Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

Astro Malaysia Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

Astro's high-frequency operational data still looks very positive with a high TV viewership share (72%), 3.2 hours average time spent/day that is ahead of 2.16 hours of the FTA, increased MAU by 17% YoY, on-demand shows streamed has tripled to MYR 233 million. 
The big announcement is that Astro subscribers can soon access <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netflix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20451:1" rel="noopener">Netflix Inc (NFLX US)</a> through its Ultra and Ulti boxes which means investors should not worry that Astro subscribers will be reduced because they want to move to Netflix. Although it is more of a defensive strategy, there is a potential for a small upside as some existing Netflix subscribers in Malaysia may want to subscribe to Astro as they get bangs for their bucks. 
Post 50% share price increase, the company is still trading below its pre-COVID-19 level although the business climate has been stable and Netflix is not exactly a competitor to be feared anymore as it has become Astro's allies in Malaysia. The company also generates just shy of 20% FCF yield. There is no reason not to like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astro-malaysia-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1143:1" rel="noopener">Astro Malaysia Holdings (ASTRO MK)</a>.

Astro's high-frequency operational data still looks very positive with a high TV viewership share (72%), 3.2 hours average time spent/day that is ahead of 2.16 hours of the FTA, increased MAU by 17% YoY, on-demand shows streamed has tripled to MYR 233 million. 
The big announcement is that Astro subscribers can soon access Netflix Inc (NFLX US) through its Ultra and Ulti boxes which means investors should not worry that Astro subscribers will be reduced because they want to move to Netflix. Although it is more of a defensive strategy, there is a potential for a small upside as some existing Netflix subscribers in Malaysia may want to subscribe to Astro as they get bangs for their bucks. 
Post 50% share price increase, the company is still trading below its pre-COVID-19 level although the business climate has been stable and Netflix is not exactly a competitor to be feared anymore as it has become Astro's allies in Malaysia. The company also generates just shy of 20% FCF yield. There is no reason not to like Astro Malaysia Holdings (ASTRO MK). 

Astro (ASTRO): Netflix Is Included Soon and High FCF Yield.

Latest News from the World’s Leading Innovators

Granite Bay Capital

An innovation focussed investment company

Granite Bay Capital is an innovation focussed investment company with a deep focus on the companies at the leading edge of innovation across major themes such as AI, ubiquitous computing, sustainability, automation and longevity.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Headline Developments</h2>Samsung (005930.KS) and Harvard University have published new research outlining the vision of copying the brain’s neuron wiring map into a 3D “neuromorphic” chip. The approach, outlined in this paper, aims to reverse engineer the brain by copying the synaptic connectivity map of the brain (below right) and pasting the map onto a high-density 3D solid-state memory network.

Headline DevelopmentsSamsung (005930.KS) and Harvard University have published new research outlining the vision of copying the brain’s neuron wiring map into a 3D “neuromorphic” chip. The approach, outlined in this paper, aims to reverse engineer the brain by copying the synaptic connectivity map of the brain (below right) and pasting the map onto a high-density 3D solid-state memory network.

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

Over 50% of allocations are in the US with the bulk of the remainder split between Japan, China &amp; HK and the major European nations.  The EMEA overweight is comprised mainly of the UK, Netherlands, France and Germany, with active managers running underweights in the US, China &amp; HK, Australia and Japan.UK allocations hover around their lowest levels in history, though managers remain stubbornly overweight compared to the MSCI AC World index.  A total of 62% of managers are overweight the UK at an average +1.88% above benchmark.  Global Value investors are approaching their largest ever overweight in UK stocks of 3.64% above benchmark.Another month, another slump in Japan exposure.  Average weights in Japan stand at an all-time low of 5.06% with 85.5% of funds exposed (another low). <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sony-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:563:1" rel="noopener">Sony Corp (6758 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kddi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:639:1" rel="noopener">KDDI Corp (9433 JP)</a> are the most widely held stocks, with 23% and 21% of funds holding a position.Tech exposure is at record highs, though this is matched by a record underweight of -0.47%.  Indeed, the percentage of funds who are overweight technology has fallen to below 50% for the first time since the end of 2018, a sign that Global managers are tilting their portfolios away from Tech.German Industrials allocations have hit a 4-year high as more Global investors add exposure to the sector. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/deutsche-post-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21608:1" rel="noopener">Deutsche Post AG (DPW GR)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siemens-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21713:1" rel="noopener">Siemens AG (SIE GR)</a> were the key stocks behind the move, with 4.2% and 2.4% of funds adding exposure over the last 6-months.Alibaba has seen closures by some of the larger holders in our analysis, led by American Funds Capital World Fund (-$1.1bn) and New Economy Fund (-$451m).  Though closures have dominated, selected funds have opened exposure during this period of volatility, including Invesco's Global Focus Fund and Liontrust's Global Income Fund.

Over 50% of allocations are in the US with the bulk of the remainder split between Japan, China &amp; HK and the major European nations.  The EMEA overweight is comprised mainly of the UK, Netherlands, France and Germany, with active managers running underweights in the US, China &amp; HK, Australia and Japan.UK allocations hover around their lowest levels in history, though managers remain stubbornly overweight compared to the MSCI AC World index.  A total of 62% of managers are overweight the UK at an average +1.88% above benchmark.  Global Value investors are approaching their largest ever overweight in UK stocks of 3.64% above benchmark.Another month, another slump in Japan exposure.  Average weights in Japan stand at an all-time low of 5.06% with 85.5% of funds exposed (another low). Sony Corp (6758 JP) and KDDI Corp (9433 JP) are the most widely held stocks, with 23% and 21% of funds holding a position.Tech exposure is at record highs, though this is matched by a record underweight of -0.47%.  Indeed, the percentage of funds who are overweight technology has fallen to below 50% for the first time since the end of 2018, a sign that Global managers are tilting their portfolios away from Tech.German Industrials allocations have hit a 4-year high as more Global investors add exposure to the sector. Deutsche Post AG (DPW GR) and Siemens AG (SIE GR) were the key stocks behind the move, with 4.2% and 2.4% of funds adding exposure over the last 6-months.Alibaba has seen closures by some of the larger holders in our analysis, led by American Funds Capital World Fund (-$1.1bn) and New Economy Fund (-$451m).  Though closures have dominated, selected funds have opened exposure during this period of volatility, including Invesco's Global Focus Fund and Liontrust's Global Income Fund.

Global Fund Positioning Update:  Japan Lows, US Highs, UK Value Rotation, Tencent & Alibaba Exit

Headline Developments SpaceX (private) has completed the world’s first all-civilian mission to space, sending four passengers into Earth’s orbit without any professionally trained astronauts.  The mission lasted 72-hours, setting off on Wednesday last week and landing (below) on Saturday, 30 miles (48 km) east of the Kennedy Space Center in Florida (from where they launched).

Headline Developments SpaceX (private) has completed the world’s first all-civilian mission to space, sending four passengers into Earth’s orbit without any professionally trained astronauts.  The mission lasted 72-hours, setting off on Wednesday last week and landing (below) on Saturday, 30 miles (48 km) east of the Kennedy Space Center in Florida (from where they launched).

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Apple's quasi loss in the Epic lawsuit regarding app store take rates makes us all the more bullish on one of our favorite longs...Match Group. And also more bullish on Roblox (another long recommendation) and ATVI (less a beneficiary, but still a good entry point. We think Spotify and Netflix's benefits are overstated. Spotify has run too much on the news, and we think its potentially another good short entry point.

Apple's quasi loss in the Epic lawsuit regarding app store take rates makes us all the more bullish on one of our favorite longs...Match Group. And also more bullish on Roblox (another long recommendation) and ATVI (less a beneficiary, but still a good entry point. We think Spotify and Netflix's benefits are overstated. Spotify has run too much on the news, and we think its potentially another good short entry point.

Apple's App Store Price Cut Beneficiaries

United States

Netflix Inc. is an Internet subscription service for watching tv shows and movies. Subscribers can instantly watch unlimited TV shows and movies streamed over the Internet to their TVs, computers and mobile devices and in the United States, subscribers can receive standard definition DVDs and Blu-ray Discs delivered to their homes.

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Netflix Inc (NFLX US)

Astro (ASTRO): Netflix Is Included Soon and High FCF Yield.

After 50% increase, Astro is still trading below its pre-COVID-19 level although the business climate has been stable and Netflix has become...

Henry Soediarko

Weekly Innovation Review (WIRE) #51

Samsung (005930.KS) and Harvard University have published new research outlining the vision of copying the brain’s neuron...

Granite Bay Capital

Global Fund Positioning Update: Japan Lows, US Highs, UK Value Rotation, Tencent & Alibaba Exit

A detailed look at investor positioning among 380 active Global strategies, covering the major themes in country, sector and stock exposure.

Steven Holden

Weekly Innovation Review (WIRE) #50

SpaceX (private) has completed the world’s first all-civilian mission to space, sending four passengers into Earth’s orbit without any...

Granite Bay Capital

Apple's App Store Price Cut Beneficiaries

Apple's quasi loss in the Epic lawsuit regarding app store take rates makes us all the more bullish on one of our favorite longs...Match Group.

Aaron Gabin

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