Equity Analyst

Steve Zhou, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China Beststudy Education Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China after-school tutoring remains one of the most attractive and visible sectors in the next 2-3 years time frame. </li>
<li>Even though <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-oriental-education-techn-cc88998e-fe0d-4a03-b544-f3e9836b06a2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:531:1" rel="noopener">New Oriental Education &amp; Techn (EDU US)</a> had some hiccups in FY3Q24 results, they were mainly due to factors not related to the core after-school tutoring business.</li>
<li>My sector top pick is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-beststudy-education-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40632:1" rel="noopener">China Beststudy Education Group (3978 HK)</a>, as valuation is lower and growth is higher, though it has a much smaller market cap..</li>
</ul>


China after-school tutoring remains one of the most attractive and visible sectors in the next 2-3 years time frame. 
Even though New Oriental Education &amp; Techn (EDU US) had some hiccups in FY3Q24 results, they were mainly due to factors not related to the core after-school tutoring business.
My sector top pick is China Beststudy Education Group (3978 HK), as valuation is lower and growth is higher, though it has a much smaller market cap..


China After-School Tutoring:  Still In The Early Innings; Prefer China Beststudy Over EDU

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We expect one change to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in September - though there could be a second change as well.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 2.13% resulting in a one-way trade of HK$2.01bn in case there are two index changes. Turnover will be lower if there is only one change.</li>
<li>Short interest on some of the potential changes is over 15% of float and there could be big moves on the stocks post announcement of the changes.</li>
</ul>


We expect one change to the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX) in September - though there could be a second change as well.
Estimated one-way turnover is 2.13% resulting in a one-way trade of HK$2.01bn in case there are two index changes. Turnover will be lower if there is only one change.
Short interest on some of the potential changes is over 15% of float and there could be big moves on the stocks post announcement of the changes.


HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview (Sep): One Change or Two?

<ul>
<li>The June rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kraneshares-csi-china-internet-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28208:1" rel="noopener">KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB US)</a> will take place at the close of trading today.</li>
<li>There are a couple of deletions and one inclusion. Plus there will be capping changes on the other stocks, but the impact of those changes is not large.</li>
<li>The stocks have already been moving in the right direction during the day and the pre-positions could be flipped to the ETF at the close.</li>
</ul>


The June rebalance of the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB US) will take place at the close of trading today.
There are a couple of deletions and one inclusion. Plus there will be capping changes on the other stocks, but the impact of those changes is not large.
The stocks have already been moving in the right direction during the day and the pre-positions could be flipped to the ETF at the close.


KWEB Index Rebalance: Few Changes at the Close Today

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>On 16th Nov 22, post-market close, along with its 3Q22 results Tencent also declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan.</li>
<li>The share distribution follows the template of the US$16bn worth of JD.com shares that Tencent paid out after its dividend announcement at the end of 2021.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the implications of the deal.</li>
</ul>


On 16th Nov 22, post-market close, along with its 3Q22 results Tencent also declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan.
The share distribution follows the template of the US$16bn worth of JD.com shares that Tencent paid out after its dividend announcement at the end of 2021.
In this note, we talk about the implications of the deal.


Tencent Meituan Dividend - The US$20bn Overhang - Impact, Placement, Index, Other Investees

APAC IPOs & Placements

Zhen Zhou, Toh

New Oriental Education & Techn / Equity Bottom-Up

<p>China online education are trading about 60% lower on average since a year ago. This was largely due to expectations that there will be tightening of regulations on after-school tutoring sector including online education sectors. </p><p>In this note, we will discuss how we would position heading into the tightening of regulations.</p>

China online education are trading about 60% lower on average since a year ago. This was largely due to expectations that there will be tightening of regulations on after-school tutoring sector including online education sectors. In this note, we will discuss how we would position heading into the tightening of regulations.

China Online Education - Diversified Revenue Stream Wins Here - Balance in All Things

China

East Buy Holding Limited operates livestreaming platform businesses. The Company provides private label products including agricultural products, food, books, and household goods. East Buy Holding also conducts college education businesses.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

East Buy Holding (1797 HK)

China After-School Tutoring: Still In The Early Innings; Prefer China Beststudy Over EDU

China after-school tutoring remains one of the most attractive and visible sectors in the next 2-3 years time frame. Sector top pick is China...

Steve Zhou, CFA

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview (Sep): One Change or Two?

We forecast 1 change in September, though there be another change as well. Short interest is high on the potential deletes & there could be...

Brian Freitas

KWEB Index Rebalance: Few Changes at the Close Today

The KWEB ETF rebalances at the close today. There are 2 adds & 1 delete. There will be capping changes and funding flows across the other index...

Brian Freitas

Tencent Meituan Dividend - The US$20bn Overhang - Impact, Placement, Index, Other Investees

On 16th Nov 22, Tencent declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan. In this note, we look...

Sumeet Singh

China Online Education - Diversified Revenue Stream Wins Here - Balance in All Things

China online education are trading about 60% lower on average since a year ago. This was largely due to expectations that there will be tightening...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)