Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Top 3 stays unchanged — HD KSOE beats HHI on consolidated sales, and index rules push HHI to the Plus side since a group sibling’s already in the Top 3.</li>
<li>Plus Universe also looks stable, but HD Hyundai Mipo’s weight drops from 14.12% to 10% Friday — triggering ~₩40B in passive outflows, a key flow trade setup.</li>
<li>₩40B sell vs. ₩60–90B daily turnover, all hitting via one ETF desk (Shinhan SOL) Friday afternoon — flow size could move the tape. Should keep it on our radar.</li>
</ul>


Top 3 stays unchanged — HD KSOE beats HHI on consolidated sales, and index rules push HHI to the Plus side since a group sibling’s already in the Top 3.
Plus Universe also looks stable, but HD Hyundai Mipo’s weight drops from 14.12% to 10% Friday — triggering ~₩40B in passive outflows, a key flow trade setup.
₩40B sell vs. ₩60–90B daily turnover, all hitting via one ETF desk (Shinhan SOL) Friday afternoon — flow size could move the tape. Should keep it on our radar.


Friday’s Cap Reversion in the SOL Shipbuilding Top 3 ETF Sets up a Clean Flow Trade Opportunity

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 10 November, it was announced that Ki-Sun Chung was promoted to Vice Chairman which could signal more positive news flow on HD Hyundai in the coming months.</li>
<li>The consensus expects DPS of 4,200 won for HD Hyundai in 2023, which suggests a dividend yield of 7.1%. HD Hyundai has one of the highest dividend yields in KOSPI200.</li>
<li>According to our NAV analysis, it suggests a base case valuation of 71,970 won per share for HD Hyundai, representing a 22% upside from current levels.</li>
</ul>


On 10 November, it was announced that Ki-Sun Chung was promoted to Vice Chairman which could signal more positive news flow on HD Hyundai in the coming months.
The consensus expects DPS of 4,200 won for HD Hyundai in 2023, which suggests a dividend yield of 7.1%. HD Hyundai has one of the highest dividend yields in KOSPI200.
According to our NAV analysis, it suggests a base case valuation of 71,970 won per share for HD Hyundai, representing a 22% upside from current levels.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a> index constituents in May 2021.</li>
<li>News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.</li>
<li>There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.</li>
</ul>


Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 index constituents in May 2021.
News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.
There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.


Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Nov 21st. The aggregated holding was USD776.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD3,001mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Doosan Enerbility, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES, KB Financial, Samsung Elec (PREF).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Nov 21st. The aggregated holding was USD776.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD3,001mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Doosan Enerbility, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES, KB Financial, Samsung Elec (PREF).


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 21st): SK Hynix, Doosan Enerbility, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>KRX announced changes to KOSPI200 and KOSDAQ150 indices. These changes will be effective from 12 December 2025. </li>
<li>In KOSPI200, there are 8 new additions and 8 deletions. Among the new additions include LG CNS, Sanil Electric, Asia Holdings, and Paradise.</li>
<li>There could be a buying opportunity for LG CNS due to its inclusion in KOSPI200 combined with its attractive valuations and accelerating sales and operating profit growth in 2026. </li>
</ul>


KRX announced changes to KOSPI200 and KOSDAQ150 indices. These changes will be effective from 12 December 2025. 
In KOSPI200, there are 8 new additions and 8 deletions. Among the new additions include LG CNS, Sanil Electric, Asia Holdings, and Paradise.
There could be a buying opportunity for LG CNS due to its inclusion in KOSPI200 combined with its attractive valuations and accelerating sales and operating profit growth in 2026. 


South Korea

HD HYUNDAI MIPO. operates shipbuilding businesses. The Company produces gas carriers, car carriers, bulk carriers, special ships, and other products. HD HYUNDAI MIPO conducts businesses in South Korea.

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HD Hyundai Mipo (010620 KS)

Friday’s Cap Reversion in the SOL Shipbuilding Top 3 ETF Sets up a Clean Flow Trade Opportunity

This post breaks down Friday’s cap reversion in the SOL Shipbuilding Top 3 ETF — a setup that presents a clear flow trade opportunity.

Sanghyun Park

Asian Dividend Gems: HD Hyundai

FTC decided to conditionally approve the acquisition of STX Heavy Industries by HD Korea Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering. With this business...

Douglas Kim

Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Media reports indicate that there could be a temporary short sell ban in Korea. This could lead to futures backwardation, market manipulation and a...

Brian Freitas

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 21st): SK Hynix, Doosan Enerbility, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SK Hynix, Doosan Enerbility, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Announces Changes to KOSPI200 Index

KRX announced changes to KOSPI200 and KOSDAQ150 indices effective 12 December 2025. LG CNS could present a buying opportunity with its inclusion,...

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Friday’s Cap Reversion in the SOL Shipbuilding Top 3 ETF Sets up a Clean Flow Trade Opportunity

This post breaks down Friday’s cap reversion in the SOL Shipbuilding Top 3 ETF — a setup that presents a clear flow trade opportunity.

Sanghyun Park

Asian Dividend Gems: HD Hyundai

FTC decided to conditionally approve the acquisition of STX Heavy Industries by HD Korea Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering. With this business...

Douglas Kim

Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Media reports indicate that there could be a temporary short sell ban in Korea. This could lead to futures backwardation, market manipulation and a...

Brian Freitas

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 21st): SK Hynix, Doosan Enerbility, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SK Hynix, Doosan Enerbility, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Announces Changes to KOSPI200 Index

​KRX announced changes to KOSPI200 and KOSDAQ150 indices effective 12 December 2025. LG CNS could present a buying opportunity with its inclusion,...

Douglas Kim

KRX announced changes to KOSPI200 and KOSDAQ150 indices effective 12 December 2025. LG CNS could present a buying opportunity with its inclusion,...