China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>From what we understand, the Kirin 9000s that powers Huawei’s new 5G phone is the same 9000 that launched in 2020, only refitted from TSMC’s 5nm to SMIC’s 7nm. </li>
<li>The good news is capacity will likely reach 50-60mn a year, or 17% of China’s smartphone volume in 2022;</li>
<li>Huawei’s launch of 5G does speak volumes about the strides China’s semiconductor supply chain has made, but its timing also takes advantage of the defusing of geopolitical tensions.</li>
</ul>


From what we understand, the Kirin 9000s that powers Huawei’s new 5G phone is the same 9000 that launched in 2020, only refitted from TSMC’s 5nm to SMIC’s 7nm. 
The good news is capacity will likely reach 50-60mn a year, or 17% of China’s smartphone volume in 2022;
Huawei’s launch of 5G does speak volumes about the strides China’s semiconductor supply chain has made, but its timing also takes advantage of the defusing of geopolitical tensions.


[Blue Lotus Hardware Sector Update]: Huawei Mate 60 Is a Win-Win for Both US and China

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Sep 1st based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), CK Asset (1113 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Sep 1st based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), CK Asset (1113 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 1st): Tencent, Aia, China Petroleum & Chemical

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/country-garden-holdings-co' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Country Garden Holdings Co</a></li><li><a href='/entities/yankuang-energy-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Yankuang Energy Group</a></li><li><a href='/entities/health-and-happiness-h-h-int' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Health And Happiness (H&H)</a></li><li><a href='/entities/xiaomi-corp' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Xiaomi Corp</a></li><li><a href='/entities/anton-oilfield-services-gp' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Anton Oilfield</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:Country Garden Holdings CoYankuang Energy GroupHealth And Happiness (H&H)Xiaomi CorpAnton Oilfieldand more...

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Users are enthusiastic about the return of 5G Huawei smartphones, and thus we expect sales volume of Huawei devices to improve. </li>
<li>If the combined share of Huawei+ Honor can reach 30/32% we estimate Xiaomi’s current 12.5% share of the China smartphone market could decline 0.8/1.3ppts, respectively.</li>
<li>We maintain Xiaomi’s SELL and HK$ 8.2 TP, implying 26x FY23 PE. The increase in CY23 EPS reflects lowered OPEX, improved gross margin due to the impact of IC oversupply.</li>
</ul>


Users are enthusiastic about the return of 5G Huawei smartphones, and thus we expect sales volume of Huawei devices to improve. 
If the combined share of Huawei+ Honor can reach 30/32% we estimate Xiaomi’s current 12.5% share of the China smartphone market could decline 0.8/1.3ppts, respectively.
We maintain Xiaomi’s SELL and HK$ 8.2 TP, implying 26x FY23 PE. The increase in CY23 EPS reflects lowered OPEX, improved gross margin due to the impact of IC oversupply.


[Xiaomi(1810 HK, SELL, TP HK$8.2)  Update]: Huawei’s Impact on Xiaomi Will Be Meaningful in 2024

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Xiaomi’s 2Q23 adj. net income of RMB 5.14bn (+147% YoY) beat our/market estimates, mainly thanks to record-high GPM in smartphone/AIoT segments, healthy inventory levels and operating efficiency improvements.</li><li>2Q23 adj. net income RMB 5.14bn was 29%/26% above our estimate/consensus, while revenue of RMB 67.4bn (-4% YoY) was largely in-line.</li><li>Looking into 2H23E, we maintain our positive view on Xiaomi’s earnings recovery driven by smartphone premiumization strategy, easing component costs, efficiency enhancement and new model launches. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xiaomi’s 2Q23 adj. net income of RMB 5.14bn (+147% YoY) beat our/market estimates, mainly thanks to record-high GPM in smartphone/AIoT segments, healthy inventory levels and operating efficiency improvements.2Q23 adj. net income RMB 5.14bn was 29%/26% above our estimate/consensus, while revenue of RMB 67.4bn (-4% YoY) was largely in-line.Looking into 2H23E, we maintain our positive view on Xiaomi’s earnings recovery driven by smartphone premiumization strategy, easing component costs, efficiency enhancement and new model launches. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xiaomi (1810 HK) – 2Q23 Beat on Record-High Margin; Reiterate BUY

China

Xiaomi Corporation manufactures communication equipment and parts. The Company produces and sells mobile phones, smart phone software,  set-top boxes, and related accessories. Xiaomi markets its products worldwide.

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Xiaomi (1810 HK)

[Blue Lotus Hardware Sector Update]: Huawei Mate 60 Is a Win-Win for Both US and China

Huawei’s launch of 5G does speak volumes about the strides China’s semiconductor supply chain has made, but its timing also takes advantage of the...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 1st): Tencent, Aia, China Petroleum & Chemical

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Weekly Wrap - 01 Sep 2023

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

[Xiaomi(1810 HK, SELL, TP HK$8.2) Update]: Huawei’s Impact on Xiaomi Will Be Meaningful in 2024

If the combined share of Huawei+ Honor can reach 30/32% we estimate Xiaomi’s current 12.5% share of the China smartphone market could decline 0.8...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Xiaomi (1810 HK) – 2Q23 Beat on Record-High Margin; Reiterate BUY

2Q23 adj. net income RMB 5.14bn was 29%/26% above our estimate/consensus, while revenue of RMB 67.4bn (-4% YoY) was largely in-line.

CMB International

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