Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>A weak 20-year note auction last Wednesday sparked the first semi-meaningful pullback since this lockout rally began April 22nd, when we turned short-term bullish (4/22/25Compass) as SPX was testing 5100-5120.</li>
<li>We will be watching the 10- and 30-year Treasury yields closely, as both are approaching important resistance levels (more on that below).</li>
<li>Unsurprisingly, SPX only tested short-term gap support on the pullback at 5700-5785, where we said to expect support in last week's Compass (5/20/25). Expect this gap support to hold.</li>
</ul>


A weak 20-year note auction last Wednesday sparked the first semi-meaningful pullback since this lockout rally began April 22nd, when we turned short-term bullish (4/22/25Compass) as SPX was testing 5100-5120.
We will be watching the 10- and 30-year Treasury yields closely, as both are approaching important resistance levels (more on that below).
Unsurprisingly, SPX only tested short-term gap support on the pullback at 5700-5785, where we said to expect support in last week's Compass (5/20/25). Expect this gap support to hold.


Upgrading Consumer Discretionary (XLY) To Overweight; 5700-5785 SPX Gap Support Holding as Expected

Independent in-depth research from Finimize, Finimize

Finimize Research

Independent in-depth research from Finimize

Finimize

Finimize is the #1 information platform for modern investors. We empower people to become smarter investors with bitesize insights from world-class analysts. 1 million+ strong community, 250 partners.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Technical analysis can help you keep your zen as it cuts through the noise by providing a set of rules on when to buy, sell, or just sit tight.</li>
<li>There are many technical indicators, but using both the simple moving average and the moving average convergence divergence can tell you most of what you need to know</li>
<li>Here’s how the two indicators work, what makes them so effective when using them together, and a look at a few major stock ETFs,  gold, bitcoin, and the Mag 7.</li>
</ul>


Technical analysis can help you keep your zen as it cuts through the noise by providing a set of rules on when to buy, sell, or just sit tight.
There are many technical indicators, but using both the simple moving average and the moving average convergence divergence can tell you most of what you need to know
Here’s how the two indicators work, what makes them so effective when using them together, and a look at a few major stock ETFs,  gold, bitcoin, and the Mag 7.


Two Technical Indicators, And The Top Trades They’re Pointing To Now

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> has been rallying hard since its 309.80 bottom in early april, the stock closed at 465.20 last Friday, a +50% rally! Probably well deserved.</li>
<li>This insight analyzes the short-term tactical outlook on a WEEKLY time period basis. Our model finds that the stock is currently very overbought, however some upside is still possible.
</li>
<li>
You may want to consider hedging your bets with some puts (probably cheap at this point), 1-2 weeks expiry, to protect against a (probably mild), upcoming pullback.</li>
</ul>



BYD (1211 HK) has been rallying hard since its 309.80 bottom in early april, the stock closed at 465.20 last Friday, a +50% rally! Probably well deserved.
This insight analyzes the short-term tactical outlook on a WEEKLY time period basis. Our model finds that the stock is currently very overbought, however some upside is still possible.


You may want to consider hedging your bets with some puts (probably cheap at this point), 1-2 weeks expiry, to protect against a (probably mild), upcoming pullback.


BYD (1211 HK) Outlook: Near-Term Upside Still Possible, but Rally Looks Stretched...

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

Chery Automobile / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Chery Auto, one of China’s oldest state-owned carmakers and #2 domestic passenger vehicle brand, plans to raise more than $1B in its upcoming IPO in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>The company has been China’s top vehicle exporter for 22 consecutive years since 2003. The automaker was founded in 1997 Mr. Yin Tongyue, Chairman &amp; President of Chery Auto.</li>
<li>Chery Auto is an extremely ambitious company with strong overseas presence. The biggest revenue growth driver will be higher NEV sales in the coming years, in my view.</li>
</ul>


Chery Auto, one of China’s oldest state-owned carmakers and #2 domestic passenger vehicle brand, plans to raise more than $1B in its upcoming IPO in Hong Kong.
The company has been China’s top vehicle exporter for 22 consecutive years since 2003. The automaker was founded in 1997 Mr. Yin Tongyue, Chairman &amp; President of Chery Auto.
Chery Auto is an extremely ambitious company with strong overseas presence. The biggest revenue growth driver will be higher NEV sales in the coming years, in my view.


Chery IPO Preview: More Than A Local Hero, Chery’s Road To IPO Glory

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technolog" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)</a>, one of the world’s largest battery solutions providers, raised around US$5.2bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-co-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)</a> is the global leader in new energy vehicle battery solutions, in China and globally, as per SNE Research. Its A-shares have been listed since 2018.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH), one of the world’s largest battery solutions providers, raised around US$5.2bn in its H-share listing.

Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK) is the global leader in new energy vehicle battery solutions, in China and globally, as per SNE Research. Its A-shares have been listed since 2018.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


CATL A/H Trading - Strong Demand, Upsized, Included in Short-Sell List

United States

Tesla Inc. operates as a multinational automotive and clean energy company. The Company designs and manufactures electric vehicles, battery energy storage from home to grid-scale, solar panels and solar roof tiles, and related products and services. Tesla owns its sales and service network and sells electric power train components to other automobile manufacturers.

Price Gauge
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Tesla (TSLA US)

Upgrading Consumer Discretionary (XLY) To Overweight; 5700-5785 SPX Gap Support Holding as Expected

Upgrading Consumer Discretionary $XLY to Overweight; 5700-5785 $SPX Gap Support Holding as we expected/discussed last week. 4.7-4.8% on 10y...

Vermilion Research

Two Technical Indicators, And The Top Trades They’re Pointing To Now

Technical analysis can help you keep your zen when markets are volatile and unpredictable. Here's an update on the main ETFs, bitcoin, gold, and...

Finimize Research

BYD (1211 HK) Outlook: Near-Term Upside Still Possible, but Rally Looks Stretched...

BYD (1211 HK) has rallied 50% since its early April bottom, it is quite overbought now. Consider hedging with puts for protection against an...

Nico Rosti

Chery IPO Preview: More Than A Local Hero, Chery’s Road To IPO Glory

Chery Auto, China's #2 domestic passenger vehicle brand, aims to raise over $1B in Hong Kong IPO, driven by strong overseas presence and focus on...

Andrei Zakharov

CATL A/H Trading - Strong Demand, Upsized, Included in Short-Sell List

Contemporary Amperex Technology (300750 CH), one of the world’s largest battery solutions providers, raised around US$5.2bn in its H-share listing....

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Upgrading Consumer Discretionary (XLY) To Overweight; 5700-5785 SPX Gap Support Holding as Expected

Upgrading Consumer Discretionary $XLY to Overweight; 5700-5785 $SPX Gap Support Holding as we expected/discussed last week. 4.7-4.8% on 10y...

Vermilion Research

Two Technical Indicators, And The Top Trades They’re Pointing To Now

Technical analysis can help you keep your zen when markets are volatile and unpredictable. Here's an update on the main ETFs, bitcoin, gold, and...

Finimize Research

BYD (1211 HK) Outlook: Near-Term Upside Still Possible, but Rally Looks Stretched...

​BYD (1211 HK) has rallied 50% since its early April bottom, it is quite overbought now. Consider hedging with puts for protection against an...

Nico Rosti

Chery IPO Preview: More Than A Local Hero, Chery’s Road To IPO Glory

​Chery Auto, China's #2 domestic passenger vehicle brand, aims to raise over $1B in Hong Kong IPO, driven by strong overseas presence and focus on...

Andrei Zakharov

CATL A/H Trading - Strong Demand, Upsized, Included in Short-Sell List

Contemporary Amperex Technology (300750 CH), one of the world’s largest battery solutions providers, raised around US$5.2bn in its H-share listing....

Sumeet Singh

BYD (1211 HK) has rallied 50% since its early April bottom, it is quite overbought now. Consider hedging with puts for protection against an...

Chery Auto, China's #2 domestic passenger vehicle brand, aims to raise over $1B in Hong Kong IPO, driven by strong overseas presence and focus on...