Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>US markets continue to pivot away from recent tech winners with a continued focus on Trump names.</li>
<li>Monolithic Power sold heavily on concerns it will lose NVDA mkt share to Renesas.</li>
<li>Will good numbers be enough for Recruit to break higher without more buybacks?</li>
</ul>


US markets continue to pivot away from recent tech winners with a continued focus on Trump names.
Monolithic Power sold heavily on concerns it will lose NVDA mkt share to Renesas.
Will good numbers be enough for Recruit to break higher without more buybacks?


Japan Morning Connection: Expect Japan to Reflect the US Pivot from Growth to Value

Japanese Turnaround Situations, Short-Ideas, Azabu Research

Michael Allen

Japanese Turnaround Situations, Short-Ideas

Azabu Research

Azabu Research is a publishing and consulting firm focused on distressed equities in the Japanese market. We specialize in turnaround strategies, corporate combinations, divestitures, and restructuring.

Publisher of the Tokyo Turnaround Letter, which conducts the most thorough research possible of publicly available information, including forensic tests for fraudulent overstatement of assets and understatement of liabilities, as well as rigorous market and industry analysis to assess the underlying strengths of the company’s products or services, the appropriateness of the company’s turnaround strategy, and the skill of its current management team. The average length of a report exceeds 25 pages of text and tables, excluding any disclosures or executive summaries.

We have more than 30 years of experience in applying this process to distressed equities in Japan. Additionally, subscribers have free access to detailed, yet easily navigated earnings models for the target company as well as the top five comparable companies, and unlimited access to the analyst for follow-up questions.

Azabu Research also conducts be-spoke research on a project basis, and provides consulting services to companies looking to restructure, divest, make acquisitions, go public, or improve investor sentiment toward their stock.

Independent Research and Consulting Firm

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Panasonic blew out consensus forecasts in Q2 and trades at 60% of book value. </li>
<li>Jtekt missed but raised its dividend, which was already very high. </li>
<li>Aisin missed, but by a trivial amount, and the price/book value fell back to a level that marked support on multiple occasions since the Pandemic started.</li>
</ul>


Panasonic blew out consensus forecasts in Q2 and trades at 60% of book value. 
Jtekt missed but raised its dividend, which was already very high. 
Aisin missed, but by a trivial amount, and the price/book value fell back to a level that marked support on multiple occasions since the Pandemic started.


<ul>
<li>Silicon carbide chips and new electric vehicles are dominating the news in deep value space, highlighting Rohm, Honda, and Aisin.</li>
<li>We also highlight some juicy dividends that we think need to be taken seriously by growth managers.</li>
<li>This round-up is provided for thought provocation only. Comprehensive deep-dive analysis available to clients on request. </li>
</ul>


Silicon carbide chips and new electric vehicles are dominating the news in deep value space, highlighting Rohm, Honda, and Aisin.
We also highlight some juicy dividends that we think need to be taken seriously by growth managers.
This round-up is provided for thought provocation only. Comprehensive deep-dive analysis available to clients on request. 


Unloved Japan Roundup: Rohm, Honda, Aisin, Jtekt

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Solactive has announced the constituent changes for the Global Lithium Index. There are 3 adds and 3 deletes with implementation at the close on 31 October.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 13.8% and will result in a one-way trade of US$174m. There are a few stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The index is not very widely tracked and there could be big moves in some stocks over the next few days - especially where there is multiple days ADV.</li>
</ul>


Solactive has announced the constituent changes for the Global Lithium Index. There are 3 adds and 3 deletes with implementation at the close on 31 October.
Estimated one-way turnover is 13.8% and will result in a one-way trade of US$174m. There are a few stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
The index is not very widely tracked and there could be big moves in some stocks over the next few days - especially where there is multiple days ADV.


Solactive Global Lithium Index Rebalance: 28% Turnover & US$350m Trade

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Horizon Robotics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics (9660 HK)</a> raised around US$800m, including over-allocation, in its Hong Kong IPO. </li>
<li>Horizon Robotics (HR) is a provider of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving (AD) solutions for passenger vehicles, empowered by its proprietary software and hardware technologies.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading updates.</li>
</ul>



Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) raised around US$800m, including over-allocation, in its Hong Kong IPO. 
Horizon Robotics (HR) is a provider of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving (AD) solutions for passenger vehicles, empowered by its proprietary software and hardware technologies.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading updates.


Horizon Robotics IPO Trading - More than 55% of the Deal Taken up by Existing Shareholders

Japan

Panasonic Corporation manufactures electric and electronic products. The Company produces home appliances, car navigation systems, digital devices, computer peripherals, telecommunications, industrial equipment, and electronic parts. Panasonic has associated companies around the world.

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Panasonic Corp (6752 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Expect Japan to Reflect the US Pivot from Growth to Value

US markets continue to shift focus from tech winners to Trump names, Monolithic Power sold on NVDA market share concerns, can Recruit break higher...

Andrew Jackson

Panasonic (6752): Blows Past Consensus

Panasonic outperforms in Q2, trading at 60% of book value; Jtekt misses but raises dividend; Aisin misses slightly, price/book value falls to...

Michael Allen

Unloved Japan Roundup: Rohm, Honda, Aisin, Jtekt

New product launches could be the start of a deluge of Silicon carbide-based chips that improve performance and reduce costs of high-powered...

Michael Allen

Solactive Global Lithium Index Rebalance: 28% Turnover & US$350m Trade

There are 3 adds/3 deletes for the Solactive Global Lithium Index resulting in an estimated one-way turnover of 13.8% and in a one-way trade of...

Brian Freitas

Horizon Robotics IPO Trading - More than 55% of the Deal Taken up by Existing Shareholders

Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) raised around US$800m, including over-allocation, in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

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Japan Morning Connection: Expect Japan to Reflect the US Pivot from Growth to Value

​US markets continue to shift focus from tech winners to Trump names, Monolithic Power sold on NVDA market share concerns, can Recruit break higher...

Andrew Jackson

Panasonic (6752): Blows Past Consensus

​Panasonic outperforms in Q2, trading at 60% of book value; Jtekt misses but raises dividend; Aisin misses slightly, price/book value falls to...

Michael Allen

Unloved Japan Roundup: Rohm, Honda, Aisin, Jtekt

New product launches could be the start of a deluge of Silicon carbide-based chips that improve performance and reduce costs of high-powered...

Michael Allen

Solactive Global Lithium Index Rebalance: 28% Turnover & US$350m Trade

There are 3 adds/3 deletes for the Solactive Global Lithium Index resulting in an estimated one-way turnover of 13.8% and in a one-way trade of...

Brian Freitas

Horizon Robotics IPO Trading - More than 55% of the Deal Taken up by Existing Shareholders

Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) raised around US$800m, including over-allocation, in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

US markets continue to shift focus from tech winners to Trump names, Monolithic Power sold on NVDA market share concerns, can Recruit break higher...

Panasonic outperforms in Q2, trading at 60% of book value; Jtekt misses but raises dividend; Aisin misses slightly, price/book value falls to...