Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>AAPL US/1810 HK/981 HK: iPhone 16 sees negative initial reception in China (-/+/+)</li>
<li>981 HK: SenseTime announces 54,000 GPU cluster, likely supplied by Huawei (+)</li>
<li>1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/LI US: Tesla officially announced that it will launch FSD in China in the first quarter of 2025.(///////)</li>
</ul>


AAPL US/1810 HK/981 HK: iPhone 16 sees negative initial reception in China (-/+/+)
981 HK: SenseTime announces 54,000 GPU cluster, likely supplied by Huawei (+)
1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/LI US: Tesla officially announced that it will launch FSD in China in the first quarter of 2025.(///////)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:AAPL US/1810 HK/981 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/LI US/1519 HK/ZTO US

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In August, Tesla’s shipments grew by 3% YoY, while top domestic producers’ shipments grew over 30% YoY.</li>
<li>The revenues of two domestic sneaker makers, 361 Degree and Anta, increased by 19% YoY and 14% YoY in 1H24.</li>
<li>In 2Q24, NIO’s deliveries and revenue increased by 144% YoY and 99% YoY, but its losses were still significant.</li>
</ul>


In August, Tesla’s shipments grew by 3% YoY, while top domestic producers’ shipments grew over 30% YoY.
The revenues of two domestic sneaker makers, 361 Degree and Anta, increased by 19% YoY and 14% YoY in 1H24.
In 2Q24, NIO’s deliveries and revenue increased by 144% YoY and 99% YoY, but its losses were still significant.


China Consumption Weekly (9 Sep 2024): Tesla, NIO, PDD, Anta, 361 Degree

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 30th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Trip.Com, Shk Ppt, Anta Sports, Tencent, Baba, CCB, Jd, Meituan.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 30th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Trip.Com, Shk Ppt, Anta Sports, Tencent, Baba, CCB, Jd, Meituan.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Trip.Com, Shk Ppt, Anta Sports, Tencent, Baba, CCB, Jd, Meituan

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Buy dips on the possibility that 3DIP would not agree to Bain. Otherwise, at ¥9,000 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-soft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17504:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Soft (9749 JP)</a> is a buy, and at ¥9,500, it's probably a sell near-term.</li>
<li>Drilling down into its balance sheet uncovers additional value for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a>; but not enough to move the needle</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exedy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6516:1" rel="noopener">Exedy Corp (7278 JP)</a> completed its buyback. Murakami Group bought more. The stock (pro-forma) is at 0.62x book, 0.54x book for the non-cash portion. There's LOTS of cash left.</li>
</ul>


Buy dips on the possibility that 3DIP would not agree to Bain. Otherwise, at ¥9,000 Fuji Soft (9749 JP) is a buy, and at ¥9,500, it's probably a sell near-term.
Drilling down into its balance sheet uncovers additional value for Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP); but not enough to move the needle

Exedy Corp (7278 JP) completed its buyback. Murakami Group bought more. The stock (pro-forma) is at 0.62x book, 0.54x book for the non-cash portion. There's LOTS of cash left.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Fuji Soft, Jardine Matheson, Exedy, Henderson

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Sep 6th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), AIA (1299 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Meituan (3690 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Sep 6th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), AIA (1299 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Meituan (3690 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 6th): Tencent, Meituan, AIA

China

Xiaomi Corporation manufactures communication equipment and parts. The Company produces and sells mobile phones, smart phone software,  set-top boxes, and related accessories. Xiaomi markets its products worldwide.

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Xiaomi (1810 HK)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:AAPL US/1810 HK/981 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/LI US/1519 HK/ZTO US

Negative initial reception for iPhone 16 in China, SenseTime announces large GPU cluster, and Tesla to launch FSD in China by Q1 2025.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Consumption Weekly (9 Sep 2024): Tesla, NIO, PDD, Anta, 361 Degree

In August, Tesla’s shipments grew by only 3% YoY in China, much lower than the industry average 30%. NIO denied bankruptcy.

Ming Lu

HK Short Interest Weekly: Trip.Com, Shk Ppt, Anta Sports, Tencent, Baba, CCB, Jd, Meituan

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 30th and highlight short interest changes in Trip.Com, Shk Ppt, Anta...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week in Event SPACE: Fuji Soft, Jardine Matheson, Exedy, Henderson

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 6th): Tencent, Meituan, AIA

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:AAPL US/1810 HK/981 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/LI US/1519 HK/ZTO US

​Negative initial reception for iPhone 16 in China, SenseTime announces large GPU cluster, and Tesla to launch FSD in China by Q1 2025.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Consumption Weekly (9 Sep 2024): Tesla, NIO, PDD, Anta, 361 Degree

In August, Tesla’s shipments grew by only 3% YoY in China, much lower than the industry average 30%. NIO denied bankruptcy.

Ming Lu

HK Short Interest Weekly: Trip.Com, Shk Ppt, Anta Sports, Tencent, Baba, CCB, Jd, Meituan

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 30th and highlight short interest changes in Trip.Com, Shk Ppt, Anta...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week in Event SPACE: Fuji Soft, Jardine Matheson, Exedy, Henderson

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 6th): Tencent, Meituan, AIA

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Negative initial reception for iPhone 16 in China, SenseTime announces large GPU cluster, and Tesla to launch FSD in China by Q1 2025.