External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>iQIYI (IQ) delivered better-than-feared 4Q23 results with inline topline and upbeat margin.</li><li>Looking into 1Q24E, we expect both revenue and earnings to see sequential growth, with solid ARM trend.</li><li>We keep confident on IQ’s previous FY24E OP target (at RMB5bn), with disciplined content cost and ARM expansion. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

iQIYI (IQ) delivered better-than-feared 4Q23 results with inline topline and upbeat margin.Looking into 1Q24E, we expect both revenue and earnings to see sequential growth, with solid ARM trend.We keep confident on IQ’s previous FY24E OP target (at RMB5bn), with disciplined content cost and ARM expansion. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IQIYI (IQ US) - Improving Profitability with Solid Guidance

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>On February 15, OpenAI, Google and Amazon launched respective AI advances in video LLM (SORA), long text (Gemini 1.5), and text-to-speech (BASE) abilities. The evolution speed of AI inspired awe;</li>
<li>We estimate rival equivalent of SORA, delivered over cloud, will appear in 4-6 months of time but on-device version will take years.</li>
<li>We suggest 2C AI applications, especially video, will be the prime beneficiary</li>
</ul>


On February 15, OpenAI, Google and Amazon launched respective AI advances in video LLM (SORA), long text (Gemini 1.5), and text-to-speech (BASE) abilities. The evolution speed of AI inspired awe;
We estimate rival equivalent of SORA, delivered over cloud, will appear in 4-6 months of time but on-device version will take years.
We suggest 2C AI applications, especially video, will be the prime beneficiary


[Blue Lotus Technology Sector Update]: LLM Advances Give China and US Both Opportunities

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

<ul>
<li>US-Led tech chain may push for AI phone features, which itself is a great strategy to pull the tech industry out of doldrums. It will pressure Huawei, in our opinion;</li>
<li>We believe there are other stories unfolding in the AI era, including availability of AI killer apps, the rivalry between super apps and OS vendors, and the growing China/Ex-China chasm.</li>
<li>Our Top Pick is Tencent and Kuaishou. We maintain Xiaomi at SELL.</li>
</ul>


US-Led tech chain may push for AI phone features, which itself is a great strategy to pull the tech industry out of doldrums. It will pressure Huawei, in our opinion;
We believe there are other stories unfolding in the AI era, including availability of AI killer apps, the rivalry between super apps and OS vendors, and the growing China/Ex-China chasm.
Our Top Pick is Tencent and Kuaishou. We maintain Xiaomi at SELL.


[Blue Lotus Hardware Sector Update]: What Does AI Phone Bring to the Tech Competition?

<ul><li>We estimate iQIYI could deliver an upbeat margin but mild rev growth in 4Q23E, with better-than-feared ads revenue and rising ARM (despite subs volatility).</li><li>We suggest looking beyond the high base for 1Q24E, and focusing on upcoming rich content in its 2024 pipeline, including San Ke Shu (南来北往), Fox Spirit Matchmaker (狐妖小红娘) and Gu Zhou (孤舟). ARM expansion should support its earnings growth and solid free cash flow in FY24E.</li><li>We are also positive on its margin improvement on higher ROI in content investments. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We estimate iQIYI could deliver an upbeat margin but mild rev growth in 4Q23E, with better-than-feared ads revenue and rising ARM (despite subs volatility).We suggest looking beyond the high base for 1Q24E, and focusing on upcoming rich content in its 2024 pipeline, including San Ke Shu (南来北往), Fox Spirit Matchmaker (狐妖小红娘) and Gu Zhou (孤舟). ARM expansion should support its earnings growth and solid free cash flow in FY24E.We are also positive on its margin improvement on higher ROI in content investments. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IQIYI (IQ US) – Margin Intact with Continued ARM Expansion

<ul>
<li>We view both Weixin Video Account (WVA) and Douyin China as secondary assets to their respective parents, which in our view, may lead to them forming...(TBC) </li>
<li>However, rising competition in the short-play (短剧) market may put the two businesses in more direct confrontation, which may delay or diminish the chance for two to work together;</li>
<li>We view Tencent as the likely winner in the continuing evolution of short video as it considers various options to maximize the value of WVA traffic.</li>
</ul>


We view both Weixin Video Account (WVA) and Douyin China as secondary assets to their respective parents, which in our view, may lead to them forming...(TBC) 
However, rising competition in the short-play (短剧) market may put the two businesses in more direct confrontation, which may delay or diminish the chance for two to work together;
We view Tencent as the likely winner in the continuing evolution of short video as it considers various options to maximize the value of WVA traffic.


[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: Latest Developments in Short Video Point to Possibilities

China

iQIYI, Inc. offers video entertainment services. The Company provides movies, television dramas, variety shows, and other video contents. iQIYI offers services worldwide.

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iQIYI Inc (IQ US)

IQIYI (IQ US) - Improving Profitability with Solid Guidance

iQIYI (IQ) delivered better-than-feared 4Q23 results with inline topline and upbeat margin. Looking into 1Q24E, we expect both revenue and earnings...

CMB International

[Blue Lotus Technology Sector Update]: LLM Advances Give China and US Both Opportunities

OpenAI, Google and Amazon launched respective AI advances in video LLM (SORA), long text (Gemini 1.5), and text-to-speech (BASE) abilities.We...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Hardware Sector Update]: What Does AI Phone Bring to the Tech Competition?

US-led tech chain may drive AI phone features, boosting the industry and pressuring Huawei. Other AI trends include killer apps, super app...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

IQIYI (IQ US) – Margin Intact with Continued ARM Expansion

We estimate iQIYI could deliver an upbeat margin but mild rev growth in 4Q23E, with better-than-feared ads revenue and rising ARM (despite subs...

CMB International

[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: Latest Developments in Short Video Point to Possibilities

The competition in the short-play market may hinder the collaboration between Weixin Video Account and Douyin China, but Tencent is expected to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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IQIYI (IQ US) - Improving Profitability with Solid Guidance

iQIYI (IQ) delivered better-than-feared 4Q23 results with inline topline and upbeat margin. Looking into 1Q24E, we expect both revenue and earnings...

CMB International

[Blue Lotus Technology Sector Update]: LLM Advances Give China and US Both Opportunities

OpenAI, Google and Amazon launched respective AI advances in video LLM (SORA), long text (Gemini 1.5), and text-to-speech (BASE) abilities.We...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Hardware Sector Update]: What Does AI Phone Bring to the Tech Competition?

​US-led tech chain may drive AI phone features, boosting the industry and pressuring Huawei. Other AI trends include killer apps, super app...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

IQIYI (IQ US) – Margin Intact with Continued ARM Expansion

We estimate iQIYI could deliver an upbeat margin but mild rev growth in 4Q23E, with better-than-feared ads revenue and rising ARM (despite subs...

CMB International

[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: Latest Developments in Short Video Point to Possibilities

​The competition in the short-play market may hinder the collaboration between Weixin Video Account and Douyin China, but Tencent is expected to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

US-led tech chain may drive AI phone features, boosting the industry and pressuring Huawei. Other AI trends include killer apps, super app...

The competition in the short-play market may hinder the collaboration between Weixin Video Account and Douyin China, but Tencent is expected to...