Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

WTI has broken key support at 37.50 which is an important level that represents the flat range support from the September and October lows. This follows our original bear call at 42-43 on the back of macro degree bear divergence which is expected to play out into year-end.The a-b-c flat is a correction bounce sequence and now followed by a fresh downside impulse that is already pressing 32 minor support with an attraction to 28 support noted. Such a fall will add to bear pressure in energy counters.

WTI has broken key support at 37.50 which is an important level that represents the flat range support from the September and October lows. This follows our original bear call at 42-43 on the back of macro degree bear divergence which is expected to play out into year-end.The a-b-c flat is a correction bounce sequence and now followed by a fresh downside impulse that is already pressing 32 minor support with an attraction to 28 support noted. Such a fall will add to bear pressure in energy counters.

Founder & CEO. Oil markets macro-analysis., Vanda Insights

Vandana Hari

Founder & CEO. Oil markets macro-analysis.

Vanda Insights

Vanda Insights is a Singapore-based boutique provider of intelligence on the global energy markets, launched in September 2016. The venture was born out of a desire to extract the signal from the noise in the complex and often volatile oil markets. Our succinct and clear macro analysis is relied upon by thousands of readers globally, including those doing business directly or indirectly in the physical commodity and derivatives markets; wealth managers; governments, regulatory bodies and think-tanks; as well as trade organizations and educational institutions.

Global Energy Markets

Commodities

Crude was battered down to five-month lows last week. We examine the durability of the reasons behind the dive, the power of any supportive or bullish factors on the horizon, and when put all together, what it means for the global oil market. 
In our "election special" section, we look at the four most likely scenarios after the US presidential and general elections close on November 3 and how the oil complex may react to each one of them, as an immediate response in the next few days.

Crude was battered down to five-month lows last week. We examine the durability of the reasons behind the dive, the power of any supportive or bullish factors on the horizon, and when put all together, what it means for the global oil market. 
In our "election special" section, we look at the four most likely scenarios after the US presidential and general elections close on November 3 and how the oil complex may react to each one of them, as an immediate response in the next few days.

Weekly Oil Views: Battered by Europe Lockdowns, Crude Awaits OPEC+ Rescue

<ul type="disc">
<li>Crude has settled into a narrow band once again, which is $41-43/barrel for Brent futures, but with a downside bias. Market fundamentals remain weak.</li>
<li> There are no external psychological support factors for the oil complex, either. Previous months' cheer from progress on the coronavirus vaccine front has faded, while the US stimulus deal negotiations ceased to be a prop more than a week ago. </li>
<li>The overall picture on the demand front continues to be dominated by worries of a resurgent virus stalling the recovery in Europe and the US.</li>
<li>Meanwhile, an expected supply boost of 2-3 million b/d from OPEC/non-OPEC producers from January is increasingly threatening to overwhelm the pace of demand recovery.</li>
<li>Aside from a planned tapering of the OPEC+ production cuts by 1.9 million b/d from January, Libya is poised to put an additional 1 million b/d into the market before year-end.</li>
<li>The energy ministers of Saudi Arabia and Russia last week opted for platitudes instead of addressing the looming oversupply. Are the de facto OPEC+ leaders drifting apart on market rebalancing strategy again? </li>
</ul>


Crude has settled into a narrow band once again, which is $41-43/barrel for Brent futures, but with a downside bias. Market fundamentals remain weak.
 There are no external psychological support factors for the oil complex, either. Previous months' cheer from progress on the coronavirus vaccine front has faded, while the US stimulus deal negotiations ceased to be a prop more than a week ago. 
The overall picture on the demand front continues to be dominated by worries of a resurgent virus stalling the recovery in Europe and the US.
Meanwhile, an expected supply boost of 2-3 million b/d from OPEC/non-OPEC producers from January is increasingly threatening to overwhelm the pace of demand recovery.
Aside from a planned tapering of the OPEC+ production cuts by 1.9 million b/d from January, Libya is poised to put an additional 1 million b/d into the market before year-end.
The energy ministers of Saudi Arabia and Russia last week opted for platitudes instead of addressing the looming oversupply. Are the de facto OPEC+ leaders drifting apart on market rebalancing strategy again? 


Weekly Oil Views: Brent Hones in on $41-43 Range but Prone to Skittish Slides

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

The S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 are all holding above their respective short-term support levels and market dynamics remain positive. As a result, our outlook remains bullish and we continue to believe a “buy the dip” mentality is warranted. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Services, Transportation, &amp; Utilities: Construction &amp; Engineering, Large-Cap, Auctions, Vehicle Rentals/Leasing, Electric, Southwest

The S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 are all holding above their respective short-term support levels and market dynamics remain positive. As a result, our outlook remains bullish and we continue to believe a “buy the dip” mentality is warranted. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Services, Transportation, &amp; Utilities: Construction &amp; Engineering, Large-Cap, Auctions, Vehicle Rentals/Leasing, Electric, Southwest

U. S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Utilities; Downgrading Communications

Crude sentiment got a lift last week from strong China and India September oil demand data and the winter narrative shifting from demand concerns on a resurgent wave of virus to a bump in consumption from an expected colder-than-normal weather.Neither factor has staying power. One has to look past the headline numbers on China and India and avoid the risk of extrapolating a month-on-month jump to a steep forward curve.Meanwhile, the OPEC/non-OPEC alliance needs to wrestle with a growing danger of its output tipping the market back into oversupply next year.

Crude sentiment got a lift last week from strong China and India September oil demand data and the winter narrative shifting from demand concerns on a resurgent wave of virus to a bump in consumption from an expected colder-than-normal weather.Neither factor has staying power. One has to look past the headline numbers on China and India and avoid the risk of extrapolating a month-on-month jump to a steep forward curve.Meanwhile, the OPEC/non-OPEC alliance needs to wrestle with a growing danger of its output tipping the market back into oversupply next year. 

Weekly Oil Views: Resurgent Virus Dominates Frail Demand Support

United States

Crude oil is a naturally occurring, unrefined petroleum product composed of hydrocarbon deposits and other organic materials. Crude oil can be refined to produce usable products such as gasoline, diesel and various forms of petrochemicals. It is a nonrenewable resource, also known as a fossil fuel, which means that it can't be replaced naturally at the rate we consume it and is therefore a limited resource.

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Crude Oil (CL1 COM COMDTY)

WTI Risk to 28 Below 32

WTI break of 37.50 support and a-b-c flat range will unleash bear pressure that will add to energy sector concerns. WTI is attracted to old highs...

Thomas Schroeder

Weekly Oil Views: Battered by Europe Lockdowns, Crude Awaits OPEC+ Rescue

Crude has been pummelled to 5-month lows. Europe lockdowns are weighing on the demand side, while Libyan supply gushing back into the market is...

Vandana Hari

Weekly Oil Views: Brent Hones in on $41-43 Range but Prone to Skittish Slides

Oil market fundamentals are weak. Demand recovery in Europe and the US is under a cloud from a second wave of Covid, while OPEC+ looks poised to...

Vandana Hari

U. S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Utilities; Downgrading Communications

We are upgrading Utilities and downgrading Communications. We recap important technical levels across major indexes and share actionable ideas...

Vermilion Research

Weekly Oil Views: Resurgent Virus Dominates Frail Demand Support

Sentiment in the oil market began to take a constructive turn last week but struggled against demand worries from a resurgent virus and the...

Vandana Hari

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