HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Following a 20% rally in 1H25, the market has built in excessive optimism on the HSI. Historically, average returns for Jul-Oct are negative, suggesting caution is needed.</li>
<li>The top 10 best-performing constituents are sitting on 24x FY25F PER, much higher than 11x for the Index, implying that earnings excitement has been well factored in. </li>
<li>Among the worst-performing ones in 1H25, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronics (285 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techtronic-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4561:1" rel="noopener">Techtronic Industries (669 HK)</a> look appealing in 2H25.</li>
</ul>


Following a 20% rally in 1H25, the market has built in excessive optimism on the HSI. Historically, average returns for Jul-Oct are negative, suggesting caution is needed.
The top 10 best-performing constituents are sitting on 24x FY25F PER, much higher than 11x for the Index, implying that earnings excitement has been well factored in. 
Among the worst-performing ones in 1H25, BYD Electronics (285 HK), Haier Smart Home (6690 HK), and Techtronic Industries (669 HK) look appealing in 2H25.


Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>Samsung Said to Have Give Up Chasing TSMC at the Leading Edge of Chip Manufacturing</li>
<li>Xiaomi’s Tesla-Killer YU7 EV Surges in Orders -- TSMC Rides the Wave as Core Chip Supplier</li>
<li>TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Will Rapidus Threaten TSMC's 2nm Market? We Think It's Too Early to Say (II)</li>
</ul>


Samsung Said to Have Give Up Chasing TSMC at the Leading Edge of Chip Manufacturing
Xiaomi’s Tesla-Killer YU7 EV Surges in Orders -- TSMC Rides the Wave as Core Chip Supplier
TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Will Rapidus Threaten TSMC's 2nm Market? We Think It's Too Early to Say (II)


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Has Samsung Given Up Chasing TSMC?; Xiaomi Tesla-Killer EV Using Key TSMC Chips

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows of Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), CCB (939 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK), BYD (1211 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight flows of Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), CCB (939 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK), BYD (1211 HK).


Hong Kong Connect Flows (June): Inflows Accelerated, Xiaomi/Tencent Profit Taking Continued

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lens-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45390:1" rel="noopener">Lens Technology (6613 HK)</a>, an industry-leading integrated one-stop precision manufacturing solution provider, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$600 million.     </li>
<li>In terms of revenue in 2024, Lens is a global leader in precision structural parts and modules integrated solutions for both consumer electronics and smart vehicle interaction systems.</li>
<li>The investment case is based on a well-performing core business, limited tariff impact, reduced reliance on Apple, strong margins, and robust cash generation. </li>
</ul>



Lens Technology (6613 HK), an industry-leading integrated one-stop precision manufacturing solution provider, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$600 million.     
In terms of revenue in 2024, Lens is a global leader in precision structural parts and modules integrated solutions for both consumer electronics and smart vehicle interaction systems.
The investment case is based on a well-performing core business, limited tariff impact, reduced reliance on Apple, strong margins, and robust cash generation. 


Lens Technology H Share Listing (6613 HK): The Investment Case

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Lens Technology   / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lens-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24231:1" rel="noopener">Lens Technology (300433 CH)</a>, a precision manufacturing solution provider, aims to raise around US$600m in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>Lens Technology (LT) is one of the leading players in precision structural parts and modules integrated solutions for both consumer electronics and smart vehicles interaction systems.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.</li>
</ul>



Lens Technology (300433 CH), a precision manufacturing solution provider, aims to raise around US$600m in its H-share listing.
Lens Technology (LT) is one of the leading players in precision structural parts and modules integrated solutions for both consumer electronics and smart vehicles interaction systems.
We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.


Lens Technology A/H Listing - Pricing Looks Decent

China

Xiaomi Corporation manufactures communication equipment and parts. The Company produces and sells mobile phones, smart phone software,  set-top boxes, and related accessories. Xiaomi markets its products worldwide.

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Xiaomi (1810 HK)

HK Strategy: Some Ideas for 2H25

Excessive optimism on HSI after a 20% rally YTD, caution needed for Jul-Oct as historically returns are negative. BYD Electronic, Haier Smart...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Has Samsung Given Up Chasing TSMC?; Xiaomi Tesla-Killer EV Using Key TSMC Chips

Samsung has reportedly stopped trying to catch up to TSMC in chip manufacturing, while TSMC benefits from Xiaomi's surge in EV orders. The threat...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Hong Kong Connect Flows (June): Inflows Accelerated, Xiaomi/Tencent Profit Taking Continued

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for June and highlighted flows for Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), CCB (939 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Lens Technology A/H Listing - Pricing Looks Decent

Lens Technology (300433 CH), a precision manufacturing solution provider, aims to raise around US$600m in its H-share listing. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Strategy: Some Ideas for 2H25

​Excessive optimism on HSI after a 20% rally YTD, caution needed for Jul-Oct as historically returns are negative. BYD Electronic, Haier Smart...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Has Samsung Given Up Chasing TSMC?; Xiaomi Tesla-Killer EV Using Key TSMC Chips

​Samsung has reportedly stopped trying to catch up to TSMC in chip manufacturing, while TSMC benefits from Xiaomi's surge in EV orders. The threat...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Hong Kong Connect Flows (June): Inflows Accelerated, Xiaomi/Tencent Profit Taking Continued

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for June and highlighted flows for Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), CCB (939 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Lens Technology H Share Listing (6613 HK): The Investment Case

Lens Technology has launched an H Share listing to raise US$600 million. The H Shares will be listed on 9 July. In this note, I discuss the...

Arun George

Lens Technology A/H Listing - Pricing Looks Decent

Lens Technology (300433 CH), a precision manufacturing solution provider, aims to raise around US$600m in its H-share listing. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

Excessive optimism on HSI after a 20% rally YTD, caution needed for Jul-Oct as historically returns are negative. BYD Electronic, Haier Smart...

Samsung has reportedly stopped trying to catch up to TSMC in chip manufacturing, while TSMC benefits from Xiaomi's surge in EV orders. The threat...