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Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

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News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Trade /Cover Story: U.S.-China call a truce, but global trade has changed forever</li>
<li>Investment /In Depth: China’s tax collectors target global investment income</li>
<li>Xiaomi /Xiaomi CEO breaks silence after fatal SU7 crash, pledging to make safety a top priority</li>
</ul>


Trade /Cover Story: U.S.-China call a truce, but global trade has changed forever
Investment /In Depth: China’s tax collectors target global investment income
Xiaomi /Xiaomi CEO breaks silence after fatal SU7 crash, pledging to make safety a top priority


CX Daily: U.S.-China Call a Truce, But Global Trade Has Changed Forever 

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BEKE US- Real Estate : Weekly Property Transaction Update (-)</li>
<li>1810 HK: Xiaomi to Launch Self-Developed 3nm Chip and SUV YU7 (+)</li>
<li>Consumer sector: April Retail Sales Growth Fell Short of Expectations, But Seasonality Still Outperformed Historical Trends (+/+/+)</li>
</ul>


BEKE US- Real Estate : Weekly Property Transaction Update (-)
1810 HK: Xiaomi to Launch Self-Developed 3nm Chip and SUV YU7 (+)
Consumer sector: April Retail Sales Growth Fell Short of Expectations, But Seasonality Still Outperformed Historical Trends (+/+/+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/1810 HK/Consumer Sector/Macro

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>The HSI has already recovered to 2.2% above the pre-"reciprocal tariff" level, and the top 10 best-performing constituents have registered an average return of 15.6%.</li>
<li>Despite so, there are still 40 under-performing stocks, with 32 of them remain in the negative zone with an average of 4.8% loss. </li>
<li>Among them, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zto-express-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33488:1" rel="noopener">ZTO Express Cayman (2057 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/budweiser-brewing-co-apac-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28077:1" rel="noopener">Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronics (285 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> look well-positioned to catch up.</li>
</ul>


The HSI has already recovered to 2.2% above the pre-"reciprocal tariff" level, and the top 10 best-performing constituents have registered an average return of 15.6%.
Despite so, there are still 40 under-performing stocks, with 32 of them remain in the negative zone with an average of 4.8% loss. 
Among them, ZTO Express Cayman (2057 HK), Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK), BYD Electronics (285 HK), and Meituan (3690 HK) look well-positioned to catch up.


HK Strategy: What Are Some of the HSI Laggards to Pick Up?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>As expected, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in June following the launch of God's Eye, its Advanced Driver-Assistance System (ADAS).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a>'s inclusion results in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-literature-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24388:1" rel="noopener">China Literature (772 HK)</a> being deleted from the index. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-literature-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24388:1" rel="noopener">China Literature</a> stock should drop over the near-term.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 13% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$46.5bn (US$5.95bn). There are 16 stocks that have at least 1x ADV to trade from passives.</li>
</ul>


As expected, BYD (1211 HK) will be added to the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) in June following the launch of God's Eye, its Advanced Driver-Assistance System (ADAS).

BYD (1211 HK)'s inclusion results in China Literature (772 HK) being deleted from the index. China Literature stock should drop over the near-term.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 13% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$46.5bn (US$5.95bn). There are 16 stocks that have at least 1x ADV to trade from passives.


HSTECH Index Rebalance: BYD (1211 HK) To Replace China Literature (772 HK) As Trade Hits US$6bn

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes averaged more than HK$100bn a day this past week, which gets us back above halfway to the peak earlier this spring. Net flows were negative HK$8bn+.</li>
<li>Among the top buys as a percentage of volume, financials, utilities, and energy REALLY stand out. Among top sells, industrials, info tech, and consumer discretionary are tops.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Monitor</a> are both there free for SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes averaged more than HK$100bn a day this past week, which gets us back above halfway to the peak earlier this spring. Net flows were negative HK$8bn+.
Among the top buys as a percentage of volume, financials, utilities, and energy REALLY stand out. Among top sells, industrials, info tech, and consumer discretionary are tops.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 16 May 2025); Volumes Pick Up, Net Flows Drop; Banks Still Strong

China

Xiaomi Corporation manufactures communication equipment and parts. The Company produces and sells mobile phones, smart phone software,  set-top boxes, and related accessories. Xiaomi markets its products worldwide.

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Xiaomi (1810 HK)

CX Daily: U.S.-China Call a Truce, But Global Trade Has Changed Forever

Trade /Cover Story: U.S.-China call a truce, but global trade has changed forever Investment /In Depth: China’s tax collectors target global...

Caixin Global

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/1810 HK/Consumer Sector/Macro

Real estate transactions update, Xiaomi to launch new chip and SUV, April retail sales below expectations but still outperformed historical trends.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HK Strategy: What Are Some of the HSI Laggards to Pick Up?

HSI has rebounded above pre-reciprocal tariff levels, with top stocks up 15.6%. However, 32 stocks remain negative, with ZTO Express, Budweiser...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HSTECH Index Rebalance: BYD (1211 HK) To Replace China Literature (772 HK) As Trade Hits US$6bn

In a change that was not widely forecast, BYD will replace China Literature in the index. That change plus large FAF changes set off a huge trade....

Brian Freitas

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 16 May 2025); Volumes Pick Up, Net Flows Drop; Banks Still Strong

SOUTHBOUND volumes pick up. Net flows drop into negative territory again for only the second week in a few months. Banks saw strong inflows. Tech...

Travis Lundy

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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CX Daily: U.S.-China Call a Truce, But Global Trade Has Changed Forever

Trade /Cover Story: U.S.-China call a truce, but global trade has changed forever Investment /In Depth: China’s tax collectors target global...

Caixin Global

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/1810 HK/Consumer Sector/Macro

​Real estate transactions update, Xiaomi to launch new chip and SUV, April retail sales below expectations but still outperformed historical trends.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HK Strategy: What Are Some of the HSI Laggards to Pick Up?

​HSI has rebounded above pre-reciprocal tariff levels, with top stocks up 15.6%. However, 32 stocks remain negative, with ZTO Express, Budweiser...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HSTECH Index Rebalance: BYD (1211 HK) To Replace China Literature (772 HK) As Trade Hits US$6bn

In a change that was not widely forecast, BYD will replace China Literature in the index. That change plus large FAF changes set off a huge trade....

Brian Freitas

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 16 May 2025); Volumes Pick Up, Net Flows Drop; Banks Still Strong

SOUTHBOUND volumes pick up. Net flows drop into negative territory again for only the second week in a few months. Banks saw strong inflows. Tech...

Travis Lundy

Real estate transactions update, Xiaomi to launch new chip and SUV, April retail sales below expectations but still outperformed historical trends.

HSI has rebounded above pre-reciprocal tariff levels, with top stocks up 15.6%. However, 32 stocks remain negative, with ZTO Express, Budweiser...