>With Cho Yang-Rae's recent acquisition of shares, Cho Hyun-beom, Cho Yang-rae, and related parties now own about 45.6% of Hankook &amp; Co, up from 42.9% previously. </li>
<li>MBK Partners has requested an official investigation by the FSS, claiming that Cho Yang-rae and HY have violated the Capital Markets Act by recently purchasing shares of Hankook &amp; Co.</li>
</ul>


After market close on 15 December, MBK Partners raised the tender offer price of Hankook &amp; Company by 20% to 24,000 won, which is now 51.4% higher than current price. 
With Cho Yang-Rae's recent acquisition of shares, Cho Hyun-beom, Cho Yang-rae, and related parties now own about 45.6% of Hankook &amp; Co, up from 42.9% previously. 
MBK Partners has requested an official investigation by the FSS, claiming that Cho Yang-rae and HY have violated the Capital Markets Act by recently purchasing shares of Hankook &amp; Co.


MBK Partners Raises Tender Offer Price of Hankook and Co to 24,000 Won

<ul>
<li>Cho Hyun-Sik has joined hands with MBK Partners to make a tender offer for shares of Hankook &amp; Co for a minimum of 20.35% and maximum of 27.32% stake.</li>
<li>The tender offer price is 20,000 won which is 18.9% higher than the closing price of 16,820 won on Monday.</li>
<li>Chairman Cho Hyun-Bum may try to find a strategic ally to launch his own tender offer of Hankook &amp; Co shares at even higher tender offer price than 20,000 won.</li>
</ul>


Cho Hyun-Sik has joined hands with MBK Partners to make a tender offer for shares of Hankook &amp; Co for a minimum of 20.35% and maximum of 27.32% stake.
The tender offer price is 20,000 won which is 18.9% higher than the closing price of 16,820 won on Monday.
Chairman Cho Hyun-Bum may try to find a strategic ally to launch his own tender offer of Hankook &amp; Co shares at even higher tender offer price than 20,000 won.


Elder Brother Cho Hyun-Sik Joins Hands With MBK Partners to Tender Offer Hankook & Co. Shares

South Korea

Hankook & Company Co., Ltd. operates as a holding company. The Company operates batteries manufacturing, leasing, management consulting, tires production, and other businesses. Hankook provides services worldwide.

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Hankook & Company (000240 KS)

Hankook & Co Tender: Clues to Gauge Cancellation Risk Obtained Through Local Channels So Far

This post discloses what has been obtained so far through various local channels regarding the cancellation risk of the tender offer involving...

Sanghyun Park