Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 10 November, it was announced that Ki-Sun Chung was promoted to Vice Chairman which could signal more positive news flow on HD Hyundai in the coming months.</li>
<li>The consensus expects DPS of 4,200 won for HD Hyundai in 2023, which suggests a dividend yield of 7.1%. HD Hyundai has one of the highest dividend yields in KOSPI200.</li>
<li>According to our NAV analysis, it suggests a base case valuation of 71,970 won per share for HD Hyundai, representing a 22% upside from current levels.</li>
</ul>


On 10 November, it was announced that Ki-Sun Chung was promoted to Vice Chairman which could signal more positive news flow on HD Hyundai in the coming months.
The consensus expects DPS of 4,200 won for HD Hyundai in 2023, which suggests a dividend yield of 7.1%. HD Hyundai has one of the highest dividend yields in KOSPI200.
According to our NAV analysis, it suggests a base case valuation of 71,970 won per share for HD Hyundai, representing a 22% upside from current levels.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

<ul>
<li>Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a> index constituents in May 2021.</li>
<li>News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.</li>
<li>There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.</li>
</ul>


Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 index constituents in May 2021.
News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.
There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.


Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine new join the fray</li>
<li>Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 312% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 179%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology
Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine new join the fray
Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 312% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 179%


<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine new join the fray</li>
<li>Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 278% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 151%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology
Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine new join the fray
Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 278% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 151%


Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>KOSPI and KOSDAQ are up 10.2% and 14%, respectively YTD, outperforming S&amp;P 500 is up 2.2% in the same period.  so far. </li>
<li>One of the big drivers of higher share prices of Korean stock market this year has been the strong net buying by the NPS.</li>
<li>Some of the major stocks that have been net purchased by the NPS so far this year include Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, LG Energy Solution, Hyundai E&amp;C, and Samsung Biologics.</li>
</ul>


KOSPI and KOSDAQ are up 10.2% and 14%, respectively YTD, outperforming S&amp;P 500 is up 2.2% in the same period.  so far. 
One of the big drivers of higher share prices of Korean stock market this year has been the strong net buying by the NPS.
Some of the major stocks that have been net purchased by the NPS so far this year include Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, LG Energy Solution, Hyundai E&amp;C, and Samsung Biologics.


What Is NPS Buying and Selling in the Korean Stock Market in 2025 So Far?

South Korea

HD HYUNDAI MIPO. operates shipbuilding businesses. The Company produces gas carriers, car carriers, bulk carriers, special ships, and other products. HD HYUNDAI MIPO conducts businesses in South Korea.

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HD Hyundai Mipo (010620 KS)

Asian Dividend Gems: HD Hyundai

FTC decided to conditionally approve the acquisition of STX Heavy Industries by HD Korea Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering. With this business...

Douglas Kim

Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Media reports indicate that there could be a temporary short sell ban in Korea. This could lead to futures backwardation, market manipulation and a...

Brian Freitas

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 52

We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology. Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine new join the...

A. Stotz Investment Research

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 51

We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology. Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine new join the...

A. Stotz Investment Research

What Is NPS Buying and Selling in the Korean Stock Market in 2025 So Far?

One of the big drivers of higher share prices of Korean stock market this year has been the strong net buying by the NPS. Pension funds in Korea...

Douglas Kim

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