Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The December rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights at 8%. This will lead to large flows.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a> will have the largest inflows due to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a> inclusion while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi (1810 HK)</a> will have the largest outflow due to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> capping.</li>
<li>There will be passive selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hsbc-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:516:1" rel="noopener">HSBC Holdings (5 HK)</a> for yet another rebalance due to capping of the stock in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The December rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI and HSTECH indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights at 8%. This will lead to large flows.

Li Auto (2015 HK) will have the largest inflows due to the HSI inclusion while Xiaomi (1810 HK) will have the largest outflow due to HSTECH capping.
There will be passive selling in HSBC Holdings (5 HK) for yet another rebalance due to capping of the stock in the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX). 


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: Rebalance Flows Post Capping (Dec 2023)

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>TSLA/XPEV/NIO/LI/BIDU: Tesla FSD expected to launch in the Chinese market</li>
<li>1211.HK/600104.CH/601633.CH: Japanese auto makers cut prices in Thailand to fend off Chinese EV</li>
<li>XPEV/NIO/BIDU/BYD: BYD cut vehicle prices again to boost year-end sales</li>
</ul>


TSLA/XPEV/NIO/LI/BIDU: Tesla FSD expected to launch in the Chinese market
1211.HK/600104.CH/601633.CH: Japanese auto makers cut prices in Thailand to fend off Chinese EV
XPEV/NIO/BIDU/BYD: BYD cut vehicle prices again to boost year-end sales


[Blue Lotus Daily]: TSLA/XPEV/NIO/LI/BIDU/1211.HK/600104.CH/601633.CH/ATAT/BEKE

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">ZEEKR (ZK US)</a>, a premium EV brand by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a>, aims to raise around US$500m in its US listing.</li>
<li>Zeekr was formed in Mar 2021 as a JV between Geely and its founder. Its first model was launched in Apr 21 with deliveries starting in Oct 21.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the updates from its recent filings.</li>
</ul>



ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium EV brand by Geely Auto (175 HK), aims to raise around US$500m in its US listing.
Zeekr was formed in Mar 2021 as a JV between Geely and its founder. Its first model was launched in Apr 21 with deliveries starting in Oct 21.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the updates from its recent filings.


Zeekr Pre-IPO - Quick Note - Recent Filing Updates - 007, Earnings on Track

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla Motors (TSLA US)</a> market share in China has decreased and its 3Q23 operational data suggested it offered discounts to defend its market share. </li>
<li>Albeit losing some market share, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> operational data is much more solid, even expanded its profit margin during a difficult environment in China. </li>
<li>Tesla share price has outpaced BYD's this year by 70%, it should reverse in the next year.</li>
</ul>



Tesla Motors (TSLA US) market share in China has decreased and its 3Q23 operational data suggested it offered discounts to defend its market share. 
Albeit losing some market share, BYD (1211 HK) operational data is much more solid, even expanded its profit margin during a difficult environment in China. 
Tesla share price has outpaced BYD's this year by 70%, it should reverse in the next year.


2024 High Conviction: Long BYD and Short Tesla

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 24th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$432.1 million, led by information technology, materials, and offset by health care, consumer discretionary, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Chongqing Changan Automobile, Chongqing Sokon Industry Group Stock, Sungrow Power Supply, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 24th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$432.1 million, led by information technology, materials, and offset by health care, consumer discretionary, consumer staples.
We highlight flows for Chongqing Changan Automobile, Chongqing Sokon Industry Group Stock, Sungrow Power Supply, BYD.


Northbound Flows (Nov 24th): Chongqing Changan Automobile, Sokon, Sungrow Power, BYD

China

BYD Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company also researches, develops, manufactures and sells batteries, which are applied on mobile phones, cordless phones, power tools and other kinds of portable electronic devices.

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BYD (1211 HK)

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: Rebalance Flows Post Capping (Dec 2023)

The December rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use today's closing prices for capping. The one-way trade across all stocks across...

Brian Freitas

[Blue Lotus Daily]: TSLA/XPEV/NIO/LI/BIDU/1211.HK/600104.CH/601633.CH/ATAT/BEKE

Tesla is set to launch Full Self-Driving (FSD) in China, Japanese auto makers reduce prices in Thailand to compete with Chinese EVs, and BYD...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Zeekr Pre-IPO - Quick Note - Recent Filing Updates - 007, Earnings on Track

ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium EV brand by Geely Auto (175 HK), aims to raise around US$500m in its US listing. In this note, we talk about the updates...

Sumeet Singh

2024 High Conviction: Long BYD and Short Tesla

Tesla operational data has started to crack, while BYD has gotten even better. With Tesla's share price outperformed BYD's this year by around 70%,...

Henry Soediarko

Northbound Flows (Nov 24th): Chongqing Changan Automobile, Sokon, Sungrow Power, BYD

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Chongqing Changan Automobile, Sokon, Sungrow Power...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: Rebalance Flows Post Capping (Dec 2023)

The December rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use today's closing prices for capping. The one-way trade across all stocks across...

Brian Freitas

[Blue Lotus Daily]: TSLA/XPEV/NIO/LI/BIDU/1211.HK/600104.CH/601633.CH/ATAT/BEKE

​Tesla is set to launch Full Self-Driving (FSD) in China, Japanese auto makers reduce prices in Thailand to compete with Chinese EVs, and BYD...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Zeekr Pre-IPO - Quick Note - Recent Filing Updates - 007, Earnings on Track

ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium EV brand by Geely Auto (175 HK), aims to raise around US$500m in its US listing. In this note, we talk about the updates...

Sumeet Singh

2024 High Conviction: Long BYD and Short Tesla

Tesla operational data has started to crack, while BYD has gotten even better. With Tesla's share price outperformed BYD's this year by around 70%,...

Henry Soediarko

Northbound Flows (Nov 24th): Chongqing Changan Automobile, Sokon, Sungrow Power, BYD

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Chongqing Changan Automobile, Sokon, Sungrow Power...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tesla is set to launch Full Self-Driving (FSD) in China, Japanese auto makers reduce prices in Thailand to compete with Chinese EVs, and BYD...