Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiggy-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)</a> listed in November 2024 and around 85% of the shares outstanding (US$7.6bn) will unlock on 13 May.</li>
<li>Nearly 80% of the shares that unlock are held by pre-IPO PE/VC investors and they are 100% in the money in most cases. Expect the selldown to commence soon.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiggy-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)</a> should be added to one global index in June, while inclusion in the other global index will require a small price increase or selling from PE/VC investors.</li>
</ul>



Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) listed in November 2024 and around 85% of the shares outstanding (US$7.6bn) will unlock on 13 May.
Nearly 80% of the shares that unlock are held by pre-IPO PE/VC investors and they are 100% in the money in most cases. Expect the selldown to commence soon.

Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) should be added to one global index in June, while inclusion in the other global index will require a small price increase or selling from PE/VC investors.


Swiggy (SWIGGY IN): US$7.6bn Lock-Up Expiry & Index Inclusion

Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Index Rebalance

Anglo American Platinum  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>JSE indices will be rebalanced in the closing auction on Thursday. JSE equity derivatives close out at midday as well – a reminder to get those rolls in.</li>
<li>AMS will enter the Top 40 with EXX falling out. AHR, BOX &amp; SRI will enter the ALSI index, with RBO falling out.</li>
<li>The ALSI is made up of constituents in the small, mid and large cap indices and constituents are reviewed semi-annually in March and September.</li>
</ul>


JSE indices will be rebalanced in the closing auction on Thursday. JSE equity derivatives close out at midday as well – a reminder to get those rolls in.
AMS will enter the Top 40 with EXX falling out. AHR, BOX &amp; SRI will enter the ALSI index, with RBO falling out.
The ALSI is made up of constituents in the small, mid and large cap indices and constituents are reviewed semi-annually in March and September.


JSE Mar25 Rebalance: AMS to Enter Top 40, EXX to Fall Out, BOX Second Largest ALSI Buy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Shinko Electric Industries / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a>. Done. Finally. Look at whether you could borrow shares just before the close of the tender and short tender and buy back post ex-date</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rea-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:699:1" rel="noopener">REA Group Ltd (REA AU)</a> rolls over as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costar-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16907:1" rel="noopener">Costar Group (CSGP US)</a> bets big on key rival Domain <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/domain-holdings-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26033:1" rel="noopener">Domain Holdings Australia (DHG AU)</a>.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/macromill-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24026:1" rel="noopener">Macromill (3978 JP)</a>'s tender extended. Still not a done deal. Look to buy shares at terms with the goal of NOT tendering and owning the back end.</li>
</ul>



Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP). Done. Finally. Look at whether you could borrow shares just before the close of the tender and short tender and buy back post ex-date

REA Group Ltd (REA AU) rolls over as Costar Group (CSGP US) bets big on key rival Domain Domain Holdings Australia (DHG AU).

Macromill (3978 JP)'s tender extended. Still not a done deal. Look to buy shares at terms with the goal of NOT tendering and owning the back end.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Shinko Electric, REA Group, Macromill, CNBM, Prosus/Tencent

<ul>
<li>Discounts likely set for further narrowing as Chinese government adopts a more positive stance towards the private sector (Tencent).</li>
<li>The discounts of Naspers and Prosus have recovered to levels last seen prior to the publication of the Chinese Military Companies list by the DoD at start of the year.</li>
<li>Last week Friday, Tencent rallied 7.4% following news that the Chinese government are expected to host a summit with Jack Ma and DeepSeek founder, Liang Wenfeng.</li>
</ul>


Discounts likely set for further narrowing as Chinese government adopts a more positive stance towards the private sector (Tencent).
The discounts of Naspers and Prosus have recovered to levels last seen prior to the publication of the Chinese Military Companies list by the DoD at start of the year.
Last week Friday, Tencent rallied 7.4% following news that the Chinese government are expected to host a summit with Jack Ma and DeepSeek founder, Liang Wenfeng.


NPN X PRX: Discounts Likely to Catch Further Bid on China News Flow

<ul><li>JSE indices will be rebalanced in the closing auction tomorrow. OUT will enter the Top 40 and the Capped Top 40, with NPH falling out.</li><li>Naspers and Prosus will be sold down in the Capped ALSI and the Capped Top 40 as a result of capping.</li><li>Prosus will be sold down in the uncapped indices due to a reduction in shares in issue as well as the SWIX float.</li></ul>

JSE indices will be rebalanced in the closing auction tomorrow. OUT will enter the Top 40 and the Capped Top 40, with NPH falling out.Naspers and Prosus will be sold down in the Capped ALSI and the Capped Top 40 as a result of capping.Prosus will be sold down in the uncapped indices due to a reduction in shares in issue as well as the SWIX float.

JSE December 2024 Rebalance OUT to Enter Top 40, NPH to Fall Out / NPN X PRX Top Sells (Capping)

South Africa

Naspers Limited operates in the technology industry. The Company invests in global internet companies across the world.

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Naspers (NPN SJ)

Swiggy (SWIGGY IN): US$7.6bn Lock-Up Expiry & Index Inclusion

There is a US$7.6bn lock-up expiry in Swiggy on 12 May - 80% of that is PE/VC, so expect selling. The stock could remain under pressure but PE/VC...

Brian Freitas

JSE Mar25 Rebalance: AMS to Enter Top 40, EXX to Fall Out, BOX Second Largest ALSI Buy

JSE indices will be rebalanced in the closing auction on Thursday (public holiday in SA on Friday). AMS will enter the Top 40 index, with EXX...

DMA

Last Week in Event SPACE: Shinko Electric, REA Group, Macromill, CNBM, Prosus/Tencent

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

NPN X PRX: Discounts Likely to Catch Further Bid on China News Flow

The discounts of Naspers and Prosus are expected to catch a further bid as China adopts a more positive stance towards private sector. Tencent...

DMA

JSE December 2024 Rebalance OUT to Enter Top 40, NPH to Fall Out / NPN X PRX Top Sells (Capping)

JSE indices will be rebalanced in the closing auction tomorrow. OUT will enter the Top 40 and the Capped Top 40, with NPH falling out. Naspers and...

DMA

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