Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>ZEEKR, a Chinese EV maker, plans to raise up to $500M in US IPO. The company put its offering on hold in 2023 due to a mismatch in valuation expectations.</li>
<li>A fast-growing company will offer ADSs, and the size of the company’s potential IPO is down from their initial target of up to $1B, a negative sign for ZEEKR shares.</li>
<li>EV stocks have significantly underperformed the broader market this year amid price wars, slow growth ahead and intense competition, especially in China.  </li>
</ul>


ZEEKR, a Chinese EV maker, plans to raise up to $500M in US IPO. The company put its offering on hold in 2023 due to a mismatch in valuation expectations.
A fast-growing company will offer ADSs, and the size of the company’s potential IPO is down from their initial target of up to $1B, a negative sign for ZEEKR shares.
EV stocks have significantly underperformed the broader market this year amid price wars, slow growth ahead and intense competition, especially in China.  


ZEEKR IPO Valuation Update: Likely To Price IPO Below Last Round Valuation of ~$13B

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">ZEEKR (ZK US)</a>, a premium Chinese BEV manufacturer and a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a>, has restarted its IPO process to raise US$500 million by listing on the NYSE.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zeekr-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:117508" rel="noopener">ZEEKR IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zeekr-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:117721" rel="noopener">ZEEKR IPO: The Bear Case</a>. 
</li>
<li>The latest SEC filings reinforce the bear case due to weak industry sentiment, rapidly slowing growth, ongoing operating losses and volatile FCF. </li>
</ul>



ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium Chinese BEV manufacturer and a subsidiary of Geely Auto (175 HK), has restarted its IPO process to raise US$500 million by listing on the NYSE.
We previously discussed the IPO in ZEEKR IPO: The Bull Case and ZEEKR IPO: The Bear Case. 

The latest SEC filings reinforce the bear case due to weak industry sentiment, rapidly slowing growth, ongoing operating losses and volatile FCF. 


ZEEKR IPO: Latest Updates as the IPO Process Restarts

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">ZEEKR (ZK US)</a>, a premium EV brand by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a>, aims to raise around US$500m in its US listing.</li>
<li>Zeekr was formed in Mar 2021 as a JV between Geely and its founder. Its first model was launched in Apr 21 with deliveries starting in Oct 21.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the updates from its recent filings.</li>
</ul>



ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium EV brand by Geely Auto (175 HK), aims to raise around US$500m in its US listing.
Zeekr was formed in Mar 2021 as a JV between Geely and its founder. Its first model was launched in Apr 21 with deliveries starting in Oct 21.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the updates from its recent filings.


Zeekr Pre-IPO - Quick Note - Recent Filing Updates - 007, Earnings on Track

<ul>
<li>ZEEKR is expected to IPO in December. The company plans to raise up to $1B and Geely Auto may purchase additional shares of ZEEKR in a concurrent private placement.</li>
<li>I have a favorable view of the upcoming ZEEKR U.S. IPO and value ZEEKR shares using a 50/50 blend of EV/Sales analysis and long-term discounted cash flows analysis.</li>
<li>ZEEKR’s last round was a $750M Series A in February 2023 at a $13B post-money valuation. My ~$21B target valuation suggests 61% potential upside vs. last round valuation of $13B.</li>
</ul>


ZEEKR is expected to IPO in December. The company plans to raise up to $1B and Geely Auto may purchase additional shares of ZEEKR in a concurrent private placement.
I have a favorable view of the upcoming ZEEKR U.S. IPO and value ZEEKR shares using a 50/50 blend of EV/Sales analysis and long-term discounted cash flows analysis.
ZEEKR’s last round was a $750M Series A in February 2023 at a $13B post-money valuation. My ~$21B target valuation suggests 61% potential upside vs. last round valuation of $13B.


ZEEKR IPO Valuation Analysis: Next BYD or Tesla?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">ZEEKR (ZK US)</a>, a premium EV brand by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a>, aims to raise around US$500m in its US listing.</li>
<li>Zeekr was formed in Mar 2021 as a JV between Geely and its founder. Its first model was launched in Apr 21 with deliveries starting in Oct 21.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison in our earlier notes. In this note, we will talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium EV brand by Geely Auto (175 HK), aims to raise around US$500m in its US listing.
Zeekr was formed in Mar 2021 as a JV between Geely and its founder. Its first model was launched in Apr 21 with deliveries starting in Oct 21.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison in our earlier notes. In this note, we will talk about valuations.


United States

ZEEKR Intelligent Technology Holding Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, principally engages in commercialization and sales of electric vehicles and battery, and provision of automotive related research and development services. ZEEKR Intelligent Technology Holding serves customers worldwide.

ZEEKR (ZK US)

ZEEKR IPO Valuation Update: Likely To Price IPO Below Last Round Valuation of ~$13B

ZEEKR restarted US IPO in April and plans to raise up to $500M. I’m cautious about buying into ZEEKR IPO as EV stocks have significantly...

Andrei Zakharov

ZEEKR IPO: Latest Updates as the IPO Process Restarts

The latest SEC filings reinforce the bear case due to weak industry sentiment, rapidly slowing growth, ongoing operating losses and volatile FCF.

Arun George

Zeekr Pre-IPO - Quick Note - Recent Filing Updates - 007, Earnings on Track

ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium EV brand by Geely Auto (175 HK), aims to raise around US$500m in its US listing. In this note, we talk about the updates...

Sumeet Singh

ZEEKR IPO Valuation Analysis: Next BYD or Tesla?

ZEEKR is expected to IPO in December. I value ZEEKR shares using a 50/50 blend of EV/Sales analysis and long-term DCF analysis, and see potential...

Andrei Zakharov

Zeekr Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium EV brand by Geely Auto (175 HK), aims to raise around US$500m in its US listing. In this note, we talk about valautions.

Sumeet Singh