Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Capital Markets

Kokusai Electric  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Three weeks ago I wrote that KKR's lockup would expire about now in <em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/japan-ecm-kokusai-elec-6525-kkr-s-lock-up-expiry-in-3-weeks-700mm-clean-up-coming" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:202343" rel="noopener">[Japan ECM] Kokusai Elec (6525) - KKR's Lock Up Expiry in 3 Weeks - $700mm Clean-Up Coming?</a> </em>
</li>
<li>Today post-close, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applied-materials-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:283:1" rel="noopener">Applied Materials (AMAT US)</a> announced a 10.7mm share (4.5%) Accelerated Block Offering to be priced tomorrow morning, at an indicated 4.5-6.5% discount. This would put them at 10+%. </li>
<li>This should be very well taken up. There is index demand on the follow. The question is more about the unwind of KKR's last bit. Perhaps to come soon?</li>
</ul>


Three weeks ago I wrote that KKR's lockup would expire about now in [Japan ECM] Kokusai Elec (6525) - KKR's Lock Up Expiry in 3 Weeks - $700mm Clean-Up Coming? 

Today post-close, Applied Materials (AMAT US) announced a 10.7mm share (4.5%) Accelerated Block Offering to be priced tomorrow morning, at an indicated 4.5-6.5% discount. This would put them at 10+%. 
This should be very well taken up. There is index demand on the follow. The question is more about the unwind of KKR's last bit. Perhaps to come soon?


[Japan ECM] Kokusai Elec (6525) - Applied Materials $330mm Selldown

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, the year end looks set to see a flurry of listings, with the pace already starting to pick up again.</li>
<li>On the placements front, markets were back where they left of prior to the October holidays.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, the year end looks set to see a flurry of listings, with the pace already starting to pick up again.
On the placements front, markets were back where they left of prior to the October holidays.


ECM Weekly (13 October 2025)- LG India, Tata Capital, Rubicon, Canara, FineToday, Maynilad, Kokusai

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> was IPOed too cheap in 2023 after a couple of years in the wilderness and an aborted private sale effort, blocked on antitrust grounds. </li>
<li>It nearly tripled, there was an offering announced at ¥5,000+ priced ¥4,500+. Shares fell back to IPO price, then bounced, and we got a July follow-on offering at ¥3,000+.</li>
<li>I suggested <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/japan-ecm-kokusai-elec-6525-offering-expect-it-very-well-bid-and-the-back-end-squeezy" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a> the back end could be squeezy. It was for a hot minute, then it wasn't. Now the stock is up 50% in 2 weeks. Watch out!</li>
</ul>



Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) was IPOed too cheap in 2023 after a couple of years in the wilderness and an aborted private sale effort, blocked on antitrust grounds. 
It nearly tripled, there was an offering announced at ¥5,000+ priced ¥4,500+. Shares fell back to IPO price, then bounced, and we got a July follow-on offering at ¥3,000+.
I suggested here the back end could be squeezy. It was for a hot minute, then it wasn't. Now the stock is up 50% in 2 weeks. Watch out!


[Japan ECM] Kokusai Elec (6525) - KKR's Lock Up Expiry in 3 Weeks - $700mm Clean-Up Coming?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applied-materials-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:283:1" rel="noopener">Applied Materials (AMAT US)</a> is looking to raise approximately US$330m through an accelerated secondary offering for around 4.5% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> (KE) stock.</li>
<li>KE had seen two selldown earlier, from KKR, with mixed results. KKR just came out of its last lockup.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Applied Materials (AMAT US) is looking to raise approximately US$330m through an accelerated secondary offering for around 4.5% of Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) (KE) stock.
KE had seen two selldown earlier, from KKR, with mixed results. KKR just came out of its last lockup.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Kokusai Electric Placement - Unexpected Seller but Relatively Small Deal

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Results: Q1 revenue ¥51.8B (–21% YoY) and OP ¥10.9B (–44%) came in weak, with DRAM softness offset partly by NAND strength.</li>
<li>Guidance: FY26/3 outlook (¥244B revenue, ¥55.2B OP) reiterated, implying a sharp 2H acceleration in shipments and margin recovery.</li>
<li>Valuation: Shares trade at ~11× EV/EBITDA, a discount to peers, but execution risk keeps the multiple constrained.</li>
</ul>


Results: Q1 revenue ¥51.8B (–21% YoY) and OP ¥10.9B (–44%) came in weak, with DRAM softness offset partly by NAND strength.
Guidance: FY26/3 outlook (¥244B revenue, ¥55.2B OP) reiterated, implying a sharp 2H acceleration in shipments and margin recovery.
Valuation: Shares trade at ~11× EV/EBITDA, a discount to peers, but execution risk keeps the multiple constrained.


Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): Q1 Miss; FY Guidance Maintained, 2H Ramp Critical, Valuation Discount

Japan

Kokusai Electric Corporation manufactures and distributes semiconductor manufacturing systems. The Company produces batch processing systems, single wafer processing systems, and other systems. Kokusai Electric also operates advanced thermal process technology development, training, and other businesses.

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Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)

[Japan ECM] Kokusai Elec (6525) - Applied Materials $330mm Selldown

Kokusai Electric's recent selldown by AMAT has been well-absorbed and with shares up nearly 10% today on AI-related excitement in the hardware/SPE...

Travis Lundy

ECM Weekly (13 October 2025)- LG India, Tata Capital, Rubicon, Canara, FineToday, Maynilad, Kokusai

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

[Japan ECM] Kokusai Elec (6525) - KKR's Lock Up Expiry in 3 Weeks - $700mm Clean-Up Coming?

Kokusai Electric has risen 50% in 2 weeks. We are now 30% above where KKR last sold 2+ months ago. KKR's lockup expires in 3 weeks. That would be...

Travis Lundy

Kokusai Electric Placement - Unexpected Seller but Relatively Small Deal

Applied Materials (AMAT US) is looking to raise approximately US$330m through an accelerated secondary offering for around 4.5% of Kokusai Electric...

Sumeet Singh