Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 123.2% as of Mar 15th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.1ppt week-on-week, led by communication services, utilities, energy and offset by consumer staples, real estate, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Air China, QHD Port, Datang Intl, Wuxi Apptec, PetroChina, CGN Power.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 123.2% as of Mar 15th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.1ppt week-on-week, led by communication services, utilities, energy and offset by consumer staples, real estate, health care.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Air China, QHD Port, Datang Intl, Wuxi Apptec, PetroChina, CGN Power.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 15th): Air China, QHD Port, Datang Intl, Wuxi Apptec, PetroChina, CGN Power

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND a net buyer <em>every day</em> since the end of Chinese New Year. NORTHBOUND a huge net buyer this week, now net buyers in size (RMB +93bn) over 7 weeks.</li>
<li>For the first time in a while, AH premia among liquid stocks fell convincingly. Narrow AH premia pairs saw Hs outperform more than wide AH premia Hs (vs As).</li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
SOUTHBOUND a net buyer every day since the end of Chinese New Year. NORTHBOUND a huge net buyer this week, now net buyers in size (RMB +93bn) over 7 weeks.
For the first time in a while, AH premia among liquid stocks fell convincingly. Narrow AH premia pairs saw Hs outperform more than wide AH premia Hs (vs As).


A/H Premium Tracker (To 15 Mar 2024):  Liquid AH Premia Starting to Narrow

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 32.8bn of A-shares on decent volume after one RMB-3bn week following 5 weeks straight of net buying total RMB +63bn. Foreigners are in.</li>
<li>The volume now is back to chasing momentum, but given so much net buying, much of it appears to be passive plus a CATL kicker.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 32.8bn of A-shares on decent volume after one RMB-3bn week following 5 weeks straight of net buying total RMB +63bn. Foreigners are in.
The volume now is back to chasing momentum, but given so much net buying, much of it appears to be passive plus a CATL kicker.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 15 Mar 2024): Biggest Net Buying in a While, CATL a Big Buy

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>A Senate committee moved the bill (S.3558) forward that would prohibit pharmaceutical companies from using foreign service providers like WuXi AppTec and its subsidiaries. However, rational voices are still expected.</li>
<li>Seemingly conflicting proposals are mostly “noise” and disturbances to stock prices. This means in the future, we‘ll see stock prices move sharply again due to latest developments on these bills.</li>
<li>WuXi AppTec should have "bottom-line thinking" and prepare some "backup solutions".Investors don’t need to be overly pessimistic, because when global capital flows reverse, no one will mind these bills anymore.</li>
</ul>


A Senate committee moved the bill (S.3558) forward that would prohibit pharmaceutical companies from using foreign service providers like WuXi AppTec and its subsidiaries. However, rational voices are still expected.
Seemingly conflicting proposals are mostly “noise” and disturbances to stock prices. This means in the future, we‘ll see stock prices move sharply again due to latest developments on these bills.
WuXi AppTec should have "bottom-line thinking" and prepare some "backup solutions".Investors don’t need to be overly pessimistic, because when global capital flows reverse, no one will mind these bills anymore.


WuXi AppTec (2359.HK/603259.CH) - Updates About the BIOSECURE Act and the Outlook

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 8th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$376.5 million, led by information technology, consumer discretionary, and offset by industrials, utilities, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, CATL, Tongwei, Foxconn Industrial Internet.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 8th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$376.5 million, led by information technology, consumer discretionary, and offset by industrials, utilities, financials.
We highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, CATL, Tongwei, Foxconn Industrial Internet.


Northbound Flows (Mar 8th): China Yangtze Power, CATL, Tongwei, Foxconn Industrial Internet

China

WuXi AppTec Co., Ltd. manufactures medical products. The Company produces biological agents, antibodies, biological diagnostic reagents, and other products. WuXi AppTec also provides biological analysis, technical study, and other services.

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WuXi AppTec (2359 HK)

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 15th): Air China, QHD Port, Datang Intl, Wuxi Apptec, PetroChina, CGN Power

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Air China, QHD Port, Datang Intl, Wuxi Apptec, PetroChina,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A/H Premium Tracker (To 15 Mar 2024): Liquid AH Premia Starting to Narrow

AH Premia narrowed more on liquid narrow premia than on less liquid and wide premia. This is a new development. Energy and Utilities saw Hs rebound...

Travis Lundy

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 15 Mar 2024): Biggest Net Buying in a While, CATL a Big Buy

Mainland NORTHBOUND Connect saw HUGE buying. Not clear if real foreigners or fake foreigners but huge buying. CATL a big winner. Banks kind of...

Travis Lundy