Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Equity Derivatives

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

<ul>
<li>In just three weeks, on June 3rd, South Korea will hold an early presidential election.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 INDEX</a> on Tuesday closed at 347.17,  entering deeply overbought territory based on our time and price quantitative models. </li>
<li>Whether the index rallies into the election and then declines, or starts selling off ahead of the vote, our tactical stance is unchanged: we recommend short exposure or appropriate hedging.
</li>
</ul>


In just three weeks, on June 3rd, South Korea will hold an early presidential election.
The KOSPI 200 INDEX on Tuesday closed at 347.17,  entering deeply overbought territory based on our time and price quantitative models. 
Whether the index rallies into the election and then declines, or starts selling off ahead of the vote, our tactical stance is unchanged: we recommend short exposure or appropriate hedging.



KOSPI 200 Tactical Outlook: Waiting for the June Elections

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 30 April, Lee Myung-Hee (Chairwoman of Shinsegae Group) decided to transfer all of her 10.2% stake in Shinsegae (004170 KS) as a gift to her daughter Chung Yoo-Kyung. </li>
<li>After this gift, Chung Yoo-Kyung's ownership in Shinsegae will rise from 18.95% to 29.16%.</li>
<li>We are positive on this share transfer of 10.2% stake in Shinsegae from mother (Lee Myung-Hee) to her daughter Chung Yoo-Kyung on the share price impact on Shinsegae.</li>
</ul>


On 30 April, Lee Myung-Hee (Chairwoman of Shinsegae Group) decided to transfer all of her 10.2% stake in Shinsegae (004170 KS) as a gift to her daughter Chung Yoo-Kyung. 
After this gift, Chung Yoo-Kyung's ownership in Shinsegae will rise from 18.95% to 29.16%.
We are positive on this share transfer of 10.2% stake in Shinsegae from mother (Lee Myung-Hee) to her daughter Chung Yoo-Kyung on the share price impact on Shinsegae.


Lee Myung-Hee Transfers All of Her 10.2% Stake In Shinsegae to Her Daughter Chung Yoo-Kyung

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>I recently visited Inspire Entertainment Resort in Yeongjeongdo, Korea with my family. </li>
<li>Overall, I was impressed with its modern, clean facilities, but despite its large size, there was a relative emptiness to the place that made it feel underutilized.</li>
<li>The management rights of Inspire Resort were transferred to Bain Capital from Mohegan Gaming &amp; Entertainment (MGE) in February 2025.</li>
</ul>


I recently visited Inspire Entertainment Resort in Yeongjeongdo, Korea with my family. 
Overall, I was impressed with its modern, clean facilities, but despite its large size, there was a relative emptiness to the place that made it feel underutilized.
The management rights of Inspire Resort were transferred to Bain Capital from Mohegan Gaming &amp; Entertainment (MGE) in February 2025.


A Visit to Inspire Integrated Resort in Incheon, South Korea

<ul>
<li>One of the big thematic events on the Korean stock market has been the expectation that China could lift ban on Korean popular culture (Hallyu) as early as May 2025. </li>
<li>China's President Xi recently stated "Cultural exchanges are a valuable part of our bilateral relations [between China and Korea]. We should avoid any problems occurring in handling such matters.” 
</li>
<li>We provide a list of 40 stocks in Korea that could most benefit from the end of lifting ban of Korean popular culture. </li>
</ul>


One of the big thematic events on the Korean stock market has been the expectation that China could lift ban on Korean popular culture (Hallyu) as early as May 2025. 
China's President Xi recently stated "Cultural exchanges are a valuable part of our bilateral relations [between China and Korea]. We should avoid any problems occurring in handling such matters.” 

We provide a list of 40 stocks in Korea that could most benefit from the end of lifting ban of Korean popular culture. 


China Could Lift Ban on Korean Popular Culture (Hallyu) As Early As May 2025

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Dec 6th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD3.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Lg Energy Solution, Samsung Electronics, KB Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Dec 6th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD3.8bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Lg Energy Solution, Samsung Electronics, KB Financial.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 6th): Lg Energy Solution, Samsung Electronics, KB Financial

South Korea

Shinsegae Co., Ltd. operates department stores in South Korea.  The Company retails food, clothing, household goods, electronics, and other items through several branch stores.

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Shinsegae (004170 KS)

KOSPI 200 Tactical Outlook: Waiting for the June Elections

The KOSPI 200 INDEX is in overbought territory ahead of SK's early presidential election on June 3rd, this insight discusses tactical...

Nico Rosti

Lee Myung-Hee Transfers All of Her 10.2% Stake In Shinsegae to Her Daughter Chung Yoo-Kyung

We are positive on this share transfer of 10.2% stake in Shinsegae from mother (Lee Myung-Hee) to her daughter Chung Yoo-Kyung on the share price...

Douglas Kim

A Visit to Inspire Integrated Resort in Incheon, South Korea

I recently visited Inspire Entertainment Resort in Yeongjeongdo, Korea. I was impressed with its modern facilities, but there was a relative...

Douglas Kim

China Could Lift Ban on Korean Popular Culture (Hallyu) As Early As May 2025

One of the big thematic events that have impacted the Korean stock market this week has been the expectation that China could lift ban on Korean...

Douglas Kim

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 6th): Lg Energy Solution, Samsung Electronics, KB Financial

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Lg Energy Solution, Samsung Electronics, KB...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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