Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We had a near-term bullish outlook on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) from 4/22/25 to 11/18/25.</li>
<li>After being near-term neutral for a week, we flipped back to bullish in our 11/25/25 Compass, all while maintaining our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $135.70 on ACWI-US continue to hold. </li>
</ul>


We had a near-term bullish outlook on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) from 4/22/25 to 11/18/25.
After being near-term neutral for a week, we flipped back to bullish in our 11/25/25 Compass, all while maintaining our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $135.70 on ACWI-US continue to hold. 


"Lockout Rally" Underway; Downgrading China to Market Weight; Weak U.S. Dollar Is Risk-On Signal

Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

Independent Investment Research

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

Equity Bottom-Up

BE Semiconductor Industries NV / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In this edition: • ASM International – ASML Holding – BE Semiconductor Industries | WSTS revises its outlook for worldwide semiconductor market strongly upward • Magnum Ice Cream Company | more details on upcoming listing • PostNL / Ahold Delhaize | EUR 2 levy on non-EU parcels effective as of 1 January 2026</li></ul>

In this edition: • ASM International – ASML Holding – BE Semiconductor Industries | WSTS revises its outlook for worldwide semiconductor market strongly upward • Magnum Ice Cream Company | more details on upcoming listing • PostNL / Ahold Delhaize | EUR 2 levy on non-EU parcels effective as of 1 January 2026

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 4 December (ASM Int'l | ASML | Besi | MICC | PostNL/Ahold Delhaize)

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We recommend selling MITSU19 with a holding-period return of +1.95%, and adding PINGAN80 in its place.</li><li>The KTX DR Tactical Picks portfolio gained 0.55% yesterday, supported by continued strength in US technology stocks.</li><li>Our study using the KTX Fundamental USD/THB Tracker indicates that the baht is currently excessively weak.</li></ul>

We recommend selling MITSU19 with a holding-period return of +1.95%, and adding PINGAN80 in its place.The KTX DR Tactical Picks portfolio gained 0.55% yesterday, supported by continued strength in US technology stocks.Our study using the KTX Fundamental USD/THB Tracker indicates that the baht is currently excessively weak.

KTX Tactical DR Picks - November 12, 2025 (Eng.)

<ul><li>We recommend closing the AMZN80 position with a 0.7% gain after it dropped out of our scoring criteria and opening a new position in NVDA80, which tracks NVIDIA Corporation, a leading US technology stock.</li><li>The KTX DR Tactical Picks portfolio rose 0.51% from the previous day, supported by improved sentiment following easing concerns over the US government shutdown.</li><li>Our study using the KTX Fundamental USD/THB Tracker indicates that the baht is currently excessively weak.</li></ul>

We recommend closing the AMZN80 position with a 0.7% gain after it dropped out of our scoring criteria and opening a new position in NVDA80, which tracks NVIDIA Corporation, a leading US technology stock.The KTX DR Tactical Picks portfolio rose 0.51% from the previous day, supported by improved sentiment following easing concerns over the US government shutdown.Our study using the KTX Fundamental USD/THB Tracker indicates that the baht is currently excessively weak.

KTX Tactical DR Picks - November 11, 2025 (Eng.)

<ul>
<li>Dutch Telegraaf newspaper reports that Substrate, a US-based start-up founded in 2022, aims to challenge ASML’s dominance in advanced chip machinery.</li>
<li>Unlike ASML’s extreme-ultraviolet (EUV) lithography, Substrate uses beams from a mini-particle accelerator, claiming this method can produce smaller, cheaper chips.</li>
<li>The company intends not only to sell the machines but also to manufacture chips in-house at a US facility within a few years.</li>
</ul>


Dutch Telegraaf newspaper reports that Substrate, a US-based start-up founded in 2022, aims to challenge ASML’s dominance in advanced chip machinery.
Unlike ASML’s extreme-ultraviolet (EUV) lithography, Substrate uses beams from a mini-particle accelerator, claiming this method can produce smaller, cheaper chips.
The company intends not only to sell the machines but also to manufacture chips in-house at a US facility within a few years.


Netherlands

ASML Holding N.V. develops, produces, and markets semiconductor manufacturing equipment, specifically machines for the production of chips through lithography. The Company services clients world wide.

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ASML Holding NV (ASML NA)

"Lockout Rally" Underway; Downgrading China to Market Weight; Weak U.S. Dollar Is Risk-On Signal

"Lockout Rally" Underway $ACWI; Downgrading China $MCHI $FXI to Market Weight; U.S. Dollar (DXY) Providing Significant Risk-On Signal. Remain...

Vermilion Research

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 4 December (ASM Int'l | ASML | Besi | MICC | PostNL/Ahold Delhaize)

In this edition: • ASM International – ASML Holding – BE Semiconductor Industries | WSTS revises its outlook for worldwide semiconductor market...

The IDEA!

KTX Tactical DR Picks - November 12, 2025 (Eng.)

We recommend selling MITSU19 with a holding-period return of +1.95%, and adding PINGAN80 in its place.The KTX DR Tactical Picks portfolio gained...

Krungthai XSpring

KTX Tactical DR Picks - November 11, 2025 (Eng.)

he KTX DR Tactical Picks portfolio rose 0.51% from the previous day, supported by improved sentiment following easing concerns over the US...

Krungthai XSpring

What's News in Amsterdam

Dutch Telegraaf newspaper reports that Substrate, a US-based start-up founded in 2022, aims to challenge ASML’s dominance in advanced chip machinery.

The IDEA!

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