HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Last week, centralized procurement results of orthopedic spinal consumables were released, with an average price reduction of 84%. We analyzed the impact on related companies. </li>
<li>If medical insurance reimbursement standards of Hunan Provincial are followed, there will be few real clinical needs for surgical robots for many hospitals, mainly to meet scientific research needs instead.</li>
<li>Under the appearance of the popularity of CGT CDMO, there are some hidden worries. Investors are recommended to be rational due to the overcapacity issue in the future.</li>
</ul>


Last week, centralized procurement results of orthopedic spinal consumables were released, with an average price reduction of 84%. We analyzed the impact on related companies. 
If medical insurance reimbursement standards of Hunan Provincial are followed, there will be few real clinical needs for surgical robots for many hospitals, mainly to meet scientific research needs instead.
Under the appearance of the popularity of CGT CDMO, there are some hidden worries. Investors are recommended to be rational due to the overcapacity issue in the future.


China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.30) - Orthopedics VBP, CGT CDMO, Surgical Robots, Bottom of HKEX

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 195 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 81.4% as of Jul 31st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.9ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, materials, energy and offset by communication services, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Hua Hong Semi, CMB, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H, Eastroc.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 195 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 81.4% as of Jul 31st.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.9ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, materials, energy and offset by communication services, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Hua Hong Semi, CMB, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H, Eastroc.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 31st): Hua Hong Semi, CMB, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H, Eastroc

<ul>
<li>CXO sector plummeted after Biden has officially signed the National Biotechnology and Biomanufacturing Initiative. In our impression, all sharp declines of CXO were mostly due to geographical conflicts/overseas policy disturbances.</li>
<li>We remain conservative about CXO’s outlook. If investors still choose to invest in CXO, there are some questions to ponder based on the general environment of Sino-US confrontation.</li>
<li>As tensions between China and the US escalate, it may no longer be possible to think on the basis of "common sense". Investors are advised to think “outside the box”. </li>
</ul>


CXO sector plummeted after Biden has officially signed the National Biotechnology and Biomanufacturing Initiative. In our impression, all sharp declines of CXO were mostly due to geographical conflicts/overseas policy disturbances.
We remain conservative about CXO’s outlook. If investors still choose to invest in CXO, there are some questions to ponder based on the general environment of Sino-US confrontation.
As tensions between China and the US escalate, it may no longer be possible to think on the basis of "common sense". Investors are advised to think “outside the box”. 


About the CXO Plunge After Biden Signed National Biotechnology and Biomanufacturing Initiative

Research from Quam Securities, Quam Securities

Quam Securities Research

Research from Quam Securities

Quam Securities

Since its inception in 1986, Quam Securities Limited (Quam Securities) has grown to become one of the few mid-tier securities brokerages in Hong Kong with global execution capabilities for both private and institutional clients. It boasts a well-established network in Greater China including Taiwan and in major world markets through the Global Alliance Partners (GAP). Quam Securities is well-positioned not only to harness and drive business within the China Tonghai International Financial Limited but also between China and the world markets.

<ul type="square"><li>The U.S. launched new support to its biotech production, aiming to boost biomanufacturing in pharmaceuticals but also in other industries such as agriculture, plastics, and energy.</li><li>The executive order would contain a plan for mass investments in related industries.</li><li>Shares of Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK, NR) and other CRO companies fell significantly yesterday (13 Sept) due to the fears of Chinese companies being targeted.</li></ul>

The U.S. launched new support to its biotech production, aiming to boost biomanufacturing in pharmaceuticals but also in other industries such as agriculture, plastics, and energy.The executive order would contain a plan for mass investments in related industries.Shares of Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK, NR) and other CRO companies fell significantly yesterday (13 Sept) due to the fears of Chinese companies being targeted.

The U.S. Executive Order on Its Biotech Industry May Not Materiality Affect Chinese CRO Industry

<ul>
<li>Jiangsu Provincial Medical Insurance Bureau organized the 7th round of centralized procurement of medical consumables, mainly including spring coil, endoscopic stapler, ultrasound knife and vacuum blood collection tube.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cstone-pharmaceuticals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27882:1" rel="noopener">CStone Pharmaceuticals (2616 HK)</a> is considering a potential sale of the business. We analyzed the logic behind this deal.</li>
<li>For biotech, Mr Market can never be rational enough to see the big picture. Maybe we should be "dumb". Buy low and sell high works for all investors.</li>
</ul>


Jiangsu Provincial Medical Insurance Bureau organized the 7th round of centralized procurement of medical consumables, mainly including spring coil, endoscopic stapler, ultrasound knife and vacuum blood collection tube.

CStone Pharmaceuticals (2616 HK) is considering a potential sale of the business. We analyzed the logic behind this deal.
For biotech, Mr Market can never be rational enough to see the big picture. Maybe we should be "dumb". Buy low and sell high works for all investors.


China Healthcare Weekly (July22)-Jiangsu Province VBP, CStone's Potential Sale, Irrational Mr Market

China

WuXi AppTec is a global contract research, development, and manufacturing organization (CRDMO) for the pharmaceutical and life sciences industries. It provides integrated, end-to-end services including chemistry drug CRDMO, biology discovery, preclinical testing, and clinical research services for various therapeutic modalities. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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WuXi AppTec (2359 HK)

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.30) - Orthopedics VBP, CGT CDMO, Surgical Robots, Bottom of HKEX

Orthopedics VBP result was released,we analyzed the impact on companies; There will be few real clinical needs for surgical robots; There're hidden...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 31st): Hua Hong Semi, CMB, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H, Eastroc

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Hua Hong Semi, CMB, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H, Eastroc.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

About the CXO Plunge After Biden Signed National Biotechnology and Biomanufacturing Initiative

CXO plunged after Biden signed the National Biotechnology and Biomanufacturing Initiative. As tensions between China and US escalate, it is no...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

The U.S. Executive Order on Its Biotech Industry May Not Materiality Affect Chinese CRO Industry

The U.S. launched new support to its biotech production, aiming to boost biomanufacturing in pharmaceuticals but also in other industries such as...

Quam Securities

China Healthcare Weekly (July22)-Jiangsu Province VBP, CStone's Potential Sale, Irrational Mr Market

Jiangsu Province released VBP results on medical consumables. CStone proposed a potential sale of the business.We analyzed the logic behind. Maybe...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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