Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 50 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Two new deals were discussed this week on Smartkarma: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wam-leaders-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24274:1" rel="noopener">WAM Leaders (WLE AU)</a> scrip-deal for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qv-equities-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24284:1" rel="noopener">QV Equities (QVE AU)</a>; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/task-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32991:1" rel="noopener">TASK Group (TSK AU)</a>'s Scheme with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/par-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37125:1" rel="noopener">PAR Technology (PAR US)</a>. </li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qantm-intellectual-property" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24317:1" rel="noopener">Qantm Intellectual Property (QIP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/superloop-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23604:1" rel="noopener">Superloop (SLC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-vehicles-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28012:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Vehicle (1839 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/roland-dg-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10653:1" rel="noopener">Roland DG Corp (6789 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/outsourcing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7431:1" rel="noopener">Outsourcing (2427 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 50 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Two new deals were discussed this week on Smartkarma: WAM Leaders (WLE AU) scrip-deal for QV Equities (QVE AU); and TASK Group (TSK AU)'s Scheme with PAR Technology (PAR US). 
Key updates took place on: Qantm Intellectual Property (QIP AU), Superloop (SLC AU), CIMC Vehicle (1839 HK), JSR Corp (4185 JP), Roland DG Corp (6789 JP), and Outsourcing (2427 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A:QV Equities, TASK, Qantm, Superloop, CIMC Vehicle, JSR, Roland DG, Outsourcing

<ul>
<li>Back in 2014, Hahn &amp; Co and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hankook-tire-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20031:1" rel="noopener">Hankook Tire (161390 KS)</a> acquired a 70% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanon-systems" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11506:1" rel="noopener">Hanon Systems (018880 KS)</a> from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/visteon-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5471:1" rel="noopener">Visteon (VC US)</a>, an automotive electronics supplier, for ₩3.8tn.</li>
<li>Three years ago, Hahn/Hankook explored the sale of this 70% stake, which was expected to fetch ~₩8tn (US$7bn). Reportedly, Carlyle, TPG, Bain and auto supplier Mahle submitted preliminary bids.</li>
<li>That 70% stake is now worth ₩2.3tn. And reportedly, Carlyle has returned to the trough. </li>
</ul>


Back in 2014, Hahn &amp; Co and Hankook Tire (161390 KS) acquired a 70% stake in Hanon Systems (018880 KS) from Visteon (VC US), an automotive electronics supplier, for ₩3.8tn.
Three years ago, Hahn/Hankook explored the sale of this 70% stake, which was expected to fetch ~₩8tn (US$7bn). Reportedly, Carlyle, TPG, Bain and auto supplier Mahle submitted preliminary bids.
That 70% stake is now worth ₩2.3tn. And reportedly, Carlyle has returned to the trough. 


On A Charge: Hanon Systems & Renewed Interest In Hahn/Hankook's Stake

<ul>
<li>Stay long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benefit-one-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14502:1" rel="noopener">Benefit One (2412 JP)</a>. Dai-Ichi Life can pay more, if pushed on pricing. May not be huge, but it could be a few percent or even 10%. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hankook-company-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19369:1" rel="noopener">Hankook &amp; Company (000240 KS)</a>'s family feud goes public. The public tender looks set to fail. Coal in stockings all-round.</li>
<li>If you had any <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a> left over from the rally up to ¥1,300+, get out. There may be a better opportunity later, but not here.</li>
</ul>


Stay long Benefit One (2412 JP). Dai-Ichi Life can pay more, if pushed on pricing. May not be huge, but it could be a few percent or even 10%. 

Hankook &amp; Company (000240 KS)'s family feud goes public. The public tender looks set to fail. Coal in stockings all-round.
If you had any Toyo Construction (1890 JP) left over from the rally up to ¥1,300+, get out. There may be a better opportunity later, but not here.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Benefit One, Hankook, Toyo Construction, Hanwha, Tsuruha, Livent/Allkem

<ul>
<li>The Cho brothers are currently sparring over control of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hankook-company-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19369:1" rel="noopener">Hankook &amp; Company (000240 KS)</a>, and in turn, its 30.7% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hankook-tire-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20031:1" rel="noopener">Hankook Tire (161390 KS)</a>.</li>
<li>After the honorary chairman of Hankook backed the younger son (&amp; chairman of Hankook), PE-outfit MBK, aligned with the elder son, bumped its public tender Offer by 20% to ₩24,000/share.</li>
<li>Hankook is currently trading 27.3% adrift of the revised terms. That pretty much sums up the situation. The public tender closes on December 25. However, December 23-25 are holidays.</li>
</ul>


The Cho brothers are currently sparring over control of Hankook &amp; Company (000240 KS), and in turn, its 30.7% stake in Hankook Tire (161390 KS).
After the honorary chairman of Hankook backed the younger son (&amp; chairman of Hankook), PE-outfit MBK, aligned with the elder son, bumped its public tender Offer by 20% to ₩24,000/share.
Hankook is currently trading 27.3% adrift of the revised terms. That pretty much sums up the situation. The public tender closes on December 25. However, December 23-25 are holidays.


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>MBK Partners has increased its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hankook-company-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19369:1" rel="noopener">Hankook &amp; Company (000240 KS)</a> partial tender offer to KRW24,000 per share, 20.0% and 51.4% above its previous offer and the last close, respectively.</li>
<li>While the offer is attractive, we estimate that the minimum acceptance condition of 19.3 million shares (20.35% of outstanding shares) requires an 84.3% minority acceptance rate. </li>
<li>The minority acceptance rate is challenging unless MBK can secure a ruling preventing share purchases from Cho Yang-rai, who disclosed a 2.72% stake on 14 December and opposes the tender. </li>
</ul>


MBK Partners has increased its Hankook &amp; Company (000240 KS) partial tender offer to KRW24,000 per share, 20.0% and 51.4% above its previous offer and the last close, respectively.
While the offer is attractive, we estimate that the minimum acceptance condition of 19.3 million shares (20.35% of outstanding shares) requires an 84.3% minority acceptance rate. 
The minority acceptance rate is challenging unless MBK can secure a ruling preventing share purchases from Cho Yang-rai, who disclosed a 2.72% stake on 14 December and opposes the tender. 


Hankook & Company (000240 KS): MBK Raises Partial Offer to KRW24,000

South Korea

Hankook Tire & Technology Co. Ltd. develops and manufactures radial tires for passenger cars, light trucks, trucks, and buses.  The Company also produces batteries and aluminum alloy wheels and operates real estate business.

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Hankook Tire & Technology (161390 KS)

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This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

On A Charge: Hanon Systems & Renewed Interest In Hahn/Hankook's Stake

There is currently no firm Offer. It's doubtful Hahn/Hankook will sell at these levels. Hanon appears inexpensive here, with a solid backlog and...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Benefit One, Hankook, Toyo Construction, Hanwha, Tsuruha, Livent/Allkem

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Hankook's Bothersome Brothers

This partial tender Offer looks dead in the water. Chances are Hankook further declines whether Chairman Cho, inter alia, continue purchasing...

David Blennerhassett

Hankook & Company (000240 KS): MBK Raises Partial Offer to KRW24,000

While the offer is attractive, the minimum acceptance condition requires an 84% minority acceptance rate - a challenge, particularly if Cho Yang...

Arun George

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