Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>NTES US: &lt;Hearthstone&gt; PC Preload Begins, Official Return on September 25 (+)</li>
<li>700 HK: Tencent's &lt;Peacekeeper Elite&gt; Tops iOS Grossing Chart After Major Gameplay Update.(+)</li>
<li>700 HK: Tencent's FPS Game &lt;Delta Force&gt; Pre-launch Character Creation Event Starts, Launch on September 26 (/)</li>
</ul>


NTES US: &lt;Hearthstone&gt; PC Preload Begins, Official Return on September 25 (+)
700 HK: Tencent's &lt;Peacekeeper Elite&gt; Tops iOS Grossing Chart After Major Gameplay Update.(+)
700 HK: Tencent's FPS Game &lt;Delta Force&gt; Pre-launch Character Creation Event Starts, Launch on September 26 (/)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:NTES US/700 HK/BABA US/JD US/AMZN US/PDD US/SHEIN/VIPS US/3690HK/IQ US

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

<ul>
<li>Blue Lotus expects Huawei’s smartphone shipment market share to grow 5ppt in 2024, of which 2ppt from Apple and 1.5ppt from Honor;</li>
<li>The impacts are mainly two: (1) Huawei Appstore’s unique revenue share for games and apps, (2) Opportunity to recommend new games and apps through preinstallation;</li>
<li>We see the biggest positive impact on subscription-based video apps and the biggest negative impact on mobile games. We reiterate our Top Pick in iQIYI.</li>
</ul>


Blue Lotus expects Huawei’s smartphone shipment market share to grow 5ppt in 2024, of which 2ppt from Apple and 1.5ppt from Honor;
The impacts are mainly two: (1) Huawei Appstore’s unique revenue share for games and apps, (2) Opportunity to recommend new games and apps through preinstallation;
We see the biggest positive impact on subscription-based video apps and the biggest negative impact on mobile games. We reiterate our Top Pick in iQIYI.


[Blue Lotus Entertainment Sector Update]: What Change Can Mate 60 Bring to Games and Apps

<ul>
<li>TSLA/XPEV/1211: Tesla starts presales of revamped Model 3 in China at higher starting price (/-/-)</li>
<li>IQ：iQiYi’s drama pipeline was affected by lead actress Zu‘er(Lareina) Song’s tax evasion inspection (-)</li>
<li>Real Estate Industry Update/Beke: Beijing and Shanghai followed on implementing the housing loan loosening policy, transaction willingness improved immediately</li>
</ul>


TSLA/XPEV/1211: Tesla starts presales of revamped Model 3 in China at higher starting price (/-/-)
IQ：iQiYi’s drama pipeline was affected by lead actress Zu‘er(Lareina) Song’s tax evasion inspection (-)
Real Estate Industry Update/Beke: Beijing and Shanghai followed on implementing the housing loan loosening policy, transaction willingness improved immediately


China TMT Update-TSLA/XPEV/1211/IQ/Beke:Beijing and Shanghai Housing Loan Loosening;revamped Model 3

<ul>
<li>We updated our revenue forecasts for ByteDance (China domestic) , with the industry models. We estimate that ByteDance's domestic ad revenue/eCommerce GMV/local lifestyle GTV will grow by 17%/50%/134% this year.</li>
<li>In the advertising space, we recommend Tencent and iQIYI. Both Tencent and iQIYI experienced a decline in their advertising revenue market share in 2022, followed by a rebound in 2023.</li>
<li>In transactional GMV/GTV, we prefer Meituan and Pinduoduo. Meituan's market share experienced a significant decline in 2022, but the decline rate is expected to narrow significantly this year.</li>
</ul>


We updated our revenue forecasts for ByteDance (China domestic) , with the industry models. We estimate that ByteDance's domestic ad revenue/eCommerce GMV/local lifestyle GTV will grow by 17%/50%/134% this year.
In the advertising space, we recommend Tencent and iQIYI. Both Tencent and iQIYI experienced a decline in their advertising revenue market share in 2022, followed by a rebound in 2023.
In transactional GMV/GTV, we prefer Meituan and Pinduoduo. Meituan's market share experienced a significant decline in 2022, but the decline rate is expected to narrow significantly this year.


[Blue Lotus Multi-Platform Sector Update]: ByteDance Forecasts and Implications for China Internet

<ul>
<li>We suggest that both Tencent and NetEase will launch blockbuster new games in their pipelines during this year's summer vacation, with NetEase slightly surpassing Tencent.  </li>
<li>Although iQIYI, Kuaishou, and BILI each have new games, their contributions are relatively small, so we maintain a SELL rating for these three companies;</li>
<li>Investors can also pay attention to Nexon and Netmarble, two Korean game companies that are expected to benefit from the launch of new games;  </li>
</ul>


We suggest that both Tencent and NetEase will launch blockbuster new games in their pipelines during this year's summer vacation, with NetEase slightly surpassing Tencent.  
Although iQIYI, Kuaishou, and BILI each have new games, their contributions are relatively small, so we maintain a SELL rating for these three companies;
Investors can also pay attention to Nexon and Netmarble, two Korean game companies that are expected to benefit from the launch of new games;  


Blue Lotus Entertainment Sector Update: Tencent, NetEase and Kingsoft Have Strong Pipeline

China

iQIYI, Inc. offers video entertainment services. The Company provides movies, television dramas, variety shows, and other video contents. iQIYI offers services worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

iQIYI Inc (IQ US)

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:NTES US/700 HK/BABA US/JD US/AMZN US/PDD US/SHEIN/VIPS US/3690HK/IQ US

Preloading for PC has started, official return on Sept 25; tops iOS chart after update; pre-launch event begins, launch on Sept 26.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Entertainment Sector Update]: What Change Can Mate 60 Bring to Games and Apps

We see the biggest positive impact on subscription-based video apps and the biggest negative impact on mobile games. We reiterate our Top Pick in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China TMT Update-TSLA/XPEV/1211/IQ/Beke:Beijing and Shanghai Housing Loan Loosening;revamped Model 3

Tesla starts presales of revamped Model 3 in China ;iQiYi’s drama pipeline was affected by lead actress Zu‘er(Lareina) Song’s tax evasion...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Multi-Platform Sector Update]: ByteDance Forecasts and Implications for China Internet

We estimate that ByteDance's domestic ad revenue/eCommerce GMV/local lifestyle GTV will grow by 17%/50%/134% this year. We prefer Tencent, iQiyi,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Entertainment Sector Update: Tencent, NetEase and Kingsoft Have Strong Pipeline

We suggest that both Tencent and NetEase will launch blockbuster new games in their pipelines during this year's summer vacation, with NetEase...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:NTES US/700 HK/BABA US/JD US/AMZN US/PDD US/SHEIN/VIPS US/3690HK/IQ US

​Preloading for PC has started, official return on Sept 25; tops iOS chart after update; pre-launch event begins, launch on Sept 26.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Entertainment Sector Update]: What Change Can Mate 60 Bring to Games and Apps

We see the biggest positive impact on subscription-based video apps and the biggest negative impact on mobile games. We reiterate our Top Pick in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China TMT Update-TSLA/XPEV/1211/IQ/Beke:Beijing and Shanghai Housing Loan Loosening;revamped Model 3

Tesla starts presales of revamped Model 3 in China ;iQiYi’s drama pipeline was affected by lead actress Zu‘er(Lareina) Song’s tax evasion...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Multi-Platform Sector Update]: ByteDance Forecasts and Implications for China Internet

We estimate that ByteDance's domestic ad revenue/eCommerce GMV/local lifestyle GTV will grow by 17%/50%/134% this year. We prefer Tencent, iQiyi,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Entertainment Sector Update: Tencent, NetEase and Kingsoft Have Strong Pipeline

We suggest that both Tencent and NetEase will launch blockbuster new games in their pipelines during this year's summer vacation, with NetEase...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Preloading for PC has started, official return on Sept 25; tops iOS chart after update; pre-launch event begins, launch on Sept 26.