Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> March rebalance is now complete. Nikkei has also confirmed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advantest-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18107:1" rel="noopener">Advantest Corp (6857 JP)</a>'s capping at the rebalance. </li>
<li>We highlight 3 potential changes to the index and some close names that could be added/deleted at this rebalance or over the next couple of rebalances.</li>
<li>If the changes are as forecast, estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 1.35% leading to a round-trip trade of JPY 1tn (US$6.45bn).</li>
</ul>


The review period for the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) March rebalance is now complete. Nikkei has also confirmed Advantest Corp (6857 JP)'s capping at the rebalance. 
We highlight 3 potential changes to the index and some close names that could be added/deleted at this rebalance or over the next couple of rebalances.
If the changes are as forecast, estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 1.35% leading to a round-trip trade of JPY 1tn (US$6.45bn).


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 2026): Cutoff Done; Capping Confirmed; Constituent Changes?

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jan 23rd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD22,549m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Lasertec, Fast Retailing, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Nichirei, TDK, Advantest, Sony, Sumitomo Pharma, Daiichi Sankyo, Mitsubishi Ufj Financial, Lasertec.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jan 23rd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD22,549m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Lasertec, Fast Retailing, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Nichirei, TDK, Advantest, Sony, Sumitomo Pharma, Daiichi Sankyo, Mitsubishi Ufj Financial, Lasertec.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jan 23rd): Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Lasertec, Fast Retailing

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jan 9th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD20,644m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Shibaura Electronics, SoftBank, Skylark, Kioxia, McDonald's, Ise Chemicals, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Disco, Itochu, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Shibaura Electronics, Softbank, Skylark, Kioxia, Mcdonald'S.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jan 9th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD20,644m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Shibaura Electronics, SoftBank, Skylark, Kioxia, McDonald's, Ise Chemicals, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Disco, Itochu, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Shibaura Electronics, Softbank, Skylark, Kioxia, Mcdonald'S.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jan 9th): Shibaura Electronics, SoftBank, Skylark, Kioxia, McDonald's

<ul>
<li>The review period for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> March rebalance ends in 4 weeks. Depending on the index committee discretion, there could be 1-3 changes at the rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advantest-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18107:1" rel="noopener">Advantest Corp (6857 JP)</a>'s index weight is currently above 10% and that will result in capping. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> avoid capping for now.</li>
<li>The capping for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advantest-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18107:1" rel="noopener">Advantest Corp (6857 JP)</a> results in funding inflows for all the index constituents, though the impact tops out at 0.4x ADV.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) March rebalance ends in 4 weeks. Depending on the index committee discretion, there could be 1-3 changes at the rebalance.

Advantest Corp (6857 JP)'s index weight is currently above 10% and that will result in capping. Fast Retailing (9983 JP) and Softbank Group (9984 JP) avoid capping for now.
The capping for Advantest Corp (6857 JP) results in funding inflows for all the index constituents, though the impact tops out at 0.4x ADV.


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 2026): Potential Adds, Deletes, Capping & Other Changes

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Dec 26th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,571m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Skylark, Tokyo Electron, Disco, McDonald's, Canon, Japan Tobacco, Rakuten, Pan Pacific International, Advantest, Furukawa Electric, Skylark, Tokyo Electron, Disco, Mcdonald'S, Canon.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Dec 26th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,571m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Skylark, Tokyo Electron, Disco, McDonald's, Canon, Japan Tobacco, Rakuten, Pan Pacific International, Advantest, Furukawa Electric, Skylark, Tokyo Electron, Disco, Mcdonald'S, Canon.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Dec 26th): Skylark, Tokyo Electron, Disco, McDonald's, Canon

Japan

Mitsui E&S Holdings Co., Ltd. engineers, builds, and repairs ships.  The Company also manufactures industrial machinery and equipment and builds power plants.  Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding also operates information systems services and real estate business.

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Mitsui E&S Holdings (7003 JP)

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 2026): Cutoff Done; Capping Confirmed; Constituent Changes?

The review period is complete and Advantest's capping has been confirmed. We highlight potential and close adds and deletes for the index. There...

Brian Freitas

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jan 23rd): Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Lasertec, Fast Retailing

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (8306 JP), Lasertec (6920 JP), Fast...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jan 9th): Shibaura Electronics, SoftBank, Skylark, Kioxia, McDonald's

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP), SoftBank (9984 JP), Skylark (3197...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 2026): Potential Adds, Deletes, Capping & Other Changes

There could 1-3 changes for the NKY in March. Advantest will be capped in March and could be capped in September too. Passives need to trade...

Brian Freitas

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Dec 26th): Skylark, Tokyo Electron, Disco, McDonald's, Canon

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Skylark (3197 JP), Tokyo Electron (8035 JP), Disco (6146 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)