Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 2 July, Cosmecca Korea (241710 KS) announced that it plans to switch its listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI. Cosmecca Korea is the third largest cosmetics ODM company in Korea.</li>
<li>Cosmecca Korea's ROE is similar to the average ROE of the comps. However, Cosmecca Korea's P/B valuation is 36% discount to that of the comps.</li>
<li>By switching its listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI, there is an increasing probability of the Cosmecca Korea receiving higher valuations, narrowing the gap with its peers. </li>
</ul>


On 2 July, Cosmecca Korea (241710 KS) announced that it plans to switch its listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI. Cosmecca Korea is the third largest cosmetics ODM company in Korea.
Cosmecca Korea's ROE is similar to the average ROE of the comps. However, Cosmecca Korea's P/B valuation is 36% discount to that of the comps.
By switching its listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI, there is an increasing probability of the Cosmecca Korea receiving higher valuations, narrowing the gap with its peers. 


Cosmecca Korea: Switching Listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI Likely to Be Completed in 2H 2025

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> December rebalance complete, there could be 10 changes at the review.</li>
<li>The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.24-7.3 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 0.5-6.4 days of ADV.</li>
<li>The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a> early in the review period, but there has been a small downward drift over the last 4 months.</li>
</ul>


With the review period for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) December rebalance complete, there could be 10 changes at the review.
The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.24-7.3 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 0.5-6.4 days of ADV.
The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes and the KOSDAQ 150 Index early in the review period, but there has been a small downward drift over the last 4 months.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes a Side and Some Close Names

<ul>
<li>On 6 August, the Korean government confirmed visa-free entry of group tourists from China to South Korea.</li>
<li>The new policy will allow the group tourists from China to visit South Korea on a visa-free basis from 29 September 2025 to end of June 2026.</li>
<li>We provide a list of top 20 companies in Korea that are key beneficiaries of the no visa policy for group tour visitors from China to South Korea.</li>
</ul>


On 6 August, the Korean government confirmed visa-free entry of group tourists from China to South Korea.
The new policy will allow the group tourists from China to visit South Korea on a visa-free basis from 29 September 2025 to end of June 2026.
We provide a list of top 20 companies in Korea that are key beneficiaries of the no visa policy for group tour visitors from China to South Korea.


Korean Government Confirms Visa-Free Entry of Group Tourists from China to South Korea

<ul>
<li>In the next several weeks, the South Korean government is likely to provide details of a no visa policy for group tour visitors from China to South Korea.</li>
<li>We provide a list of top 15 Korean companies that could benefit from potential no visa policy for group tour visitors from China to South Korea. </li>
<li>These 15 companies' share prices are up on average 49.2% YTD, sharply outperforming KOSPI and KOSDAQ that are up 21.2% and 15.9%, respectively YTD.</li>
</ul>


In the next several weeks, the South Korean government is likely to provide details of a no visa policy for group tour visitors from China to South Korea.
We provide a list of top 15 Korean companies that could benefit from potential no visa policy for group tour visitors from China to South Korea. 
These 15 companies' share prices are up on average 49.2% YTD, sharply outperforming KOSPI and KOSDAQ that are up 21.2% and 15.9%, respectively YTD.


No Visa For Group Tour Visitors from China to South Korea Likely Starting 3Q 2025

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>You could label <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kyocera-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:753:1" rel="noopener">Kyocera Corp (6971 JP)</a>"BULLISH" because the stock goes up rather than down; but you could easily label this BEARISH because the prospects aren't exciting.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wh-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13200:1" rel="noopener">WH Group (288 HK)</a>spins off <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smithfield-foods-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44251:1" rel="noopener">Smithfield Foods (SFD US)</a> - below the prior expected price range.  Pricing looks full here.</li>
<li>As <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-building-ma-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:184:1" rel="noopener">China National Building Material (3323 HK)</a>'s Partial Offer heads towards the pointy end, do you buy, and/or borrow, and tender; short outright; or short tender?</li>
</ul>


You could label Kyocera Corp (6971 JP)"BULLISH" because the stock goes up rather than down; but you could easily label this BEARISH because the prospects aren't exciting.

WH Group (288 HK)spins off Smithfield Foods (SFD US) - below the prior expected price range.  Pricing looks full here.
As China National Building Material (3323 HK)'s Partial Offer heads towards the pointy end, do you buy, and/or borrow, and tender; short outright; or short tender?


Last Week in Event SPACE: Kyocera, WH Group/Smithfield, CNBM, Japan Eyewear, Core Concept Tech

South Korea

Cosmecca Korea Co., Ltd. develops and manufactures cosmetics. The Company specializes in research and development of cosmetics. Cosmecca Korea serves customers in Korea.

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Cosmecca Korea (241710 KS)

Cosmecca Korea: Switching Listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI Likely to Be Completed in 2H 2025

On 2 July, Cosmecca Korea (241710 KS) announced that it plans to switch its listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI. Cosmecca Korea is the third largest...

Douglas Kim

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes a Side and Some Close Names

We forecast 10 changes a side for the index in December. There are names that are close to market cap/liquidity thresholds. The forecast adds...

Brian Freitas

Korean Government Confirms Visa-Free Entry of Group Tourists from China to South Korea

We provide a list of top 20 companies in Korea that are key beneficiaries of the no visa policy for group tour visitors from China to South Korea.

Douglas Kim

No Visa For Group Tour Visitors from China to South Korea Likely Starting 3Q 2025

In the next several weeks, the South Korean government is likely to provide details of a no visa policy for group tour visitors from China to South...

Douglas Kim

Last Week in Event SPACE: Kyocera, WH Group/Smithfield, CNBM, Japan Eyewear, Core Concept Tech

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

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