Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-pacific-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:173:1" rel="noopener">First Pacific Co (142 HK)</a> is a Southeast Asian conglomerate that has been handicapped by its listing in the Hong Kong market over the last several years.</li>
<li>As Southeast Asian markets (Indonesia and Philippines) begin to re-rate on the back of a more accommodating Fed policy, First Pacific is beginning to participate in the uptrend.</li>
<li>Metro Pacific Investments Corp (MPIC), the second largest piece of the company's NAV has been active in acquiring more infrastructure assets since being privatized last year.</li>
</ul>



First Pacific Co (142 HK) is a Southeast Asian conglomerate that has been handicapped by its listing in the Hong Kong market over the last several years.
As Southeast Asian markets (Indonesia and Philippines) begin to re-rate on the back of a more accommodating Fed policy, First Pacific is beginning to participate in the uptrend.
Metro Pacific Investments Corp (MPIC), the second largest piece of the company's NAV has been active in acquiring more infrastructure assets since being privatized last year.


BUY: First Pacific Company (142 HK): Right Stock Trapped in the Wrong Market

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nusantara-sejahtera-raya" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39908:1" rel="noopener">Cinema XXI (CINEMA IJ)</a> aims to raise up to US$160m in its Indonesia IPO.</li>
<li>Cinema XXI is a premium theatrical exhibition, F&amp;B and experience company. It is the largest cinema chain operator in Indonesia.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Cinema XXI (CINEMA IJ) aims to raise up to US$160m in its Indonesia IPO.
Cinema XXI is a premium theatrical exhibition, F&amp;B and experience company. It is the largest cinema chain operator in Indonesia.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Nusantara Sejahtera Raya (Cinema XXI) IPO - The Negatives - Private Placement, Not a Primary Raising

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We expect FY26 purchasing power to improve gradually on expansionary fiscal measures, stronger social assistance and higher min. wages.</li><li>We project sector’s rev. growth of +5.7% yoy in FY26F (vs. +4.2% FY25F), with margin relief and efficiencies driving +6% increase in core profit.</li><li>Maintain our Overweight stance on the sector; ICBP (Buy, TP Rp11,500) remains the top pick in the sector.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect FY26 purchasing power to improve gradually on expansionary fiscal measures, stronger social assistance and higher min. wages.We project sector’s rev. growth of +5.7% yoy in FY26F (vs. +4.2% FY25F), with margin relief and efficiencies driving +6% increase in core profit.Maintain our Overweight stance on the sector; ICBP (Buy, TP Rp11,500) remains the top pick in the sector.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer: FY26 Outlook: Fiscal Acceleration and Potentially Higher Wage Hikes to Support Consumption

<ul><li>Manufacturing-led FDI now anchors investment growth, lifting GFCF and widening regional benefit with Ex-Java areas benefiting the most.</li><li>Despite rising manufacturing-led FDI, investment momentum is soft. Capex cycle, utilisation, and minimum wages are key factors to watch.</li><li>Wage growth tracks investment in productive regions, highlighting the need to shift UMR rules toward productivity-based, region-specific.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Manufacturing-led FDI now anchors investment growth, lifting GFCF and widening regional benefit with Ex-Java areas benefiting the most.Despite rising manufacturing-led FDI, investment momentum is soft. Capex cycle, utilisation, and minimum wages are key factors to watch.Wage growth tracks investment in productive regions, highlighting the need to shift UMR rules toward productivity-based, region-specific.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro Strategy: 2026: Reassessing the Investment Cycle

<ul><li>Growth momentum improving. Accelerating disbursement and BI’s policy easing expected to strengthen growth toward year-end.</li><li>Beyond yield gaps. Foreign inflows often rise despite narrower BI–Fed spreads, showing growth differential drives sustained capital inflows.</li><li>Long-term foreign investment depends on Indonesia maintaining solid, broad-based, and stable economic growth momentum.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Growth momentum improving. Accelerating disbursement and BI’s policy easing expected to strengthen growth toward year-end.Beyond yield gaps. Foreign inflows often rise despite narrower BI–Fed spreads, showing growth differential drives sustained capital inflows.Long-term foreign investment depends on Indonesia maintaining solid, broad-based, and stable economic growth momentum.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro Strategy: Growth Over Differentials

Indonesia

PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk manufactures soaps, detergents, margarine, oil and dairy based foods, tea based beverages, ice cream, and cosmetics.

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Unilever Indonesia (UNVR IJ)

BUY: First Pacific Company (142 HK): Right Stock Trapped in the Wrong Market

Since our insight on 1st Pac last Sept., the stock has gained 33%. Company had solid 2024 results. MPIC, the undervalued Phil./Indonesia...

David Mudd

Nusantara Sejahtera Raya (Cinema XXI) IPO - The Negatives - Private Placement, Not a Primary Raising

Cinema XXI (CINEMA IJ) aims to raise up to US$160m in its Indonesia IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Consumer: FY26 Outlook: Fiscal Acceleration and Potentially Higher Wage Hikes to Support Consumption

We expect FY26 purchasing power to improve gradually on expansionary fiscal measures, stronger social assistance and higher min. wages.

BRI Danareksa Research

Macro Strategy: 2026: Reassessing the Investment Cycle

Manufacturing-led FDI now anchors investment growth, lifting GFCF and widening regional benefit with Ex-Java areas benefiting the most.

BRI Danareksa Research

Macro Strategy: Growth Over Differentials

Indonesia’s economy maintained solid momentum in 3Q25, recording 5.04% y-y (1.43% q-q) growth, although slightly easing from 2Q25’s 5.12%.

BRI Danareksa Research

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