Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 (up from 5700-5785) and $119-$121.</li>
<li>$128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 (up from 5700-5785) and $119-$121.
$128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.


Continue Adding Exposure to China; Short-Term Supports to for This ACWI-US Pullback

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Sino Biopharmaceutical initiated Phase 1 trial for innovative drug candidate TQB6411 targeting advanced malignant tumors in China. Wuxi Biologics announced that five manufacturing facilities passed the Pre-License Inspection by FDA.</li>
<li>FDA drug advisory committee voted against Otsuka’s indication expansion application for Rexulti. Telix Pharmaceutical received a subpoena from the SEC regarding the development of prostate cancer therapeutic candidates. </li>
<li>Lupin received FDA approval for generic versions of Liraglutide and Glucagon injections. Sun Pharmaceutical announced positive top-line results from two Phase 3 trials of Ilumya in active psoriatic arthritis.</li>
</ul>


Sino Biopharmaceutical initiated Phase 1 trial for innovative drug candidate TQB6411 targeting advanced malignant tumors in China. Wuxi Biologics announced that five manufacturing facilities passed the Pre-License Inspection by FDA.
FDA drug advisory committee voted against Otsuka’s indication expansion application for Rexulti. Telix Pharmaceutical received a subpoena from the SEC regarding the development of prostate cancer therapeutic candidates. 
Lupin received FDA approval for generic versions of Liraglutide and Glucagon injections. Sun Pharmaceutical announced positive top-line results from two Phase 3 trials of Ilumya in active psoriatic arthritis.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (July 27) – Sino Bio, Wuxi Bio, Otsuka, Telix, Lupin, Sun Pharma

<ul>
<li>Shanghai Henlius Biotech initiated Phase 3 U.S. clinical trial for HLX22 for gastroesophageal junction and gastric cancer. CanSino Biologics obtained clinical trial approval in China for polio vaccine.</li>
<li>FDA rejected Nippon Shinyaku’s new drug application for CAP-1002 for DMD. JCR Pharmaceuticals announced license agreement with Acumen Pharmaceuticals to develop Alzheimer’s disease drug using JCR’s BBB -penetrating technology platform.</li>
<li>Mesoblast recorded $13.2M revenue from Ryoncil post-launch March 28 through June 30. Sun Pharma launched Leqselvi in the U.S. for the treatment of adults with severe alopecia areata.</li>
</ul>


Shanghai Henlius Biotech initiated Phase 3 U.S. clinical trial for HLX22 for gastroesophageal junction and gastric cancer. CanSino Biologics obtained clinical trial approval in China for polio vaccine.
FDA rejected Nippon Shinyaku’s new drug application for CAP-1002 for DMD. JCR Pharmaceuticals announced license agreement with Acumen Pharmaceuticals to develop Alzheimer’s disease drug using JCR’s BBB -penetrating technology platform.
Mesoblast recorded $13.2M revenue from Ryoncil post-launch March 28 through June 30. Sun Pharma launched Leqselvi in the U.S. for the treatment of adults with severe alopecia areata.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (July 20) – Henlius Bio, CanSino, Nippon Shinyaku, JCR, Mesoblast, Sun Pharma

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio has significantly outperformed the Hong Kong indexes in June and since inception. Outperformance range is 17% to 23% since inception.</li>
<li>At the end of June, we sold positions in the tech sector after substantial gains. The portfolio's exposure to the consumption sector was also trimmed, both discretionary and staples.</li>
<li>The portfolio added exposure to the metals refining sector and initiated positions in conglomerates <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-industrial-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1447:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Industrial Holdings (363 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/citic-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20590:1" rel="noopener">Citic Ltd (267 HK)</a> .</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio has significantly outperformed the Hong Kong indexes in June and since inception. Outperformance range is 17% to 23% since inception.
At the end of June, we sold positions in the tech sector after substantial gains. The portfolio's exposure to the consumption sector was also trimmed, both discretionary and staples.
The portfolio added exposure to the metals refining sector and initiated positions in conglomerates Shanghai Industrial Holdings (363 HK) and Citic Ltd (267 HK) .


<ul>
<li>Chugai Pharmaceutical enters inlicensing agreement with Gero to develop novel therapies for age-related diseases. JCR Pharmaceuticals stuck outlicening deal with Alexion for its proprietary JUST-AAV capsids to develop genomic medicines.</li>
<li>Cochlear got FDA approval for new product, which will be launched in 1Q26. CStone Pharmaceuticals entered exclusive partnership with Istituto Gentili to commercialize sugemalimab across Western Europe and UK.</li>
<li>Glenmark signed exclusive licensing agreement with AbbVie for their oncology drug candidate ISB 2001. Lupin entered license and supply agreement for commercialization of its biosimilar Certolizumab Pegol in global markets.</li>
</ul>


Chugai Pharmaceutical enters inlicensing agreement with Gero to develop novel therapies for age-related diseases. JCR Pharmaceuticals stuck outlicening deal with Alexion for its proprietary JUST-AAV capsids to develop genomic medicines.
Cochlear got FDA approval for new product, which will be launched in 1Q26. CStone Pharmaceuticals entered exclusive partnership with Istituto Gentili to commercialize sugemalimab across Western Europe and UK.
Glenmark signed exclusive licensing agreement with AbbVie for their oncology drug candidate ISB 2001. Lupin entered license and supply agreement for commercialization of its biosimilar Certolizumab Pegol in global markets.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (July 13) – Chugai, JCR, Cochlear, CStone, Celltrion, Glenmark, Lupin

Hong Kong

Sino Biopharmaceutical is a leading, innovation-driven pharmaceutical conglomerate in China, focusing on the research, development, manufacturing, and sale of pharmaceutical products. The company specializes in therapeutic areas such as oncology, hepatology, respiratory, and cardiovascular diseases, offering both modernized Chinese and Western medicines. It was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Wanchai, Hong Kong.

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Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK)

Continue Adding Exposure to China; Short-Term Supports to for This ACWI-US Pullback

Continue Adding Exposure to China; $ACWI Short-Term Supports for this pullback: $128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50. Pullbacks = buy opportunities,...

Vermilion Research

APAC Healthcare Weekly (July 27) – Sino Bio, Wuxi Bio, Otsuka, Telix, Lupin, Sun Pharma

Wuxi Bio’s manufacturing facilities passed FDA inspection. Otsuka’s label expansion plan for Rexulti is in jeopardy. Telix got SEC subpoena. Lupin...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (July 20) – Henlius Bio, CanSino, Nippon Shinyaku, JCR, Mesoblast, Sun Pharma

Henlius Bio initiates P3 U.S. trial for cancer drug. FDA rejected Nippon Shinyaku’s new drug filing. JCR partners with Acumen to develop...

Tina Banerjee

Hong Kong Alpha Portfolio (June 2025)

The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio has significantly outperformed the Hong Kong indexes in June and since inception. Outperformance range is 17% to 23%...

David Mudd

APAC Healthcare Weekly (July 13) – Chugai, JCR, Cochlear, CStone, Celltrion, Glenmark, Lupin

Chugai entered inlicensing agreement. JCR Pharma and Glenmark stuck outlicensing deal. Cochlear got new product approval. CStone and Lupin found...

Tina Banerjee

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