Equity Research Analyst - Long-Short

Raj S, CA, CFA

Artoval Advisors

Art’o’val stands for Art of Valuation. Artoval Advisors LLP is a professionally run advisory firm catering to various financial advisory services including Valuation, Investment Research, Training, Accounting, CFO Services and other ancillary services.

We are passionate about what we do and strongly believe in working with our clients as their extended teams. With Artoval Advisors as their trusted partner, our clients find it easy to achieve efficiency in service delivery without compromising on quality.

True Art of Valuation

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a> has been an underperformer among Indian banks since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic due to asset quality issues in its core Group Microfinance portfolio.</li>
<li>Bandhan Bank’s leading position in the microfinance sector, strong operating margins, strategic de-risking, self-sustaining capital base, and cheap relative valuations make it a value bet with strong positive re-rating potential.
</li>
<li>
We value Bandhan Bank at 2.1x FY25e P/B in the base case, implying a 44% upside. On the other hand, we also discuss the risks to the thesis in detail.</li>
</ul>



Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN) has been an underperformer among Indian banks since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic due to asset quality issues in its core Group Microfinance portfolio.
Bandhan Bank’s leading position in the microfinance sector, strong operating margins, strategic de-risking, self-sustaining capital base, and cheap relative valuations make it a value bet with strong positive re-rating potential.


We value Bandhan Bank at 2.1x FY25e P/B in the base case, implying a 44% upside. On the other hand, we also discuss the risks to the thesis in detail.


Bandhan Bank: Initiating Coverage – Heads Up, Strong Re-Rating Ahead.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Slippages Moderate; Improving Trend Likely to Continue: In Q1FY26, Bandhan witnessed an improvement in slippages, in line with management guidance and the trend is expected to continue in FY26.</li><li>The management has indicated that slippages will continue to remain elevated in Q2FY26, post which gradual normalisation is likely.</li><li>The NPA (% of disbursements) in the EEB portfolio has been elevated at 4-5% over the past few quarters, largely attributed to the customer over-leveraging and is expected to subside over the coming quarters, eventually settling at &lt;3%. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Slippages Moderate; Improving Trend Likely to Continue: In Q1FY26, Bandhan witnessed an improvement in slippages, in line with management guidance and the trend is expected to continue in FY26.The management has indicated that slippages will continue to remain elevated in Q2FY26, post which gradual normalisation is likely.The NPA (% of disbursements) in the EEB portfolio has been elevated at 4-5% over the past few quarters, largely attributed to the customer over-leveraging and is expected to subside over the coming quarters, eventually settling at &lt;3%. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bandhan Bank Ltd. - Recovery Slated for H2FY26, HOLD Stays!

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>We interacted with Microfinance BU (Business Unit) managers of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a> across major states in India. </li>
<li>Our objective was to understand the current collection trends and asset quality issues especially in the Microfinance Portfolio. </li>
<li>Based on our interactions, we would like to put a case for declining provisions going ahead. </li>
</ul>


We interacted with Microfinance BU (Business Unit) managers of Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN) across major states in India. 
Our objective was to understand the current collection trends and asset quality issues especially in the Microfinance Portfolio. 
Based on our interactions, we would like to put a case for declining provisions going ahead. 


Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN) | Peak Provisions Behind

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The systemic credit growth as of 19 th September, 2025, stood at 10.4% YoY, with muted growth seen in retail and corporate segments.</li><li>However, credit growth is showing gradual signs of revival. For banks that have reported their provisional update, they have reported a healthy sequential growth.</li><li>We expect banks under our coverage to deliver ~11% YoY credit growth, only marginally ahead of industry growth. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The systemic credit growth as of 19 th September, 2025, stood at 10.4% YoY, with muted growth seen in retail and corporate segments.However, credit growth is showing gradual signs of revival. For banks that have reported their provisional update, they have reported a healthy sequential growth.We expect banks under our coverage to deliver ~11% YoY credit growth, only marginally ahead of industry growth. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q2FY26 Earnings Preview - Banks, Financial Services & Insurance (BFSI)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 13 changes a side for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the September rebalance. There are many stocks with flows from passive trackers of other indices.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 7.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 18.23bn (US$209m). With over US$43bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.</li>
<li>The adds to the index have outperformed the deletes over the last 5 months and there has been noticeable outperformance in the last couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


There are 13 changes a side for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the September rebalance. There are many stocks with flows from passive trackers of other indices.
Estimated one-way turnover is 7.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 18.23bn (US$209m). With over US$43bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.
The adds to the index have outperformed the deletes over the last 5 months and there has been noticeable outperformance in the last couple of weeks.


NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes a Side; Lots of Overlap with Other Index Flow

India

Bandhan Bank Limited operates as a commercial bank. The Bank provides accounts checking, savings deposits, money market, mortgage, and term loans services, as well as card facilities and Internet banking services. Bandhan Bank serves customers in India.

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Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)

Bandhan Bank: Initiating Coverage – Heads Up, Strong Re-Rating Ahead.

Bandhan Bank’s "turnaround story" with leading market position, strong operating margins, strategic de-risking, strong capital base, and cheap...

Raj S, CA, CFA

Bandhan Bank Ltd. - Recovery Slated for H2FY26, HOLD Stays!

In Q1FY26, Bandhan witnessed an improvement in slippages, in line with management guidance and the trend is expected to continue in FY26.

Axis Direct