External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>PDD Holdings (PDD) announced (25 Aug) 2Q25 results: revenue was up 7% YoY (1Q25: 10%) to RMB104.0bn, inline with Bloomberg consensus estimates, which was driven by a 1% beat in online marketing services and others, but offset by the 1% miss in transaction services fees that we attributed to the impact from change in “de minimis exemption” policy in the U.S. market.</li><li>Non-GAAP NP decreased by 5% YoY to RMB32.7bn but was 46% better than consensus, driven by the 20% beat in OP and the RMB10.4bn interest and investment income.</li><li>Although PDD is still in an investment stage to enhance platform ecosystem, as well as to improve quality and diversity of supply, the beat in operating profit likely speaks to a better-than-feared impact from incremental sales and marketing spend amid the backdrop of national subsidies. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

PDD Holdings (PDD) announced (25 Aug) 2Q25 results: revenue was up 7% YoY (1Q25: 10%) to RMB104.0bn, inline with Bloomberg consensus estimates, which was driven by a 1% beat in online marketing services and others, but offset by the 1% miss in transaction services fees that we attributed to the impact from change in “de minimis exemption” policy in the U.S. market.Non-GAAP NP decreased by 5% YoY to RMB32.7bn but was 46% better than consensus, driven by the 20% beat in OP and the RMB10.4bn interest and investment income.Although PDD is still in an investment stage to enhance platform ecosystem, as well as to improve quality and diversity of supply, the beat in operating profit likely speaks to a better-than-feared impact from incremental sales and marketing spend amid the backdrop of national subsidies. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

PDD Holdings (PDD US) - Results Beat on Better-Than-Expected Savings from Sales and Marketing Spend

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Transaction services revenue was stagnant due to high comparison base.</li>
<li>The gross margin declined significantly due to the overseas expansion.</li>
<li>However, we believe revenue growth and margins will be stable in the long run.</li>
</ul>


Transaction services revenue was stagnant due to high comparison base.
The gross margin declined significantly due to the overseas expansion.
However, we believe revenue growth and margins will be stable in the long run.


PDD (PDD): 2Q25, Impacted by High Comparison Base and Overseas Expansion

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 281 Chinese companies listed on U.S Stock Exchanges with a total market cap of US$869bn. 32 of these companies are listed on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>If the rumours of Chinese stocks being delisted from U.S. Exchanges gathers steam, we could see a wave of secondary listings in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pdd-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27250:1" rel="noopener">PDD Holdings</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/full-truck-alliance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33429:1" rel="noopener">Full Truck Alliance</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vipshop-holdings-ltd-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1088:1" rel="noopener">Vipshop Holdings</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tal-education-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1124:1" rel="noopener">TAL Education</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">ZEEKR</a> are the largest China ADRs with no HK listing and could come under pressure.</li>
</ul>


We see 281 Chinese companies listed on U.S Stock Exchanges with a total market cap of US$869bn. 32 of these companies are listed on the HKEX (388 HK). 
If the rumours of Chinese stocks being delisted from U.S. Exchanges gathers steam, we could see a wave of secondary listings in Hong Kong.

PDD Holdings, Full Truck Alliance, Vipshop Holdings, TAL Education and ZEEKR are the largest China ADRs with no HK listing and could come under pressure.


What if China ADRs Are Delisted from US Exchanges?

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

<ul>
<li>Pinduoduo's surprise Q125 OP &amp; NP declines happened before US tariff, de minimis changes</li>
<li>Recent data from Bain &amp; Co. suggests extremely difficult US conditions for Temu, SHEIN</li>
<li>If representative, the April-May US data suggest deep, lasting US challenges for the platforms</li>
</ul>


Pinduoduo's surprise Q125 OP &amp; NP declines happened before US tariff, de minimis changes
Recent data from Bain &amp; Co. suggests extremely difficult US conditions for Temu, SHEIN
If representative, the April-May US data suggest deep, lasting US challenges for the platforms


PDD's Q125 Profit Decline Occurred Before US Squeeze | April-May US Sales Far Weaker for Temu, SHEIN

<ul>
<li>The stock price plunged by 16% after the 1Q25 results.</li>
<li>The two major competitors benefited from the state subsidies, but PDD did not.</li>
<li>However, PDD balances well between revenue growth and operating cash flow.</li>
</ul>


The stock price plunged by 16% after the 1Q25 results.
The two major competitors benefited from the state subsidies, but PDD did not.
However, PDD balances well between revenue growth and operating cash flow.


Pinduoduo (PDD): Plunged After Weak Results, But Overly Impacted

China

PDD Holdings Inc. is a multinational commerce group that owns and operates a portfolio of businesses. The Company focuses on digital economy so that local communities and small businesses can benefit from the increased productivity and new opportunities. PDD Holdings has built a network of sourcing, logistics, and fulfillment capabilities for its underlying businesses.

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PDD Holdings (PDD US)