Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>EBITDA more than doubled (25% CAGR) over 3 years, with copper and cobalt output up ~3.5x and ~5.7x on ramp-up of TFM and KFM.</li>
<li>$4.3 bn invested in DRC; low-cost leaching drives margins; gold entry via Cangrejos adds diversification and long-term optionality.</li>
<li>Strong cash flows, growth pipeline, and ~4x EV/EBITDA valuation position CMOC for sustained upside amid rising energy transition metal demand.</li>
</ul>


EBITDA more than doubled (25% CAGR) over 3 years, with copper and cobalt output up ~3.5x and ~5.7x on ramp-up of TFM and KFM.
$4.3 bn invested in DRC; low-cost leaching drives margins; gold entry via Cangrejos adds diversification and long-term optionality.
Strong cash flows, growth pipeline, and ~4x EV/EBITDA valuation position CMOC for sustained upside amid rising energy transition metal demand.


CMOC Group Limited (HKEX: 3993) – High-Growth, Low-Cost Producer Positioned for Re-Rating

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-lead-intelligent-equipmen" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27971:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH)</a>  aims to raise around US$400m in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>WLIE is a global platform-based intelligent equipment enterprise, offering intelligent equipment and solutions to a wide range of emerging and high-end manufacturing industries.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH)  aims to raise around US$400m in its H-share listing.
WLIE is a global platform-based intelligent equipment enterprise, offering intelligent equipment and solutions to a wide range of emerging and high-end manufacturing industries.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment A/H Listing - Market Leader but Has Been Facing Industry Headwinds

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Suzhou Maxwell Technologies  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There is one constituent change for the STAR&amp;CHINEXT 50 Index in June with AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Co (302132 CH) replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzhou-maxwell-technologies-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29819:1" rel="noopener">Suzhou Maxwell Technologies (300751 CH)</a>.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy 0.15x ADV in AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Co (302132 CH) and sell 0.4x ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzhou-maxwell-technologies-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29819:1" rel="noopener">Suzhou Maxwell Technologies (300751 CH)</a>. </li>
<li>AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Co (302132 CH) is a <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index</a> to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> migration in June, so there will be more buying in the stock.</li>
</ul>


There is one constituent change for the STAR&amp;CHINEXT 50 Index in June with AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Co (302132 CH) replacing Suzhou Maxwell Technologies (300751 CH).
Passive trackers will need to buy 0.15x ADV in AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Co (302132 CH) and sell 0.4x ADV in Suzhou Maxwell Technologies (300751 CH). 
AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Co (302132 CH) is a CSI 500 Index to CSI 300 Index migration in June, so there will be more buying in the stock.


STAR&CHINEXT 50 Index Rebalance: One Change in June Adds to Other (Larger) Index Flows

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 154 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 79.2% as of May 30th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.3ppt week-on-week, led by health care, information technology, utilities and offset by consumer staples, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Tigermed, Fosun Pharma, Cosco Shipping, CSSC O&amp;M Engineering, Joinn Lab, Livzon Pharmaceutical.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 154 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 79.2% as of May 30th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.3ppt week-on-week, led by health care, information technology, utilities and offset by consumer staples, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Tigermed, Fosun Pharma, Cosco Shipping, CSSC O&amp;M Engineering, Joinn Lab, Livzon Pharmaceutical.


A-H Premium Weekly (May 30th): Tigermed, Fosun Pharma, Cosco Shipping, CSSC O&M Engineering

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>Shein announced it is planning for an IPO in Hong Kong in 2025. Shein tried to go public in London, but its attempt has essentially failed. </li>
<li>Due to tariff war and ending de minimis for shipments from China and Hong Kong by the U.S. government, the valuation of Shein could decline to less than $50 billion.</li>
<li>Now, as long as the valuation is not excessive but reasonable, there could be a decent demand for this IPO of Shein in Hong Kong. </li>
</ul>


Shein announced it is planning for an IPO in Hong Kong in 2025. Shein tried to go public in London, but its attempt has essentially failed. 
Due to tariff war and ending de minimis for shipments from China and Hong Kong by the U.S. government, the valuation of Shein could decline to less than $50 billion.
Now, as long as the valuation is not excessive but reasonable, there could be a decent demand for this IPO of Shein in Hong Kong. 


China

Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited. operates as a battery products manufacturing company. The Company produces and sells power battery materials, energy storage batteries energy storage battery cells, systems, and other products. Contemporary Amperex Technology also provides batteries recycling services.

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
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Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

CMOC Group Limited (HKEX: 3993) – High-Growth, Low-Cost Producer Positioned for Re-Rating

CMOC's EBITDA doubled in 3 years with copper and cobalt output soaring, $4.3 bn invested in DRC, strong cash flows and growth pipeline set for...

Rahul Jain

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment A/H Listing - Market Leader but Has Been Facing Industry Headwinds

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH) aims to raise around US$400m in its H-share listing. In this note, we look at the company's past...

Sumeet Singh

STAR&CHINEXT 50 Index Rebalance: One Change in June Adds to Other (Larger) Index Flows

AVIC Chengdu Aircraft replaces Suzhou Maxwell Technologies. AVIC Chengdu Aircraft is also a CSI500 to CSI300 migration (net inflows) while Suzhou...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (May 30th): Tigermed, Fosun Pharma, Cosco Shipping, CSSC O&M Engineering

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Tigermed, Fosun Pharma, Cosco Shipping, CSSC O&M...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shein IPO: Hong Kong Yes, London No

Shein announced it is planning for an IPO in Hong Kong in 2025. Shein tried to go public in London, but its attempt has essentially failed.

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CMOC Group Limited (HKEX: 3993) – High-Growth, Low-Cost Producer Positioned for Re-Rating

​CMOC's EBITDA doubled in 3 years with copper and cobalt output soaring, $4.3 bn invested in DRC, strong cash flows and growth pipeline set for...

Rahul Jain

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment A/H Listing - Market Leader but Has Been Facing Industry Headwinds

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH) aims to raise around US$400m in its H-share listing. In this note, we look at the company's past...

Sumeet Singh

STAR&CHINEXT 50 Index Rebalance: One Change in June Adds to Other (Larger) Index Flows

AVIC Chengdu Aircraft replaces Suzhou Maxwell Technologies. AVIC Chengdu Aircraft is also a CSI500 to CSI300 migration (net inflows) while Suzhou...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (May 30th): Tigermed, Fosun Pharma, Cosco Shipping, CSSC O&M Engineering

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Tigermed, Fosun Pharma, Cosco Shipping, CSSC O&M...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shein IPO: Hong Kong Yes, London No

Shein announced it is planning for an IPO in Hong Kong in 2025. Shein tried to go public in London, but its attempt has essentially failed.

Douglas Kim

CMOC's EBITDA doubled in 3 years with copper and cobalt output soaring, $4.3 bn invested in DRC, strong cash flows and growth pipeline set for...