Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>KION Group AG, a prominent player in the intralogistics sector, presented a nuanced performance in the first quarter of 2025, showcasing a blend of resilience and challenges that reflect the complex market environment it operates in.</li>
<li>The company's financial results illustrate both positive dynamics and areas where uncertainties prevail.</li>
<li>In terms of order intake, KION displayed robust performance with a notable 11% increase year-over-year, reaching EUR 2.7 billion.</li>
</ul>


KION Group AG, a prominent player in the intralogistics sector, presented a nuanced performance in the first quarter of 2025, showcasing a blend of resilience and challenges that reflect the complex market environment it operates in.
The company's financial results illustrate both positive dynamics and areas where uncertainties prevail.
In terms of order intake, KION displayed robust performance with a notable 11% increase year-over-year, reaching EUR 2.7 billion.


KION Group:  Will Service-Led Innovation Power the Next Industrial Revolution?

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In April there was a story suggesting Toyota Group would buy out <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-industries-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4500:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Industries (6201 JP)</a>. In June, they announced a deal. It was a BAD DEAL.  </li>
<li>The price was low, but it was BAD governance because it was the WRONG DEAL. TICO's Board declared a valuation fair for a deal not announced, ignoring the ACTUAL DEAL.</li>
<li>The valuation? Assumed no changes to the business. Actual deal? Sell 90+% of net assets driving 50% of net income, buy back 24+% of shares at discount. </li>
</ul>


In April there was a story suggesting Toyota Group would buy out Toyota Industries (6201 JP). In June, they announced a deal. It was a BAD DEAL.  
The price was low, but it was BAD governance because it was the WRONG DEAL. TICO's Board declared a valuation fair for a deal not announced, ignoring the ACTUAL DEAL.
The valuation? Assumed no changes to the business. Actual deal? Sell 90+% of net assets driving 50% of net income, buy back 24+% of shares at discount. 


[Japan M&A] Toyota Inds (6201) - Process ALWAYS Bad, Price Bad To Worse; Easily Worth ¥20k+

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-logisnext-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11662:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. (7105 JP)</a> announced a pre-conditional tender offer from Japan Industrial Partners (JIP) at JPY1,537 per share, representing a 15.3% discount to the last close price.</li>
<li>The offer resulted from an auction process. The offer is light in comparison to peer multiples and is below the midpoint of the target IFA DCF valuation.</li>
<li>While <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-heavy-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13613:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP)</a> irrevocable has a competing proposal clause, it is unlikely that a bidding war will transpire. The low required tendering rate suggests a done deal. </li>
</ul>



Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. (7105 JP) announced a pre-conditional tender offer from Japan Industrial Partners (JIP) at JPY1,537 per share, representing a 15.3% discount to the last close price.
The offer resulted from an auction process. The offer is light in comparison to peer multiples and is below the midpoint of the target IFA DCF valuation.
While Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP) irrevocable has a competing proposal clause, it is unlikely that a bidding war will transpire. The low required tendering rate suggests a done deal. 


Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105 JP): JIP’s Takeunder Offer

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

<ul>
<li>Business: Designs and integrates intralogistics, cleanroom, airport, and automotive automation systems.</li>
<li>Expanding AI-driven logistics and semiconductor cleanroom solutions, with recurring service growth.</li>
<li>Earnings projected to grow mid-teens CAGR to FY27E, with multiples compressing from ~25× P/E / 15× EV/EBITDA to ~20× / 12×, justifying a structural premium.</li>
</ul>


Business: Designs and integrates intralogistics, cleanroom, airport, and automotive automation systems.
Expanding AI-driven logistics and semiconductor cleanroom solutions, with recurring service growth.
Earnings projected to grow mid-teens CAGR to FY27E, with multiples compressing from ~25× P/E / 15× EV/EBITDA to ~20× / 12×, justifying a structural premium.


Daifuku (6383 JP): Global Automation Leader with Structural AI Tailwinds

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Gan & Lee Pharmaceuticals / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment</li>
<li>Short-Term supports to watch on ACWI-US continue to be $132 (testing now), $130, $128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50. All signs point to the ACWI-US uptrend continuing for the foreseeable future.</li>
<li>Upgrading China to Overweight; Europe Breaking Out; Japan Also Remains Attractive. Buys in Consumer Discretionary (primarily autos/parts), Industrials, Services, Health Care, Materials, Financials, and Real Estate</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment
Short-Term supports to watch on ACWI-US continue to be $132 (testing now), $130, $128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50. All signs point to the ACWI-US uptrend continuing for the foreseeable future.
Upgrading China to Overweight; Europe Breaking Out; Japan Also Remains Attractive. Buys in Consumer Discretionary (primarily autos/parts), Industrials, Services, Health Care, Materials, Financials, and Real Estate


Upgrading China to Overweight; Europe Breaking Out

Germany

KION Group AG provides material handling solutions. The Company offers forklifts, warehouse equipments, and other industrial trucks.

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KION Group (KGX GR)

KION Group: Will Service-Led Innovation Power the Next Industrial Revolution?

In terms of order intake, KION displayed robust performance with a notable 11% increase year-over-year, reaching EUR 2.7 billion.

Baptista Research

[Japan M&A] Toyota Inds (6201) - Process ALWAYS Bad, Price Bad To Worse; Easily Worth ¥20k+

The TICO buyout proposed by Toyota Fudosan in June was an elegant and greedy structure for the buyer, but inappropriate for TICO shareholders. It...

Travis Lundy

Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105 JP): JIP’s Takeunder Offer

The offer is light in comparison to peer multiples and is below the midpoint of the target IFA DCF valuation. However, the low required tendering...

Arun George

Daifuku (6383 JP): Global Automation Leader with Structural AI Tailwinds

Company expanding AI-driven logistics and semiconductor cleanroom solutions, with projected earnings growth and justified structural premium.

Rahul Jain

Upgrading China to Overweight; Europe Breaking Out

Upgrading China to Overweight. Europe Breaking Out. Japan Remains Attractive. All signs point to the $ACWI uptrend continuing for the foreseeable...

Vermilion Research

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KION Group: Will Service-Led Innovation Power the Next Industrial Revolution?

In terms of order intake, KION displayed robust performance with a notable 11% increase year-over-year, reaching EUR 2.7 billion.

Baptista Research

[Japan M&A] Toyota Inds (6201) - Process ALWAYS Bad, Price Bad To Worse; Easily Worth ¥20k+

The TICO buyout proposed by Toyota Fudosan in June was an elegant and greedy structure for the buyer, but inappropriate for TICO shareholders. It...

Travis Lundy

Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105 JP): JIP’s Takeunder Offer

The offer is light in comparison to peer multiples and is below the midpoint of the target IFA DCF valuation. However, the low required tendering...

Arun George

Daifuku (6383 JP): Global Automation Leader with Structural AI Tailwinds

​Company expanding AI-driven logistics and semiconductor cleanroom solutions, with projected earnings growth and justified structural premium.

Rahul Jain

Upgrading China to Overweight; Europe Breaking Out

Upgrading China to Overweight. Europe Breaking Out. Japan Remains Attractive. All signs point to the $ACWI uptrend continuing for the foreseeable...

Vermilion Research

Company expanding AI-driven logistics and semiconductor cleanroom solutions, with projected earnings growth and justified structural premium.