Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>Windows 10's End-of-Life Becomes Apple's Windfall as Second Fastest Growing Computer Brand</li>
<li>Eyes on Yageo Results Coming October 30 After 35% 1-Week Surge</li>
<li>China Tightens Rare Earth Grip: TSMC Says It's Prepared with Inventory</li>
</ul>


Windows 10's End-of-Life Becomes Apple's Windfall as Second Fastest Growing Computer Brand
Eyes on Yageo Results Coming October 30 After 35% 1-Week Surge
China Tightens Rare Earth Grip: TSMC Says It's Prepared with Inventory


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple's Macbook Windfall; Yageo's Rally; TSMC's Massive Rare Earth Stockpile

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>LRCX reported September 2025 quarter revenues of $5.32 billion, marginally above the guided midpoint, up 3% QoQ and up 27.7% YoY.</li>
<li>LRCX is forecasting current quarter revenues of $5.2 billion at the midpoint, slightly down sequentially, but up 18% YoY. In other words, the AI boost is coming, just not yet.</li>
<li>The elephant in the room was once again revenue mix from China which accounted for a whopping 43% of sales, up from 35% in the prior quarter. Oh my!</li>
</ul>


LRCX reported September 2025 quarter revenues of $5.32 billion, marginally above the guided midpoint, up 3% QoQ and up 27.7% YoY.
LRCX is forecasting current quarter revenues of $5.2 billion at the midpoint, slightly down sequentially, but up 18% YoY. In other words, the AI boost is coming, just not yet.
The elephant in the room was once again revenue mix from China which accounted for a whopping 43% of sales, up from 35% in the prior quarter. Oh my!


LRCX Q325. Solid Results, Outlook But China Exposure Is A Glaring Red Flag

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

<ul>
<li>LAM beats largely Sept-25 (15% above), Dec-25 guidance slightly above (4%), long-term drivers are concrete: $100bn in Data Center = 8bn in semi equipment, $40bn of NAND equipment to upgrade.</li>
<li>LAM is gaining share (depo / etch growing faster than litho), is ahead in the new stuff (Moly ALD, dry resist EUV). YTD Net Income is up 44%. Very impressive.</li>
<li>Among Semi Equipment stocks, LRCX is the best performer YTD: up 88%. LRCX is trading at +2.5 standard deviations: 30x forward EPS versus average 17x. Time to sell.</li>
</ul>


LAM beats largely Sept-25 (15% above), Dec-25 guidance slightly above (4%), long-term drivers are concrete: $100bn in Data Center = 8bn in semi equipment, $40bn of NAND equipment to upgrade.
LAM is gaining share (depo / etch growing faster than litho), is ahead in the new stuff (Moly ALD, dry resist EUV). YTD Net Income is up 44%. Very impressive.
Among Semi Equipment stocks, LRCX is the best performer YTD: up 88%. LRCX is trading at +2.5 standard deviations: 30x forward EPS versus average 17x. Time to sell.


Lam Research: Sept-25 Beat (15%), 4Q Above Consensus, but After 88% Rally the Stock Is Expensive.

Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

<ul><li>In this edition: • Nexperia | Chinese management ordered to follow Chinese law • E-commerce & Logistics | national surcharge on non-EU low-value parcels “is illegal” • Dutch politics | D66 clearly benefits from first TV debate • Corporate Agenda | week 43 - 47</li></ul>

In this edition: • Nexperia | Chinese management ordered to follow Chinese law • E-commerce & Logistics | national surcharge on non-EU low-value parcels “is illegal” • Dutch politics | D66 clearly benefits from first TV debate • Corporate Agenda | week 43 - 47

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Samsung plans to acquire advanced lithography tools from ASML to strengthen its market position against TSMC.</li><li>Telecom companies in Taiwan reported record revenues in September, largely due to increased iPhone 17 sales.</li><li>China's tightening control over critical minerals raises concerns for the electronics supply chain and manufacturing.</li></ul>

Samsung plans to acquire advanced lithography tools from ASML to strengthen its market position against TSMC.Telecom companies in Taiwan reported record revenues in September, largely due to increased iPhone 17 sales.China's tightening control over critical minerals raises concerns for the electronics supply chain and manufacturing.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (17-Oct-2025): Samsung to use ASML's lithography tools against

Netherlands

ASML Holding N.V. develops, produces, and markets semiconductor manufacturing equipment, specifically machines for the production of chips through lithography. The Company services clients world wide.

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ASML Holding NV (ASML NA)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple's Macbook Windfall; Yageo's Rally; TSMC's Massive Rare Earth Stockpile

Windows 10's end-of-life is benefiting Apple. Yageo's results ahead after a 35% surge, while TSMC is prepared for China's tightening grip on rare...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

LRCX Q325. Solid Results, Outlook But China Exposure Is A Glaring Red Flag

The elephant in the room was once again revenue mix from China which accounted for a whopping 43% of sales, up from 35% in the prior quarter. Oh my!

William Keating

Lam Research: Sept-25 Beat (15%), 4Q Above Consensus, but After 88% Rally the Stock Is Expensive.

LAM sees strong growth in Data Center and NAND equipment, gaining market share and showing impressive YTD Net Income increase. LRCX is top...

Nicolas Baratte

Zalando SE - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • Nexperia | Chinese management ordered to follow Chinese law • E-commerce & Logistics | national surcharge on non-EU...

The IDEA!

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (17-Oct-2025): Samsung to use ASML's lithography tools against

Samsung plans to acquire ASML's lithography tools to compete with TSMC, while telecoms in Taiwan report record revenues, and Apple seeks tax...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple's Macbook Windfall; Yageo's Rally; TSMC's Massive Rare Earth Stockpile

​Windows 10's end-of-life is benefiting Apple. Yageo's results ahead after a 35% surge, while TSMC is prepared for China's tightening grip on rare...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

LRCX Q325. Solid Results, Outlook But China Exposure Is A Glaring Red Flag

The elephant in the room was once again revenue mix from China which accounted for a whopping 43% of sales, up from 35% in the prior quarter. Oh my!

William Keating

Lam Research: Sept-25 Beat (15%), 4Q Above Consensus, but After 88% Rally the Stock Is Expensive.

​LAM sees strong growth in Data Center and NAND equipment, gaining market share and showing impressive YTD Net Income increase. LRCX is top...

Nicolas Baratte

Zalando SE - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • Nexperia | Chinese management ordered to follow Chinese law • E-commerce & Logistics | national surcharge on non-EU...

The IDEA!

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (17-Oct-2025): Samsung to use ASML's lithography tools against

Samsung plans to acquire ASML's lithography tools to compete with TSMC, while telecoms in Taiwan report record revenues, and Apple seeks tax...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Windows 10's end-of-life is benefiting Apple. Yageo's results ahead after a 35% surge, while TSMC is prepared for China's tightening grip on rare...

LAM sees strong growth in Data Center and NAND equipment, gaining market share and showing impressive YTD Net Income increase. LRCX is top...