HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Statistics supported "Sell in May, go away" for the HSI. Since 2013, the average return for May is -2%, and is negative in 8 out of the last 12 years.</li>
<li>On average, May is the worst month since 2020, too. This even eclipsed the month of Oct, which is widely believed to be normally the worst month.</li>
<li>If a weak May happens, the heavily weighted yet strongly performed constituents like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> are to suffer. </li>
</ul>


Statistics supported "Sell in May, go away" for the HSI. Since 2013, the average return for May is -2%, and is negative in 8 out of the last 12 years.
On average, May is the worst month since 2020, too. This even eclipsed the month of Oct, which is widely believed to be normally the worst month.
If a weak May happens, the heavily weighted yet strongly performed constituents like BYD (1211 HK), Alibaba Group (9988 HK), and Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) are to suffer. 


HK Strategy: Sell in May, Go Away? The History Says Yes!

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>XPEV US: 2025 X9 Achieves 7,500 Orders in 7 Days Post-Launch (+)</li>
<li>1810 HK: YU7 to Launch as Scheduled in June-July 2025(+)</li>
<li>Macro: Shanghai slightly enhances support measures for catering businesses (/)</li>
</ul>


XPEV US: 2025 X9 Achieves 7,500 Orders in 7 Days Post-Launch (+)
1810 HK: YU7 to Launch as Scheduled in June-July 2025(+)
Macro: Shanghai slightly enhances support measures for catering businesses (/)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:XPEV US/1810 HK/LI US/NIO US/Macro

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Sep 18th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Bidu (9888 HK), Link Reit (823 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Bilibili (9626 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Sep 18th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Bidu (9888 HK), Link Reit (823 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Bilibili (9626 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 18th): Tencent, Bidu, Link Reit

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Xiaomi /In Depth: Fatal crash sours Xiaomi’s EV success</li><li>Wearables /: Chinese wearable tech firms explore overseas production as U.S. tariffs soar</li><li>Tariff bullying: Senior Communist Party official Xia Baolong got fired up during a national security speech in Hong Kong on Tuesday, condemning the U.S.’ 145% tariff on imports from the free port city as “outrageous bullying and utterly shameless.</li></ul>

Xiaomi /In Depth: Fatal crash sours Xiaomi’s EV successWearables /: Chinese wearable tech firms explore overseas production as U.S. tariffs soarTariff bullying: Senior Communist Party official Xia Baolong got fired up during a national security speech in Hong Kong on Tuesday, condemning the U.S.’ 145% tariff on imports from the free port city as “outrageous bullying and utterly shameless.

CX Daily: Fatal Crash Sours Xiaomi’s EV Success 

<ul><li>Tariffs /In Depth: China’s export machine stalls under Trump’s new trade blitz</li><li>Hong Kong /: Hong Kong stock market rides tech fever to bumper first quarter</li><li>Jewelry /In Depth: For Laopu Gold, the jewelry isn’t the only thing that’s expensive</li></ul>

Tariffs /In Depth: China’s export machine stalls under Trump’s new trade blitzHong Kong /: Hong Kong stock market rides tech fever to bumper first quarterJewelry /In Depth: For Laopu Gold, the jewelry isn’t the only thing that’s expensive

CX Daily: China’s Export Machine Stalls Under Trump’s New Trade Blitz 

China

Xiaomi is a Chinese multinational corporation specializing in consumer electronics and technology, primarily known for its smartphones (Mi, Redmi, POCO series) and a wide range of AIoT (Artificial Intelligence of Things) devices, including smart home products, wearables, and laptops. The company also provides internet services, including its MIUI operating system. Xiaomi was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

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Xiaomi (1810 HK)

HK Strategy: Sell in May, Go Away? The History Says Yes!

Statistics show "Sell in May, go away" holds true for HSI with negative returns in May since 2013, making it the worst one, even surpassing Oct....

Osbert Tang, CFA

[Blue Lotus Daily]:XPEV US/1810 HK/LI US/NIO US/Macro

XPEV's X9 receives 7,500 orders in 7 days post-launch, YU7 set to launch in June-July 2025, Shanghai boosts support for catering businesses.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 18th): Tencent, Bidu, Link Reit

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CX Daily: Fatal Crash Sours Xiaomi’s EV Success

President Xi Jinping’s state visit to Vietnam. Chinese wearable tech firms explore overseas production. If you haven’t already, click here to sign...

Caixin Global

CX Daily: China’s Export Machine Stalls Under Trump’s New Trade Blitz

TOP STORY Tariffs / In Depth: China’s export machine stalls under Trump’s new trade blitz Chinese manufacturers are scrambling to respond after...

Caixin Global

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HK Strategy: Sell in May, Go Away? The History Says Yes!

​Statistics show "Sell in May, go away" holds true for HSI with negative returns in May since 2013, making it the worst one, even surpassing Oct....

Osbert Tang, CFA

[Blue Lotus Daily]:XPEV US/1810 HK/LI US/NIO US/Macro

​XPEV's X9 receives 7,500 orders in 7 days post-launch, YU7 set to launch in June-July 2025, Shanghai boosts support for catering businesses.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 18th): Tencent, Bidu, Link Reit

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CX Daily: Fatal Crash Sours Xiaomi’s EV Success

President Xi Jinping’s state visit to Vietnam. Chinese wearable tech firms explore overseas production. If you haven’t already, click here to sign...

Caixin Global

CX Daily: China’s Export Machine Stalls Under Trump’s New Trade Blitz

TOP STORY Tariffs / In Depth: China’s export machine stalls under Trump’s new trade blitz Chinese manufacturers are scrambling to respond after...

Caixin Global

Statistics show "Sell in May, go away" holds true for HSI with negative returns in May since 2013, making it the worst one, even surpassing Oct....

XPEV's X9 receives 7,500 orders in 7 days post-launch, YU7 set to launch in June-July 2025, Shanghai boosts support for catering businesses.