Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our 2/25/25 Compass, we discussed our expectation for near-term downside. Also said one or two 8-10% pullbacks in a given year on the SPX is common</li>
<li>And said to not be surprised if there is a test of the bottom of the range at either 5770-5850 or 5600-5670, where we would be buyers</li>
<li>The SPX had a -10.3% peak-to-trough decline, with support showing up at 5500; close enough to our 10% pullback and 5600 level. This has been a stellar buy area</li>
</ul>


In our 2/25/25 Compass, we discussed our expectation for near-term downside. Also said one or two 8-10% pullbacks in a given year on the SPX is common
And said to not be surprised if there is a test of the bottom of the range at either 5770-5850 or 5600-5670, where we would be buyers
The SPX had a -10.3% peak-to-trough decline, with support showing up at 5500; close enough to our 10% pullback and 5600 level. This has been a stellar buy area


Major Low Likely in Place on S&P 500; Bullish Outlook Intact if Above 5500-5600

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>SCF /In Depth: Taming the Wild West of China’s supply chain finance</li><li>EVs /Chinese EV maker Neta on brink of collapse as $600 million funding round falls through</li><li>BYD tops Tesla: Chinese electric-vehicle (EV) giant BYD Co. Ltd. is on a roll, overtaking U.S. rival Tesla Inc. with revenue of 777 billion yuan ($107 billion) in 2024. </li></ul>

SCF /In Depth: Taming the Wild West of China’s supply chain financeEVs /Chinese EV maker Neta on brink of collapse as $600 million funding round falls throughBYD tops Tesla: Chinese electric-vehicle (EV) giant BYD Co. Ltd. is on a roll, overtaking U.S. rival Tesla Inc. with revenue of 777 billion yuan ($107 billion) in 2024. 

CX Daily: Taming the Wild West of China’s Supply Chain Finance 

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Tata Group partners with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla (TSLA US)</a> to supply critical EV components, positioning India as a key player in Tesla’s expansion.</li>
<li>India crosses 1 billion tonnes of coal production in FY25, driven by PSUs, private players, and 500,000 workers.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindalco-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18490:1" rel="noopener">Hindalco Industries (HNDL IN)</a> announces a Rs. 45,000 crore investment plan to expand in copper, aluminium, and specialty alumina sectors.</li>
</ul>


Tata Group partners with Tesla (TSLA US) to supply critical EV components, positioning India as a key player in Tesla’s expansion.
India crosses 1 billion tonnes of coal production in FY25, driven by PSUs, private players, and 500,000 workers.

Hindalco Industries (HNDL IN) announces a Rs. 45,000 crore investment plan to expand in copper, aluminium, and specialty alumina sectors.


#125 India Insight: Tata Partners with Tesla, India Hits 1B Coal Tonnes, Hindalco to Invest ₹45K Cr

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> is looking to raise around US$5.3bn via selling 3% additional shares.</li>
<li>The shares have done exceedingly well this year and are now trading at their all time highs.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) is looking to raise around US$5.3bn via selling 3% additional shares.
The shares have done exceedingly well this year and are now trading at their all time highs.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Xiaomi US$5.3bn Placement - Relatively Small, Strong Momentum but Is Expensive

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>China's economic data continued to be mixed. The on-again-off-again patter is here to stay. PBOC's stated policy to follow the US means Trumponomics's next read is critical to China, too;</li>
<li>Whether it is positive or negative to our sector depends on whether the view is half full or half empty. Stimulus will increasingly become irrelevant;</li>
<li>China EV posted strong numbers which cannot be explained by trade-in subsidy alone. Earning flash of Xiaomi, LI and Zeekr. </li>
</ul>


China's economic data continued to be mixed. The on-again-off-again patter is here to stay. PBOC's stated policy to follow the US means Trumponomics's next read is critical to China, too;
Whether it is positive or negative to our sector depends on whether the view is half full or half empty. Stimulus will increasingly become irrelevant;
China EV posted strong numbers which cannot be explained by trade-in subsidy alone. Earning flash of Xiaomi, LI and Zeekr. 


[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 12/52] Choice of the Less Evil Between Trumponomics' Outcomes

United States

Tesla Inc. operates as a multinational automotive and clean energy company. The Company designs and manufactures electric vehicles, battery energy storage from home to grid-scale, solar panels and solar roof tiles, and related products and services. Tesla owns its sales and service network and sells electric power train components to other automobile manufacturers.

Price Gauge
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Tesla (TSLA US)

Major Low Likely in Place on S&P 500; Bullish Outlook Intact if Above 5500-5600

Major Low Likely in Place on $SPX; Bullish Outlook Intact if Above 5500-5600. 5670-5718 is short-term gap support; Power in hands of bulls if...

Vermilion Research

CX Daily: Taming the Wild West of China’s Supply Chain Finance

SCF /In Depth: Taming the Wild West of China’s supply chain finance EVs /Chinese EV maker Neta on brink of collapse as $600 million funding round...

Caixin Global

#125 India Insight: Tata Partners with Tesla, India Hits 1B Coal Tonnes, Hindalco to Invest ₹45K Cr

Tata Group partners with Tesla to supply EV components, India's coal production hits 1 billion tonnes, Hindalco Industries invests Rs. 45,000...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Xiaomi US$5.3bn Placement - Relatively Small, Strong Momentum but Is Expensive

Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) is looking to raise around US$5.3bn via selling 3% additional shares. In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework.

Sumeet Singh

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 12/52] Choice of the Less Evil Between Trumponomics' Outcomes

China's economic data remains mixed, with PBOC closely following US policy. Stimulus may become irrelevant as China's EV sector sees strong growth...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Major Low Likely in Place on S&P 500; Bullish Outlook Intact if Above 5500-5600

Major Low Likely in Place on $SPX; Bullish Outlook Intact if Above 5500-5600. 5670-5718 is short-term gap support; Power in hands of bulls if...

Vermilion Research

CX Daily: Taming the Wild West of China’s Supply Chain Finance

SCF /In Depth: Taming the Wild West of China’s supply chain finance EVs /Chinese EV maker Neta on brink of collapse as $600 million funding round...

Caixin Global

#125 India Insight: Tata Partners with Tesla, India Hits 1B Coal Tonnes, Hindalco to Invest ₹45K Cr

​Tata Group partners with Tesla to supply EV components, India's coal production hits 1 billion tonnes, Hindalco Industries invests Rs. 45,000...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Xiaomi US$5.3bn Placement - Relatively Small, Strong Momentum but Is Expensive

Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) is looking to raise around US$5.3bn via selling 3% additional shares. In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework.

Sumeet Singh

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 12/52] Choice of the Less Evil Between Trumponomics' Outcomes

​China's economic data remains mixed, with PBOC closely following US policy. Stimulus may become irrelevant as China's EV sector sees strong growth...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Tata Group partners with Tesla to supply EV components, India's coal production hits 1 billion tonnes, Hindalco Industries invests Rs. 45,000...

China's economic data remains mixed, with PBOC closely following US policy. Stimulus may become irrelevant as China's EV sector sees strong growth...