Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<p>Celltrion is still struggling to catch up with Celltrion Healthcare. <strong>The Celltrion (Long) &amp; Celltrion Healthcare (Short) pair continues to be in a diversion of near -2.0σ</strong>. Celltrion made a 2+% gain earlier today but is now back to the previous close.</p><table class="table table-striped">
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<td style="width: 222.727px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Sigma (σ) on a 20-day moving average"}'>Sigma (σ) on a 20-day moving average</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 108.182px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Today"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0"]'>Today</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 112.727px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"T-1"}'>T-1</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 96.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"T-2"}'>T-2</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 100px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"T-3"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0"]'>T-3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 222.727px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Celltrion, Inc."}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-8]C[0]">Celltrion, Inc. / Celltrion Healthcare</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 108.182px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-1.7681341462103701}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$2")'><strong>-1.77</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 112.727px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-2.0626425593335966}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$3")'>-2.06</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 96.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.3625908704099981}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$4")'>-0.36</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 100px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.02927230344234097}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$5")'>-0.03</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" style="width: 723.636px;">Source: KRX</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p>Celltrion has recovered a bit this year relative to Celltrion Healthcare since the harsh diversion that started late last year with the progress of a merger plan. </p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/207/918/original/Celltrion+%26+Celltrion+Healthcare.png?1621571531" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="207918"></figure><p>But the duo's price ratio (Celltrion in the numerator for Long and Celltrion Healthcare in the denominator for Short) is still <strong>8.73% below the 180-day average</strong> and 25.73% down from the 180-day high.</p></section><table class="table table-striped">
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<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Celltrion, Inc."}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-52]C[0]">Celltrion, Inc.</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Current sigma on a 20-day moving average"}'><strong>Current sigma on a 20-day moving average</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-1.7681341462103701}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect("$B"&amp;R70C[0])'><strong>-1.77</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Current price ratio"}'>Current price ratio</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":2.317909168808912}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00000",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect("$E"&amp;R71C[0])'>2.31791</td>
</tr>
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<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"%Δ to 180-day mean"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0"]'><strong>%Δ to 180-day mean</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.08731840377275689}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect("$B"&amp;R71C[0])'><strong>-8.73%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"%Δ to 180-day high"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0"]'><strong>%Δ to 180-day high</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.25733095771721204}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect("$C"&amp;R71C[0])'><strong>-25.73%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"%Δ to 180-day low"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0"]'>%Δ to 180-day low</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.12060069168315744}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect("$D"&amp;R71C[0])'>12.06%</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX"}'>Source: KRX</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p>The Long/Short trade on the Celltrion and Celltrion Healthcare pair features a pretty tight correlation and cointegration, estimated by a 180-day price Δ beta. Their 180-day correlation coefficient sits at +0.84215. Also, their 180-day price change beta is 0.76771, which also implies a hedge ratio for a short position on Celltrion Healthcare.</p><table class="table table-striped">
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<td style="width: 174.545px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Comp 1 (long)"}'>Comp 1 (Long)</td>
<td style="width: 212.727px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Comp 2 (short)"}'>Comp 2 (Short)</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 129.091px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"180-day correlation coefficient"}'>180-day correlation coefficient</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 144.545px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Cointegration coefficient (180-day price Δ beta)"}'>Cointegration coefficient (180-day price Δ beta)</td>
</tr>
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<td style="width: 174.545px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Celltrion, Inc."}'>Celltrion, Inc.</td>
<td style="width: 212.727px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Celltrion HealthCare Co Ltd"}'>Celltrion HealthCare Co Ltd</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 129.091px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.8421486059768682}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00000",1]'><strong>0.84215</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 144.545px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.7677091119717393}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00000",1]' data-sheets-formula="=Beta!R[2]C[-2]"><strong>0.76771</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="4" style="width: 174.545px;">Source: KRX</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>

Celltrion is still struggling to catch up with Celltrion Healthcare. The Celltrion (Long) &amp; Celltrion Healthcare (Short) pair continues to be in a diversion of near -2.0σ. Celltrion made a 2+% gain earlier today but is now back to the previous close.










Sigma (σ) on a 20-day moving average
Today
T-1
T-2
T-3


Celltrion, Inc. / Celltrion Healthcare
-1.77
-2.06
-0.36
-0.03

Source: KRX

Celltrion has recovered a bit this year relative to Celltrion Healthcare since the harsh diversion that started late last year with the progress of a merger plan. But the duo's price ratio (Celltrion in the numerator for Long and Celltrion Healthcare in the denominator for Short) is still 8.73% below the 180-day average and 25.73% down from the 180-day high.





Celltrion, Inc.

Current sigma on a 20-day moving average
-1.77


Current price ratio
2.31791


%Δ to 180-day mean
-8.73%


%Δ to 180-day high
-25.73%


%Δ to 180-day low
12.06%

Source: KRX

The Long/Short trade on the Celltrion and Celltrion Healthcare pair features a pretty tight correlation and cointegration, estimated by a 180-day price Δ beta. Their 180-day correlation coefficient sits at +0.84215. Also, their 180-day price change beta is 0.76771, which also implies a hedge ratio for a short position on Celltrion Healthcare.








Comp 1 (Long)
Comp 2 (Short)
180-day correlation coefficient
Cointegration coefficient (180-day price Δ beta)


Celltrion, Inc.
Celltrion HealthCare Co Ltd
0.84215
0.76771

Source: KRX



Celltrion Merger Situation & Long/Short on the Celltrion Duo

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

<p>The Korea Exchange (KRX) launched 5 indices last year following the New Deal initiative that the Government launched to digitalise social infrastructure and jumpstart the transition to green energy.</p><p>The KRX created 4 indices tracking the Secondary Battery, Biotech, Internet and Gaming sectors that are expected to benefit from the New Deal initiative plus an additional index (BBIG) that includes the top 3 stocks from each sector.</p><p>All indices have performed well since then. The KRX announced changes to the 5 indices late last week and the changes become effective post the close of trading on 25 February.</p><div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-games-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26730:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Games Corp (293490 KS)</a> replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pearl-abyss-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24391:1" rel="noopener">Pearl Abyss (263750 KS)</a> in the BBIG Index.</p></div><div><p>In the Secondary Battery index, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/soulbrain-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16883:1" rel="noopener">Soulbrain (036830 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-f-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14300:1" rel="noopener">L&amp;F Co Ltd (066970 KS)</a> replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-solus-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28947:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Solus Co Ltd (336370 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/foosung-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16811:1" rel="noopener">Foosung Co Ltd (093370 KS)</a>.</p></div><div><p>In the Biotech index, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinpoong-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7296:1" rel="noopener">Shinpoong Pharmaceutical (019170 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/green-cross-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2969:1" rel="noopener">Green Cross (006280 KS)</a> replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alteogen-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15886:1" rel="noopener">Alteogen Inc (196170 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanmi-pharm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12476:1" rel="noopener">Hanmi Pharm (128940 KS)</a>.</p></div><div><p>In the Internet index, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ace-technologies-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7868:1" rel="noopener">Ace Technologies (088800 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rsupport-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14783:1" rel="noopener">Rsupport Co Ltd (131370 KS)</a> replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kg-inicis-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5234:1" rel="noopener">KG Inicis Co Ltd (035600 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ubiquoss-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14341:1" rel="noopener">Ubiquoss Holding (078070 KS)</a>.</p></div><div><p>In the Gaming index, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-games-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26730:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Games Corp (293490 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/neptune-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28826:1" rel="noopener">Neptune Company (217270 KS)</a> replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/neowiz-games-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12425:1" rel="noopener">Neowiz Games (095660 KS)</a> and Golfzon (215000 KS).</p></div>

The Korea Exchange (KRX) launched 5 indices last year following the New Deal initiative that the Government launched to digitalise social infrastructure and jumpstart the transition to green energy.The KRX created 4 indices tracking the Secondary Battery, Biotech, Internet and Gaming sectors that are expected to benefit from the New Deal initiative plus an additional index (BBIG) that includes the top 3 stocks from each sector.All indices have performed well since then. The KRX announced changes to the 5 indices late last week and the changes become effective post the close of trading on 25 February.Kakao Games Corp (293490 KS) replaces Pearl Abyss (263750 KS) in the BBIG Index.In the Secondary Battery index, Soulbrain (036830 KS) and L&amp;F Co Ltd (066970 KS) replace Doosan Solus Co Ltd (336370 KS) and Foosung Co Ltd (093370 KS).In the Biotech index, Shinpoong Pharmaceutical (019170 KS) and Green Cross (006280 KS) replace Alteogen Inc (196170 KS) and Hanmi Pharm (128940 KS).In the Internet index, Ace Technologies (088800 KS) and Rsupport Co Ltd (131370 KS) replace KG Inicis Co Ltd (035600 KS) and Ubiquoss Holding (078070 KS).In the Gaming index, Kakao Games Corp (293490 KS) and Neptune Company (217270 KS) replace Neowiz Games (095660 KS) and Golfzon (215000 KS).

KRX BBIG K-NewDeal Index Rebalance: First Set of Changes Announced

Quantitative Analysis

<div><p>The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.</p></div><div><p>Hong Kong saw shorts rise on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/postal-savings-bank-of-china" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22848:1" rel="noopener">Postal Savings Bank of China (1658 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-international-capital-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1071:1" rel="noopener">China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/citic-securities-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:463:1" rel="noopener">Citic Securities (H) (6030 HK)</a> while there was short covering on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:175:1" rel="noopener">CNOOC Ltd (883 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec-co-ltd-bf4a1265-beef-48b6-b82d-29308426030f" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27795:1" rel="noopener">WuXi AppTec Co. Ltd. (2359 HK)</a>. Shorts increased on Financials, while decreasing on Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, Information Technology, Consumer Staples and Energy.</p></div><div><p>In Japan, stocks that saw the most shorts were <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/net-one-systems-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1279:1" rel="noopener">Net One Systems (7518 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/freee-kk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28424:1" rel="noopener">freee (4478 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canon-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1:1" rel="noopener">Canon Inc (7751 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/monotaro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15441:1" rel="noopener">MonotaRO Co Ltd (3064 JP)</a> while shorts decreased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandai-namco-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13435:1" rel="noopener">Bandai Namco Holdings (7832 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anritsu-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3700:1" rel="noopener">Anritsu Corp (6754 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/square-enix-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15003:1" rel="noopener">Square Enix Holdings (9684 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yamato-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2:1" rel="noopener">Yamato Holdings (9064 JP)</a>. Sectorally, shorts decreased in almost all sectors led by Consumer Discretionary, Financials and Information Technology.</p></div><div><p>In Korea, there was large short covering in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hlb-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16969:1" rel="noopener">HLB Inc (028300 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-healthcare" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23641:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netmarble-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22839:1" rel="noopener">Netmarble Corporation (251270 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pearl-abyss-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24391:1" rel="noopener">Pearl Abyss (263750 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kmw-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2834:1" rel="noopener">KMW Co Ltd (032500 KS)</a> as the most shorted stocks were covered. </p></div><div><p>Stocks in Taiwan that saw the highest increase in shorts were <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">TSMC (2330 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fitipower-integrated-tech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8712:1" rel="noopener">Fitipower Integrated Tech (4961 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chunghwa-telecom-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9181:1" rel="noopener">Chunghwa Telecom (2412 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novatek-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10904:1" rel="noopener">Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT)</a> while shorts were covered on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/au-optronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6704:1" rel="noopener">Au Optronics (2409 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pegatron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12852:1" rel="noopener">Pegatron Corp (4938 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/realtek-semiconductor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7326:1" rel="noopener">Realtek Semiconductor (2379 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innolux-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4509:1" rel="noopener">Innolux Corp (3481 TT)</a>. </p></div>

The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.Hong Kong saw shorts rise on Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK), Postal Savings Bank of China (1658 HK), China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK), Tencent Holdings (700 HK) and Citic Securities (H) (6030 HK) while there was short covering on BYD (1211 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), CNOOC Ltd (883 HK), Alibaba Group (9988 HK) and WuXi AppTec Co. Ltd. (2359 HK). Shorts increased on Financials, while decreasing on Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, Information Technology, Consumer Staples and Energy.In Japan, stocks that saw the most shorts were Net One Systems (7518 JP), freee (4478 JP), Canon Inc (7751 JP) and MonotaRO Co Ltd (3064 JP) while shorts decreased on Bandai Namco Holdings (7832 JP), Anritsu Corp (6754 JP), Square Enix Holdings (9684 JP) and Yamato Holdings (9064 JP). Sectorally, shorts decreased in almost all sectors led by Consumer Discretionary, Financials and Information Technology.In Korea, there was large short covering in Celltrion Inc (068270 KS), HLB Inc (028300 KS), Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS), Netmarble Corporation (251270 KS), Pearl Abyss (263750 KS) and KMW Co Ltd (032500 KS) as the most shorted stocks were covered. Stocks in Taiwan that saw the highest increase in shorts were TSMC (2330 TT), Fitipower Integrated Tech (4961 TT), Chunghwa Telecom (2412 TT) and Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT) while shorts were covered on Au Optronics (2409 TT), Pegatron Corp (4938 TT), Realtek Semiconductor (2379 TT) and Innolux Corp (3481 TT). 

Asia Short Interest: Cathay, PSBC, BYD, CNOOC, Bandai Namco, Anritsu, Celltrion, HLB, Fitipower

<p>The short sell ban in Korea that was instated on 16 March 2020 is set to expire on 15 March.</p><p>However, with mayoral elections in Seoul and Busan around the corner, politicians are said to be leaning on the FSC to extend the short sell ban. Add to that the retail outrage - from petitions to the Blue House, bus tours, and posts on K-Streetbets of targeting stocks with high short interest.</p><p>There is a high likelihood that the short sell ban gets extended by three more months to tide the politicians over the mayoral elections.</p><p>In the event that the short sell ban expires, we highlight stocks that have seen the most short covering since the start of the short sell ban, stocks with high short interest as a percentage of market cap and free float, and high days of ADV to cover.</p><p>This will have implications for many strategies and will open the door to trade the ordinaries vs preferred shares, long/short and other related strategies.</p>

The short sell ban in Korea that was instated on 16 March 2020 is set to expire on 15 March.However, with mayoral elections in Seoul and Busan around the corner, politicians are said to be leaning on the FSC to extend the short sell ban. Add to that the retail outrage - from petitions to the Blue House, bus tours, and posts on K-Streetbets of targeting stocks with high short interest.There is a high likelihood that the short sell ban gets extended by three more months to tide the politicians over the mayoral elections.In the event that the short sell ban expires, we highlight stocks that have seen the most short covering since the start of the short sell ban, stocks with high short interest as a percentage of market cap and free float, and high days of ADV to cover.This will have implications for many strategies and will open the door to trade the ordinaries vs preferred shares, long/short and other related strategies.

Korea Short Sell Ban: Elections, Public Outrage, Bus Tours, Blue House Petitions, K-Streetbets

<p>Celltrion Healthcare is now in a -2σ territory on a 20D MA for the first time since early July.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="150">
<col width="150">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"% of sigma"}'>% of sigma</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Today"}'>Today</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-2.0477330543677903}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-12]C[6]">-204.77%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"T-1"}'>T-1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-1.4324802976051125}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-12]C[6]">-143.25%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"T-2"}'>T-2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-1.8234130821597085}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-12]C[6]">-182.34%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"T-3"}'>T-3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.7777620123928402}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-12]C[6]">-77.78%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"T-4"}'>T-4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.08448462037183145}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-12]C[6]">8.45%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"T-5"}'>T-5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.6457523679577317}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-12]C[6]">64.58%</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX"}'>Source: KRX</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/170/067/original/chart%20%283%29.png?1604858977" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="170067"></figure></section><p>The price ratio sits at -3% below the 120D mean, almost in line with the 2-yr mean.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="300">
<col width="150">
<col width="150">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="3" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Price ratio"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0"}'>Price ratio</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Today"}'>Today</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.32972972972972975}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-21]C[1]">0.32973</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}'>-</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"20D MA"}'>20D MA</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.34578176858905396}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-22]C[2]">0.34578</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}'>-</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"σ"}'>σ</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.007838931361236468}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-23]C[5]">0.00784</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}'>-</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"+1 σ"}' data-sheets-formula='="+1 σ"'>+1 σ</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.35362069995029044}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-24]C[3]">0.35362</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}'>-</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-1 σ"}' data-sheets-formula='="-1 σ"'>-1 σ</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.3379428372278175}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-25]C[4]">0.33794</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}'>-</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"120D mean"}'><strong>120D mean</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.3399254728112306}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=average(Data!R2C3:R100C3)"><strong>0.33993</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.029994054276605512}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R23C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]"><strong>-3.00%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"120D median"}'>120D median</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.33824057450628364}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=MEDIAN(Data!R2C3:R100C3)">0.33824</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.025162104779939062}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R23C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]">-2.52%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"120D high"}'>120D high</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.37744107744107747}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=MAX(Data!R2C3:R100C3)">0.37744</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.1264074065144538}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R23C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]">-12.64%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"120D low"}'>120D low</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.3186119873817035}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=MIN(Data!R2C3:R100C3)">0.31861</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.0348943002408349}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R23C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]">3.49%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"1Y mean"}'>1Y mean</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.3464734166014965}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=average(Data!R2C3:R248C3)">0.34647</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.04832603619637822}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R23C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]">-4.83%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"1Y median"}'>1Y median</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.34324324324324323}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=MEDIAN(Data!R2C3:R248C3)">0.34324</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.0393700787401574}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R23C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]">-3.94%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"1Y high"}'>1Y high</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.4381609195402299}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=MAX(Data!R2C3:R248C3)">0.43816</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.24746887496100506}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R23C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]">-24.75%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"1Y low"}'>1Y low</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.2738872403560831}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=MIN(Data!R2C3:R248C3)">0.27389</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.20388861233931665}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R23C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]">20.39%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"2Y mean"}'><strong>2Y mean</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.33116303056023466}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=average(Data!R2C3:R476C3)"><strong>0.33116</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.004328082238165811}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R23C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]"><strong>-0.43%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"2Y median"}'>2Y median</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.3368421052631579}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=MEDIAN(Data!R2C3:R476C3)">0.33684</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.021114864864864788}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R23C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]">-2.11%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"2Y high"}'>2Y high</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.4381609195402299}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=MAX(Data!R2C3:R476C3)">0.43816</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.24746887496100506}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R23C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]">-24.75%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"2Y low"}'>2Y low</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.26405228758169935}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=MIN(Data!R2C3:R476C3)">0.26405</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.24872892694674878}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R23C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]">24.87%</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="3" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX"}'>Source: KRX</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/170/068/original/chart%20%284%29.png?1604858990" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="170068"></figure></section><p>The merger announced in late September triggered a Healthcare-favored diversion that lasted nearly a month.</p><p>We then saw a reversion attempt lately that almost brought it back to the pre-merger announcement level.</p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/170/069/original/chart.png?1604859238" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="170069"></figure></section>

Celltrion Healthcare is now in a -2σ territory on a 20D MA for the first time since early July.





% of sigma

Today
-204.77%


T-1
-143.25%


T-2
-182.34%


T-3
-77.78%


T-4
8.45%


T-5
64.58%

Source: KRX

The price ratio sits at -3% below the 120D mean, almost in line with the 2-yr mean.






Price ratio

Today
0.32973
-


20D MA
0.34578
-


σ
0.00784
-


+1 σ
0.35362
-


-1 σ
0.33794
-


120D mean
0.33993
-3.00%


120D median
0.33824
-2.52%


120D high
0.37744
-12.64%


120D low
0.31861
3.49%


1Y mean
0.34647
-4.83%


1Y median
0.34324
-3.94%


1Y high
0.43816
-24.75%


1Y low
0.27389
20.39%


2Y mean
0.33116
-0.43%


2Y median
0.33684
-2.11%


2Y high
0.43816
-24.75%


2Y low
0.26405
24.87%

Source: KRX

The merger announced in late September triggered a Healthcare-favored diversion that lasted nearly a month.We then saw a reversion attempt lately that almost brought it back to the pre-merger announcement level.

Celltrion Pair: Entry Point on Latest Diversion

South Korea

Celltrion Healthcare Co.,Ltd develops and manufactures pharmaceutical biologics and chemically synthesized drugs. The Company specializes in the development of drugs for breast cancer, arthritis, leukemia, psoriasis, human rabies prevention, and influenza. Celltrion Healthcare markets its products to customers internationally.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

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Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)