'Quantamental' Japan Specialist, LightStream Research

Campbell Gunn

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/126/005/original/2020-04-02_06-04-47.png?1585775193" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="126005"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source • Japan Analytics</div><p><strong>WEDNESDAY 1ST APRIL</strong> - The fallout in the financial Sectors continued on Wednesday with <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dai-ichi-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1109:1" rel="noopener">Dai Ichi Life Insurance (8750 JP)</a></strong>halving its Ordinary Profit forecast and almost dipping into a net loss. The<strong> ¥209 billon</strong> worth of revisions relates to market value adjustments at <strong>Frontier Life </strong>and a decline in the share price of equity affiliate <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/janus-henderson-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26077:1" rel="noopener"><strong>Janus Henderson (JHG US)</strong></a>. The dividend remains unchanged. Of the sixteen revisions and five results announced, our positive/negative scoring ratio was <strong>4:10</strong> for revisions and <strong>2:3</strong> for results.</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/126/006/original/File%202020-04-01%2020%2015%2017.jpeg?1585775842" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="126006"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source • NHK</div><p><strong>MASKING THE PROBLEM</strong> - Despite calls from medical experts and widespread rumours of stricter measures, the Abe Government has limited its response to extending school closures for another month and sending every household two washable cloth masks. Mask wearing and social distancing are suddenly now rife in political circles. Unfortunately, so are some xenophobic comments. In a similar vein, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:359:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post (6178 JP)</a>  has stopped receiving airmail to be sent to 126 countries and any mail to a further 27.</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/126/023/original/2020-04-02_07-13-19.png?1585779225" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="126023"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source • Japan Analytics</div><p><strong>MARKETS</strong> - The BoJ's market intervention was only half that of the previous four, however, was still over 4% of TOPIX Value Traded.  We continue to recommend hitting their bid and waiting for the absolute value opportunity.</p>

Source • Japan AnalyticsWEDNESDAY 1ST APRIL - The fallout in the financial Sectors continued on Wednesday with Dai Ichi Life Insurance (8750 JP)halving its Ordinary Profit forecast and almost dipping into a net loss. The ¥209 billon worth of revisions relates to market value adjustments at Frontier Life and a decline in the share price of equity affiliate Janus Henderson (JHG US). The dividend remains unchanged. Of the sixteen revisions and five results announced, our positive/negative scoring ratio was 4:10 for revisions and 2:3 for results.Source • NHKMASKING THE PROBLEM - Despite calls from medical experts and widespread rumours of stricter measures, the Abe Government has limited its response to extending school closures for another month and sending every household two washable cloth masks. Mask wearing and social distancing are suddenly now rife in political circles. Unfortunately, so are some xenophobic comments. In a similar vein, Japan Post (6178 JP)  has stopped receiving airmail to be sent to 126 countries and any mail to a further 27.Source • Japan AnalyticsMARKETS - The BoJ's market intervention was only half that of the previous four, however, was still over 4% of TOPIX Value Traded.  We continue to recommend hitting their bid and waiting for the absolute value opportunity.

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Revisions & Results Update 1st April - Masking the Problem

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Nov 21st. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD19,632m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SBI, Nippon Telegraph and Telephone, Sanrio, Tokyo Electric Power Company, Tokio Marine, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Furukawa Electric.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Nov 21st. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD19,632m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SBI, Nippon Telegraph and Telephone, Sanrio, Tokyo Electric Power Company, Tokio Marine, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Furukawa Electric.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 21st): SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SBI

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Nov 14th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD20,683m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Sanrio, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Disco, Sony, Kasumigaseki Capital, Fujikura, Softbank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Sanrio.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Nov 14th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD20,683m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Sanrio, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Disco, Sony, Kasumigaseki Capital, Fujikura, Softbank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Sanrio.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 14th): SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Sanrio

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jul 4th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,017m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Sanrio, Lasertec, Ntt Data, Ihi, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Softbank, Disco, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Advantest, Mitsubishi Ufj Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jul 4th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,017m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Sanrio, Lasertec, Ntt Data, Ihi, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Softbank, Disco, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Advantest, Mitsubishi Ufj Financial.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jul 4th): Sanrio, Lasertec, Ntt Data, Ihi, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries

Executive Director, Metrical Inc

Aki Matsumoto

Executive Director

Independent Leading Corporate Governance Research

Metrical Inc

METRICAL INC. is an independent leading Corporate Governance research firm in Japan where Corporate Governance is increasingly recognized as an important element on corporate management in these days. Thus, CG research and solutions would become an essential component of global capital markets and play important to contribute to transparency of the markets and maximize shareholders’ value in Japan. 

METRICAL INC. provides Corporate Governance research and analysis including rating services, and  also offers investment research and IR services with solutions and customized profound research on CG and IR issues.

<ul>
<li>Without sufficient sales growth and profitability, including profit margins and ROE, it is understandable that shareholders will demand greater shareholder returns in order to secure a return on their investment.</li>
<li>Since Zojirushi's foreign shareholder ratio is 19.9%, it was expected that shareholder proposals including takeover defense measures would likely be rejected at the general shareholders meeting.</li>
<li>The likelihood of passage by a company that have low foreign ownership ratio is unlikely to increase without significant change in the attitude of domestic institutional investors toward shareholder proposals.</li>
</ul>


Without sufficient sales growth and profitability, including profit margins and ROE, it is understandable that shareholders will demand greater shareholder returns in order to secure a return on their investment.
Since Zojirushi's foreign shareholder ratio is 19.9%, it was expected that shareholder proposals including takeover defense measures would likely be rejected at the general shareholders meeting.
The likelihood of passage by a company that have low foreign ownership ratio is unlikely to increase without significant change in the attitude of domestic institutional investors toward shareholder proposals.


Change in Attitude of Domestic Institutional Investors Is Key to Approval of Shareholder Proposal

Japan

ZOJIRUSHI CORPORATION manufactures kitchen appliances, heat-insulating containers, and environmental equipment.  The Company's products include rice cookers, coffee makers, thermos bottles, humidifiers, and water purifiers. Zojirushi sells its products in Japan, North America, and Asia.

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Zojirushi Corp (7965 JP)

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Revisions & Results Update 1st April - Masking the Problem

WEDNESDAY 1ST APRIL - The fallout in the financial Sectors continued on Wednesday with Dai Ichi Life Insurance (8750 JP)halving its Ordinary Profit...

Campbell Gunn

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 21st): SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SBI

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SoftBank (9984 JP), Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP), SBI...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 14th): SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Sanrio

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SoftBank (9984 JP), Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP), Sanrio...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jul 4th): Sanrio, Lasertec, Ntt Data, Ihi, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Sanrio (8136 JP), Lasertec (6920 JP), Ntt Data (9613 JP), Ihi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Change in Attitude of Domestic Institutional Investors Is Key to Approval of Shareholder Proposal

I would like to discuss the issues on the February 16 Nikkei article, "Zojirushi Shareholders' Meeting Rejects Shareholder Proposal to Remove...

Metrical Inc

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