Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Guangzhou Automobile Group / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes just over US$21bn a day two weeks ago as markets fell sharply. About two-thirds that this past week as indices rebounded. High-div SOEs seeing buying demand.</li>
<li>The recommended name was short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuyao-glass-industry-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:330:1" rel="noopener">Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK)</a>. The stock was -4.9% over two weeks, but the H outperformed its A by 0.55%.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Southbound Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there - free - for all SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes just over US$21bn a day two weeks ago as markets fell sharply. About two-thirds that this past week as indices rebounded. High-div SOEs seeing buying demand.
The recommended name was short Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK). The stock was -4.9% over two weeks, but the H outperformed its A by 0.55%.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The Southbound Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there - free - for all SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (2wks To 24 Oct 2025); Big Flows on Downdraft, Lower Flows on Rebound

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 24th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, CNOOC, Pop Mart Intl, Duality Biotherapeutics, China Mobile, Meituan, SMIC, Laopu Gold.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 24th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, CNOOC, Pop Mart Intl, Duality Biotherapeutics, China Mobile, Meituan, SMIC, Laopu Gold.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 24th): Alibaba, CNOOC, Pop Mart Intl, Duality Biotherapeutics

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

China Gold International Resources / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Rising gold prices have led to a sharp rally in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-gold-international-resources" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26130:1" rel="noopener">China Gold International Resources (2099 HK)</a> over the last couple of months.</li>
<li>The significantly higher market cap and free float market cap should lead to the inclusion of the stock in a global index in November.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-gold-international-resources" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26130:1" rel="noopener">China Gold International Resources (2099 HK)</a> trades cheaper than its peers on forward PE and price to book. A continuation of the gold rally and index inclusion are positives.</li>
</ul>


Rising gold prices have led to a sharp rally in China Gold International Resources (2099 HK) over the last couple of months.
The significantly higher market cap and free float market cap should lead to the inclusion of the stock in a global index in November.

China Gold International Resources (2099 HK) trades cheaper than its peers on forward PE and price to book. A continuation of the gold rally and index inclusion are positives.


China Gold Intl (2099 HK): Gold Rally & Upcoming Global Index Inclusion

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 3rd.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Meituan, Tencent, HSBC, CCB, Gcl Technology, TraHK HSI ETF.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 3rd.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Meituan, Tencent, HSBC, CCB, Gcl Technology, TraHK HSI ETF.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, Tencent, HSBC, CCB, Gcl Technology

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Nicholas Tan

APAC IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-gold-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45448:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Gold (2259 HK)</a> raised around US$3.2bn in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>It is a global leading gold mining company formed by combining all of the gold mines of Zijin Mining, located outside of China.</li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Zijin Gold (2259 HK) raised around US$3.2bn in its Hong Kong IPO.
It is a global leading gold mining company formed by combining all of the gold mines of Zijin Mining, located outside of China.
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


Zijin Gold IPO Trading: Decent Retail but Strong Insti Demand

China

Shandong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. operates gold mining and production businesses. The Company provides gold exploration, processing, and outsourcing gold smelting services. Shandong Gold Mining also conducts gold jewelry purification and non-ferrous metal production businesses.

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Shandong Gold Mining (1787 HK)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (2wks To 24 Oct 2025); Big Flows on Downdraft, Lower Flows on Rebound

SOUTHBOUND volumes remain high. Higher in the downdraft than this past week's rebound, but still generically high. Net flows remain consistent even...

Travis Lundy

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 24th): Alibaba, CNOOC, Pop Mart Intl, Duality Biotherapeutics

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, CNOOC, Pop Mart Intl, Duality Biotherapeutics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Gold Intl (2099 HK): Gold Rally & Upcoming Global Index Inclusion

China Gold should be added to a global index in November. The stock trades cheaper than peers. There is positioning but strong gold prices and...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, Tencent, HSBC, CCB, Gcl Technology

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 3rd and highlight short interest changes in Meituan, Tencent, HSBC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Zijin Gold IPO Trading: Decent Retail but Strong Insti Demand

Zijin Gold (ZG) raised around US$3.2bn in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Nicholas Tan

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