Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pinduoduo-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27250:1" rel="noopener">Pinduoduo (PDD US)</a>’s 3Q22 mirrored its strong previous quarter with revenue of RMB 35.5bn (consensus: RMB 30.8bn) and OP of RMB 10.4bn (consensus: RMB 6.7bn).</li>
<li>CCP’s anti-monopoly drive and common prosperity measures are helping Pinduoduo to outperform the competition.</li>
<li>Nonetheless, we refrain from being outright positive on any of the Chinese e-commerce names with the economy heading into a slowdown and the lowest sector-multiple at above 12x FY+1 OP.</li>
</ul>



Pinduoduo (PDD US)’s 3Q22 mirrored its strong previous quarter with revenue of RMB 35.5bn (consensus: RMB 30.8bn) and OP of RMB 10.4bn (consensus: RMB 6.7bn).
CCP’s anti-monopoly drive and common prosperity measures are helping Pinduoduo to outperform the competition.
Nonetheless, we refrain from being outright positive on any of the Chinese e-commerce names with the economy heading into a slowdown and the lowest sector-multiple at above 12x FY+1 OP.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Sunshine Insurance Group  Lt / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&amp;C insurance company, aims to raise up to US$1bn in its HK IPO.</li>
<li>SIG is an integrated insurance provider which offers both life and health (L&amp;H) and property and casualty (P&amp;C) insurance in China.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>


Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&amp;C insurance company, aims to raise up to US$1bn in its HK IPO.
SIG is an integrated insurance provider which offers both life and health (L&amp;H) and property and casualty (P&amp;C) insurance in China.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.


Sunshine Insurance Group Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Fastest in One Segment, Slowest in the Other

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Pinduoduo (PDD) announced (28 November) 3Q22 results: revenue was up 65% YoY to RMB35.5bn, 21/15% higher than our/Bloomberg consensus estimates, which we attribute to increase in merchant activities and on boarding of more quality merchants that drove stronger-than-expected monetization rate expansion, aided by PDD’s sticky user base, and its enhanced technology capability that drove better match between products and consumers.</li><li>Non-GAAP net income attributable to PDD was RMB12.4bn (3Q21: 3.2bn), beating our/consensus estimates of RMB7.5/7.1bn, given better-than-expected GPM and stronger-than-expected operating leverage aided by robust revenue growth.</li><li>Leveraging highly sticky user base, PDD is able to manage sales and marketing spending in an efficient and more proactive way.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Pinduoduo (PDD) announced (28 November) 3Q22 results: revenue was up 65% YoY to RMB35.5bn, 21/15% higher than our/Bloomberg consensus estimates, which we attribute to increase in merchant activities and on boarding of more quality merchants that drove stronger-than-expected monetization rate expansion, aided by PDD’s sticky user base, and its enhanced technology capability that drove better match between products and consumers.Non-GAAP net income attributable to PDD was RMB12.4bn (3Q21: 3.2bn), beating our/consensus estimates of RMB7.5/7.1bn, given better-than-expected GPM and stronger-than-expected operating leverage aided by robust revenue growth.Leveraging highly sticky user base, PDD is able to manage sales and marketing spending in an efficient and more proactive way.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pinduoduo (PDD US) – Strong revenue and earnings growth

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, things are picking up again going into the year end.</li>
<li>There were no large placement or blocks this week, although prior lockup linked blocks kept flowing through.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, things are picking up again going into the year end.
There were no large placement or blocks this week, although prior lockup linked blocks kept flowing through.


ECM Weekly (27th Nov 2022) - Growatt, Lygend, Sunshine Ins, Weilong, DPC, Daiei, Skymark, GoTo

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

<ul>
<li>JD.com should have an outsized benefit from a recovery in Chinese retail sales as further macro stimulus and a gradual easing of China’s covid-zero policy stimulates demand throughout 2023.</li>
<li>Following a return to margin expansion this year, due to economies of scale and curbing operating expenses during a challenging macro environment, the longer-term margin expansion trend remains on track.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> trades on extremely attractive valuation multiples (PE, PEG, FCF yield) with net cash on its balance sheet equal to 32% of its market cap.</li>
</ul>


JD.com should have an outsized benefit from a recovery in Chinese retail sales as further macro stimulus and a gradual easing of China’s covid-zero policy stimulates demand throughout 2023.
Following a return to margin expansion this year, due to economies of scale and curbing operating expenses during a challenging macro environment, the longer-term margin expansion trend remains on track.

JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) trades on extremely attractive valuation multiples (PE, PEG, FCF yield) with net cash on its balance sheet equal to 32% of its market cap.


2023 High Conviction: JD.com to Benefit from Discretionary Spend Recovery, Margin Progress on Track

China

PDD Holdings Inc. is a multinational commerce group that owns and operates a portfolio of businesses. The Company focuses on digital economy so that local communities and small businesses can benefit from the increased productivity and new opportunities. PDD Holdings has built a network of sourcing, logistics, and fulfillment capabilities for its underlying businesses.

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PDD Holdings (PDD US)

Pinduoduo: The Odd One Out

Expected to outperform the competition, possibly through government support, we think PDD could be the safest route to invest in the battered...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Sunshine Insurance Group Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Fastest in One Segment, Slowest in the Other

Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&C insurance company, aims to raise up to US$1bn in its HK IPO. In this note, we undertake a...

Sumeet Singh

Pinduoduo (PDD US) – Strong revenue and earnings growth

Pinduoduo (PDD) announced (28 November) 3Q22 results: revenue was up 65% YoY to RMB35.5bn, 21/15% higher than our/Bloomberg consensus estimates

CMB International

ECM Weekly (27th Nov 2022) - Growatt, Lygend, Sunshine Ins, Weilong, DPC, Daiei, Skymark, GoTo

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

2023 High Conviction: JD.com to Benefit from Discretionary Spend Recovery, Margin Progress on Track

As our 2023 High Conviction call, in this insight, we take a deep-dive analysis into JD.com’s key investment controversies: Revenue growth recovery...

Wium Malan, CFA

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